Any more cold air on the horizon?
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- wx247
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Any more cold air on the horizon?
Just wondering what everyone's thoughts were about the lower 48 during the 5-7 days and the potential for a cool down. Looks like the Plains should stay warm, but what about the Northeast?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- stormchazer
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I live in Florida! The only thing cold here comes in a 12 ounce can.
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
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TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
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- Tropical Depression
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I don't see much in the next 7 days. If this weekend storm turns out to be a bit more impressive then currently progged, then it could definitely keep temps in the 50's. Other than that, 70's for the rest of this week for NYC cooling to the 60's by the weekend and early next week.
I'm just starting to pay more attention to the ensembles...and those suggest a little more trough-iness in the NE come another 10-14 days, that might bring some slightly below normal temps if it pans out...but nothing impressively below normal by the looks of it.
-Matt
I'm just starting to pay more attention to the ensembles...and those suggest a little more trough-iness in the NE come another 10-14 days, that might bring some slightly below normal temps if it pans out...but nothing impressively below normal by the looks of it.
-Matt
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- therock1811
- Category 5
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Here is the forecast for where I used to live...
NWS Taunton, MA - Northern Plymouth county, located south of Boston:
Tonight. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
Wednesday. Warmer. Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Wednesday night. Mostly clear. Patchy fog developing late. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Thursday. Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. Highs 70 to 75.
Thursday night. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Friday. Partly sunny and cooler. Highs near 60.
Friday night. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Saturday. Becoming cloudy. A chance of rain after midnight. Highs in the lower 60s.
Sunday. Cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows 50 to 55 and highs in the mid 60s.
Columbus day. Cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning. Then partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s and highs in the lower 60s.
Tuesday. Increasing cloudiness and breezy. Lows in the mid 40s and highs 55 to 60.
NWS Taunton, MA - Northern Plymouth county, located south of Boston:
Tonight. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
Wednesday. Warmer. Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Wednesday night. Mostly clear. Patchy fog developing late. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Thursday. Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. Highs 70 to 75.
Thursday night. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Friday. Partly sunny and cooler. Highs near 60.
Friday night. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Saturday. Becoming cloudy. A chance of rain after midnight. Highs in the lower 60s.
Sunday. Cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows 50 to 55 and highs in the mid 60s.
Columbus day. Cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning. Then partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s and highs in the lower 60s.
Tuesday. Increasing cloudiness and breezy. Lows in the mid 40s and highs 55 to 60.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Wed Oct 08, 2003 12:55 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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- S2K Analyst
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Re: Any more cold air on the horizon?
It appears that the current progressive pattern will continue past mid-month with a more amplified pattern taking shape starting 10/17-22. During that same timeframe, the NAO could be negative or trending toward negative (past few pulses, MRF, ensembles).
Further, taking into consideration teleconnections, it appears that a deepening storm could affect parts of the eastern third of the U.S. (eastern Great Lakes?) around the beginning of that period with much colder air following in its wake.
So, looking way ahead, it appears that the next meaningful cold air mass will probably move into the Eastern USA around 10/19 +/- 1-2 days.
Until then readings will continue to average above to much above normal. Any shots of cooler air will be modest with cooling being of a transient nature.
Don
Further, taking into consideration teleconnections, it appears that a deepening storm could affect parts of the eastern third of the U.S. (eastern Great Lakes?) around the beginning of that period with much colder air following in its wake.
So, looking way ahead, it appears that the next meaningful cold air mass will probably move into the Eastern USA around 10/19 +/- 1-2 days.
Until then readings will continue to average above to much above normal. Any shots of cooler air will be modest with cooling being of a transient nature.
Don
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- wx247
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I was noticing the trends of a 10-14 day cooling trend as well. Thanks for the info. everyone! ![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Stormsfury
- Category 5
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Yep, in the immediate short term and the next several days, the ECMWF still looming quite a major zonal flow from the Aleutian Low across the northern tier of the US with a nearly west/east line of screaming westerlies. No real major troughiness anywhere across the U.S. Some hints of a change after Day 7.
Day 6 500mb HEIGHTS
SF
Day 6 500mb HEIGHTS
SF
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- PTrackerLA
- Category 5
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stormchazer wrote:I live in Florida! The only thing cold here comes in a 12 ounce can.
ROFLMAO...... Even that does not stay cold for long.... unless you drink it in a few seconds
![Wink ;)](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
We are back up into the mid 80's again..with thunderstorms. Hopefully we will get our share of 70's soon down here.
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- wx247
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One of the local mets. here has the highs early next week (Mon./Tues.) into the lower 60's with lows near 40º. If it is going to be that chilly I bet it is going to be really chilly in the Northern Plains.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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