When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
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- cycloneye
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When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
Let's see when will the first wave is introduced. Poll will close for voting on April 30 at 5:30 PM EDT. A reminder to the members that have not have participated yet in our annual S2K Poll to add the set of numbers. That poll closes on May 31 at midnight EDT.
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- cycloneye
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
Time is running out for this poll to remain open as it will close for voting today at 5:30 PM EDT.
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- wxman57
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
It doesn't really matter when the NHC decides to identify the "first" wave. I see three of them out there now. One midway between SA and Africa, one just off the coast of Africa, and one inland over Africa. They're too far south and wind shear is too high to be concerned about them.
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- cycloneye
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
wxman57 wrote:It doesn't really matter when the NHC decides to identify the "first" wave. I see three of them out there now. One midway between SA and Africa, one just off the coast of Africa, and one inland over Africa. They're too far south and wind shear is too high to be concerned about them.
Yes agree. The poll is for first wave that is officially introduced. I know there have been a few weak surface troughs or waves.
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- cycloneye
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
Two options ended tied with 29%. Thanks to the members that participated and we wait and see when NOAA introduce officially the first wave.
May 11-15 - 29%
May 16-20 - 29%
May 11-15 - 29%
May 16-20 - 29%
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
Trinidad & Tobago Weather Center indicate the 1st TW are being tracked. No word in the latest TWD
https://ttweathercenter.com/2023/05/05/ ... -for-2023/
https://ttweathercenter.com/2023/05/05/ ... -for-2023/
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
While it hasn't been directly mentioned in the TWD, a tropical wave (embedded in the ITCZ) was included with the 06z surface analysis today. Here is the latest (18z):
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- Iceresistance
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
If this is true, whoever voted for May 1st-5th is an absolute legend!
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- cycloneye
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
They said tropical wave-like at the 12z discussion.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/text/T ... 051722.txt
A tropical wave-like feature in analyzed along
32W south of 08N. Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated
strong convection is noted on either side of the trough from 01N
to 09N between 21W and 37W.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/text/T ... 051722.txt
A tropical wave-like feature in analyzed along
32W south of 08N. Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated
strong convection is noted on either side of the trough from 01N
to 09N between 21W and 37W.
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- cycloneye
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
Iceresistance wrote:If this is true, whoever voted for May 1st-5th is an absolute legend!
Well, not quite that one legend because officially, we are still waiting for a wave to be introduced. They have to say it, Tropical Wave at .... and then draw the line at the surface graphic with the words tropical wave and is then, when is oficial. The 5 that voted 6-10 are looking good.
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
Iceresistance wrote:If this is true, whoever voted for May 1st-5th is an absolute legend!
That was me i went out on limb on that one lol Do we have any signs of the AEJ starting up ? Because that is when we will likely see our first wave.
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
AlanSnyder35 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:If this is true, whoever voted for May 1st-5th is an absolute legend!
That was me i went out on limb on that one lol Do we have any signs of the AEJ starting up ? Because that is when we will likely see our first wave.
Most of the agencies seem to have a different criteria for defining tropical waves. Here in Barbados (just like Trinidad) we have already noted that feature on the 5th as the first wave of the season. I usually go with the NHC's surface map and by the time the first one comes, our local met-office is usually up to 3 or 4, lol.
As for the AEJ I haven't seen much to indicate it is very active as yet. If it is, it's weak right now.
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
LemieT wrote:AlanSnyder35 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:If this is true, whoever voted for May 1st-5th is an absolute legend!
That was me i went out on limb on that one lol Do we have any signs of the AEJ starting up ? Because that is when we will likely see our first wave.
Most of the agencies seem to have a different criteria for defining tropical waves. Here in Barbados (just like Trinidad) we have already noted that feature on the 5th as the first wave of the season. I usually go with the NHC's surface map and by the time the first one comes, our local met-office is usually up to 3 or 4, lol.
As for the AEJ I haven't seen much to indicate it is very active as yet. If it is, it's weak right now.
On our local weather tonight they mentioned a tropical wave at 28W south of 10N. That's #2 for us, and still nothing on the NHC surface map
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- cycloneye
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
8 winners of the option between 11-15.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: When will the first tropical wave be introduced?
cycloneye wrote:8 winners of the option between 11-15.
Just one more day and I would have been one of the other 8 who chose 16-20th!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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