ATL: Invest 93L
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- Nancy Smar
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ATL: Invest 93L
AL, 93, 2019071112, , BEST, 0, 85N, 320W, 25, 1011, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 100, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 006, SPAWNINVEST, al772019 to al932019,
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
sphelps8681 wrote:Where is 93l located?
8.5N, 32W. It's the disturbance that currently has a 10% chance of tropical development according to the NHC.
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- SEASON_CANCELED
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
It wont develop way out that way. But if holds it together for 4-5 days it will get into the Caribbean and it will be more favorable.
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- gfsperpendicular
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:It wont develop way out that way. But if holds it together for 4-5 days it will get into the Caribbean and it will be more favorable.
It's getting smothered by the SAL right now; I doubt that it will be able to get there.
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
gfsperpendicular wrote:SEASON_CANCELED wrote:It wont develop way out that way. But if holds it together for 4-5 days it will get into the Caribbean and it will be more favorable.
It's getting smothered by the SAL right now; I doubt that it will be able to get there.
Its pretty far south. More on the edge of the SAL envelope.
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:It wont develop way out that way. But if holds it together for 4-5 days it will get into the Caribbean and it will be more favorable.
Great. And btw, since it's a pretty quiet thread here, your avatar cracks me up every season.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- TheStormExpert
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:It wont develop way out that way. But if holds it together for 4-5 days it will get into the Caribbean and it will be more favorable.
If it gets into the Caribbean there will likely be shear. Development in my opinion seems highly unlikely.
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- SEASON_CANCELED
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
SoupBone wrote:SEASON_CANCELED wrote:It wont develop way out that way. But if holds it together for 4-5 days it will get into the Caribbean and it will be more favorable.
Great. And btw, since it's a pretty quiet thread here, your avatar cracks me up every season.
Its old. I really need to change it and reminds me how long I have been on this forum.
Charlie Sheen turned out to be a real moron
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
Showers associated with a tropical wave located several hundred
miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remain disorganized. Some
slight development of the wave is possible during the next day or
two while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph before environmental
conditions become less favorable over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remain disorganized. Some
slight development of the wave is possible during the next day or
two while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph before environmental
conditions become less favorable over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 31W/32W from 14N
southward. A 1012 mb low pressure is along the tropical wave
near 08N. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong
rainshowers are from 03N to 11N between 30W and 36W.
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 31W/32W from 14N
southward. A 1012 mb low pressure is along the tropical wave
near 08N. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong
rainshowers are from 03N to 11N between 30W and 36W.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
Showers associated with a tropical wave located several hundred
miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remain disorganized. Some
slight development of the wave is possible during the next day or
two while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph before environmental
conditions become less favorable over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remain disorganized. Some
slight development of the wave is possible during the next day or
two while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph before environmental
conditions become less favorable over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- StruThiO
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 33W from 02N-14N moving W
at 10 kt. A 1010 mb low pressure is embedded on the wave axis near
08N33W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from
08N-11N between 32W-36W. Scattered showers are elsewhere within
180 nm of the wave axis.
at 10 kt. A 1010 mb low pressure is embedded on the wave axis near
08N33W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from
08N-11N between 32W-36W. Scattered showers are elsewhere within
180 nm of the wave axis.
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- Gustywind
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2019
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 34W south of 15N, moving
W at 10 kt. A 1010 mb low pressure along the wave axis near
08N34W. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N-12N between
31W-39W. Scattered showers are elsewhere within 150 nm of the
wave axis.
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2019
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 34W south of 15N, moving
W at 10 kt. A 1010 mb low pressure along the wave axis near
08N34W. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N-12N between
31W-39W. Scattered showers are elsewhere within 150 nm of the
wave axis.
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- Gustywind
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
2 AM.... Code Yellow. Up to 20/20.
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave
located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
have become a little better organized during the past several
hours. Some additional development of the wave is possible during
the next day or two while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph before
environmental conditions become less favorable over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Roberts
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave
located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
have become a little better organized during the past several
hours. Some additional development of the wave is possible during
the next day or two while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph before
environmental conditions become less favorable over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Roberts
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
Repeated conviction overnight over what appears to be a circulation, now whether it's mid level or at the surface the early visible sure looks like there is a small rotation taking place there.
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- SEASON_CANCELED
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
Dean4Storms wrote:Repeated conviction overnight over what appears to be a circulation, now whether it's mid level or at the surface the early visible sure looks like there is a small rotation taking place there.
This is a very interesting blob system. The fact it kept itself together in early July is somewhat alarming.
It seems to have a northward drift already to its movement, so wether or not it develops may be irrelevant ; unless you are a fish
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- gfsperpendicular
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
Hmm, I definitely had written this off. But it looks decent now - definitely twisting, although it still looks like (on vis loop) E winds to the south of that blob system. However, since the blob doesn't show any signs of disappearing, maybe it will be able to consolidate.
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
My thoughts on Invest 93-L. It's gotten my interest a little more since yesterday.
https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/1149676006950653952
https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/1149676009739960321
https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/1149676011669348352
https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/1149676006950653952
https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/1149676009739960321
https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/1149676011669348352
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- TheStormExpert
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Re: ATL: Invest 93L
crownweather wrote:My thoughts on Invest 93-L. It's gotten my interest a little more since yesterday.
https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/1149676006950653952
https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/1149676009739960321
https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/1149676011669348352
The intensity guidance are usually bullish on areas of interest in this region. My question is are conditions even remotely favorable in the Caribbean?
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