EURO shows blizzard for east?

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truballer#1

EURO shows blizzard for east?

#1 Postby truballer#1 » Fri Dec 23, 2005 4:45 pm

DAY 6 SHOWS A 996 LOW OVER NE SC AND DAY 7 A 987 Low just E of the VA Capes.

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WindRunner
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#2 Postby WindRunner » Fri Dec 23, 2005 6:56 pm

Now that would be a nice surprise.
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#3 Postby truballer#1 » Fri Dec 23, 2005 7:51 pm

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ECMWF run

#4 Postby sphinx » Fri Dec 23, 2005 9:59 pm

I'm speechless.

Ironically, the final NWS long-range WX discussion was posted before noon EDT, before the 12 UT ECMWF came out. It is usually posted at 1-2 PM ... so no help there.

But ... we're only talking 7 days. Six-day output is available on the web from several models including the GFS, NOGAPS, GEM, WRF-extended, DGEX, UKMET, ECMWF. So we should know in 24 hours if a major storm is possible. If I had an inch of snow for every time one long range model or another predicted a major storm ...

That said, Looking at ECMWF movies, it looks like the computer-storm explodes off DelMarVa; however, the storm already appears to be well developed at that point (unusual). A NEngland storm/blizzard at some point in late Dec/early Jan. is hardly surprising but a major storm/blizzard affecting the Mid-Atlantic and New England would be. We'll have to wait and see.

... If the storm disappears in tomorrow's 00 ECWMF run, it is only proper to criticize the ECMWF for flipping.
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Storm more likely

#5 Postby sphinx » Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:37 am

The 30th's storm is also in the 00 UT ECMWFand 00 and 06 UT GFS runs. However, no cold air is in place. Likely a rainmaker.
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#6 Postby Stephanie » Sat Dec 24, 2005 11:16 am

The 540 line on the Euro is close to the Delmarva and Philadelphia/ NJ area. We'll get something, but what will be the talk of this forum for the next week! :)
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#7 Postby Craftybigdog » Sat Dec 24, 2005 4:56 pm

I sure hope we get something, the guys on the other boards are really depressing. They are already saying winter cancel!
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#8 Postby truballer#1 » Sat Dec 24, 2005 5:31 pm

Craftybigdog wrote:I sure hope we get something, the guys on the other boards are really depressing. They are already saying winter cancel!


yea, I kno like the easternus board, they are getting on my nervous saying mild and snowless for rest of the winter.
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#9 Postby Craftybigdog » Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:35 pm

Its amazing!
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