Gert Advisories=10 AM CDT,Last Advisore written

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cycloneye
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Gert Advisories=10 AM CDT,Last Advisore written

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:04 pm

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

The models also have it as a td.First advisorie at 5 PM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN (AL072005) ON 20050723 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050723 1800 050724 0600 050724 1800 050725 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 19.3N 92.9W 20.1N 95.1W 20.8N 97.4W 21.3N 99.2W
BAMM 19.3N 92.9W 20.0N 95.1W 20.6N 97.4W 21.4N 99.3W
A98E 19.3N 92.9W 19.9N 94.6W 20.7N 96.5W 21.8N 98.4W
LBAR 19.3N 92.9W 19.9N 95.0W 20.9N 97.6W 22.1N 100.6W
SHIP 25KTS 25KTS 28KTS 34KTS
DSHP 25KTS 25KTS 25KTS 26KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050725 1800 050726 1800 050727 1800 050728 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.5N 100.7W 20.7N 103.3W 19.7N 105.4W 20.1N 107.6W
BAMM 22.1N 100.8W 22.6N 103.3W 22.8N 105.0W 24.0N 106.8W
A98E 22.9N 100.8W 25.2N 104.6W 25.8N 106.5W 26.6N 107.9W
LBAR 23.4N 103.2W 26.5N 106.9W 28.8N 108.3W 30.9N 109.6W
SHIP 40KTS 48KTS 57KTS 62KTS
DSHP 26KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 19.3N LONCUR = 92.9W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 18.6N LONM12 = 91.1W DIRM12 = 293DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 17.9N LONM24 = 88.8W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM


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Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:48 am, edited 33 times in total.
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#2 Postby chadtm80 » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:11 pm

hmmm.. Thats kind of shocking to me
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:14 pm

chadtm80 wrote:hmmm.. Thats kind of shocking to me


Kinda surprised chad? Remember that there is a noaa plane out there and maybe the data found strong winds.
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#4 Postby The Big Dog » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:14 pm

Models have it going inland in 24 hours. Good chance this one won't even get a name.
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#5 Postby chadtm80 » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:15 pm

cycloneye wrote:
chadtm80 wrote:hmmm.. Thats kind of shocking to me


Kinda surprised chad? Remember that there is a noaa plane out there and maybe the data found strong winds.

Oh.. My fault.. I thought they canceled the plane?.?.?
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#6 Postby gkrangers » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:15 pm

WONT41 KNHC 231907
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...SEVENTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMING OVER THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE...

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS CONTINUED TO
BECOME BETTER DEFINED. SINCE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
INCREASED NEAR THE BROAD CENTER...ADVISORIES ON 25-KT TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SEVEN WILL BE INITIATED AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z. A NOAA
RESEARCH AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY RELEASING DROPSONDES IN THE AREA...
WHICH WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE ORGANIZATION OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE EASTERN COAST OF MEXICO...MOST LIKELY NORTH OF PUNTA EL
LAGARTO.

FORECASTER STEWART
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#7 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:16 pm

Unless we get a repeat of light steering currents right against the coast, ala Emily.
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#8 Postby kevin » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:16 pm

I think this will get a name.
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:16 pm

chadtm80 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
chadtm80 wrote:hmmm.. Thats kind of shocking to me


Kinda surprised chad? Remember that there is a noaa plane out there and maybe the data found strong winds.

Oh.. My fault.. I thought they canceled the plane?.?.?


Check the 91L now TD#7 recon thread. :)
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#10 Postby gkrangers » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:17 pm

chadtm80 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
chadtm80 wrote:hmmm.. Thats kind of shocking to me


Kinda surprised chad? Remember that there is a noaa plane out there and maybe the data found strong winds.

Oh.. My fault.. I thought they canceled the plane?.?.?
There is a NOAA research flight in the area, unrelated to the TD. But since they are near it, they'll drop some dropsondes in it to get some info, as a bonus.
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#11 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:17 pm

I take one look at my scoreboard avatar, then I look at the calendar, and my face looks something like this: :eek:

I just can't believe it. I've waited for quite a while to see the list used up, and the more storms that form, the more I think it's possible. History is in the making for sure. :)

By the way, what's the difference between a recon plane and an NOAA research plane? I've never heard of an NOAA research plane before.
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#12 Postby ohiostorm » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:19 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:I take one look at my scoreboard avatar, then I look at the calendar, and my face looks something like this: :eek:

I just can't believe it. I've waited for quite a while to see the list used up, and the more storms that form, the more I think it's possible. History is in the making for sure. :)

By the way, what's the difference between a recon plane and an NOAA research plane? I've never heard of an NOAA research plane before.


Definately in the making.
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#13 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:21 pm

This is getting crazy.
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kevin

#14 Postby kevin » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:23 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:I take one look at my scoreboard avatar, then I look at the calendar, and my face looks something like this: :eek:

I just can't believe it. I've waited for quite a while to see the list used up, and the more storms that form, the more I think it's possible. History is in the making for sure. :)

By the way, what's the difference between a recon plane and an NOAA research plane? I've never heard of an NOAA research plane before.


Why do you count depressions instead of storms????
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#15 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:24 pm

The NHC does advisories on a TD. A TD is a tropical cyclone. Therefore, TDs count toward the scoreboard. :)
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#16 Postby x-y-no » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:26 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:By the way, what's the difference between a recon plane and an NOAA research plane? I've never heard of an NOAA research plane before.


The primary recon mission belongs to the Air Force Reserve.

NOAA flies P3 Orions inside storms, and also Gulfstream IVs collecting environmental data around systems.
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#17 Postby Normandy » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:26 pm

THAT is a TD? Unbelievable.
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#18 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:29 pm

Image
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#19 Postby x-y-no » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:30 pm

Normandy wrote:THAT is a TD? Unbelievable.


There's definitely a closed LLC, but I agree it's a pretty sorry looking mess.
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#20 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:30 pm

Wow, that Gert had an interesting life. I don't think we'll be saying the same about this Gert, though.
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