LarryWx wrote:Any opinion on the likelihood that the para GFS' much further N movement into the Gulf is going to verify? If so, the para GFS is suggesting that the followup would likely also track much further north and maybe come into the east coast of FL from the east as a relatively weak TC followed by not much Gulf development. It isn't just the last para GFS run that did this, but rather the last FOUR runs that have done this! Is it on crack or is it seeing reality?
I think it's a fair question to ask Larry and I definitely do not necessarily agree with those suggesting that an approach to south or central florida would be a lock for this storm to be destroyed by Westerlies. I'm going to take a good long look at this my after work and see if there's any viable solution that would still steer this storm toward Florida.