Darby Advisories

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senorpepr
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#41 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jul 28, 2004 3:19 am

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=34406

It's been upgraded to a category one.
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#42 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jul 28, 2004 3:24 am

Hurricane Darby (05E)
28/09Z
14.8N 122.3W
WNW @ 14 mph
80 mph
983 mb / 29.03"
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#43 Postby FWBHurricane » Wed Jul 28, 2004 5:09 am

I think it will only get to about 90mph. Its going to be moving in cooler waters soon. IMO it will peak at 90mph then slowly drop.
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#44 Postby Anonymous » Wed Jul 28, 2004 11:23 am

105 mph. So, I am now forecasting 90-110 mph.
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Darby.. 105 mph!!! My forecast...

#45 Postby Anonymous » Wed Jul 28, 2004 3:42 pm

I did it. As long as it does not get any stronger.
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Re: Darby.. 105 mph!!! My forecast...

#46 Postby Windspeed » Wed Jul 28, 2004 4:03 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:I did it. As long as it does not get any stronger.


Very nice. The CDO is looking much more symmetrical the past few hours so it just may be strengthening some more. I'm going to say that Darby will top out around 115 mph sustained before moving over the cooler SSTs; therefore, she should become our first major hurricane of the Eastern Pacific season.
Last edited by Windspeed on Wed Jul 28, 2004 4:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#47 Postby lilbump3000 » Wed Jul 28, 2004 4:04 pm

The national hurricane center has it topping 105 MPH. So you may be right on this one.
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#48 Postby bahamaswx » Wed Jul 28, 2004 5:29 pm

SST's are too cold to support any additional strengthening.
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#49 Postby Anonymous » Wed Jul 28, 2004 7:15 pm

If it does not get any higher than 105 mph, I WAS ABSOLUTLY CORRECT ON MY OWN GUT FEELING. I said 105 mph before even the NHC did.
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#50 Postby Hurricanehink » Wed Jul 28, 2004 9:55 pm

Good job Floydbuster!
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#51 Postby kevin » Wed Jul 28, 2004 10:02 pm

This is going to be another symptom of people only correlating positive occurances of prophecy.
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Re: Darby.. 105 mph!!! My forecast...

#52 Postby HurricaneBill » Wed Jul 28, 2004 10:12 pm

Windspeed wrote:Very nice. The CDO is looking much more symmetrical the past few hours so it just may be strengthening some more. I'm going to say that Darby will top out around 115 mph sustained before moving over the cooler SSTs; therefore, she should become our first major hurricane of the Eastern Pacific season.


Darby's a "he" hurricane. Or as people called male hurricanes when they started using male names: "himmacanes" :lol:
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Re: Darby.. 105 mph!!! My forecast...

#53 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 29, 2004 2:52 am

~Floydbuster wrote:I did it. As long as it does not get any stronger.


Uh oh... he got stronger...

Hurricane Darby
120 mph
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Darby becomes a major

#54 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 29, 2004 2:54 am

Hurricane Darby
29/06Z
16.8N 126.2W
120 mph
957 mb / 28.26"
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#55 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 29, 2004 2:55 am

Image
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#56 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Jul 29, 2004 3:06 am

That eye wall has very cold cloud tops, with a nice small eye! I would almost say even a little stronger then 120 mph. Very interesting storm.
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Re: Darby.. 105 mph!!! My forecast...

#57 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Jul 29, 2004 3:33 am

Windspeed wrote:
~Floydbuster wrote:I did it. As long as it does not get any stronger.


Very nice. The CDO is looking much more symmetrical the past few hours so it just may be strengthening some more. I'm going to say that Darby will top out around 115 mph sustained before moving over the cooler SSTs; therefore, she should become our first major hurricane of the Eastern Pacific season.


Good call.
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#58 Postby Swimdude » Thu Jul 29, 2004 8:22 am

*Celebrates Darby's Major-cane status*

Cheers, have some tonic water. I'm not old enough to drink. =)
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#59 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 29, 2004 9:54 am

Not bad. This is what I said two days ago:

Since then the NHC has forecast 85 kts... or 100 mph. I am leaning more towards 105 mph at a peak. So I forecast 100-120 mph. I have 20 mph difference. So, in order to make it fair, I will forecast 105 mph....
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#60 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu Jul 29, 2004 2:18 pm

LOL, same here Swimdude. The first major in 21 months! While it is winding down, it made a great run, especially in the conditions it had. NHC never forecasted it to get that high, but there you go!
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