Texas Winter 2025-2026

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snowballzzz
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1021 Postby snowballzzz » Tue Dec 23, 2025 1:13 pm

Merry Christmas, All. I moved to Colorado Springs (specifically 20 minutes east of town on the plains) the beginning of October this year from Wise County. The warmth here and lack of snow in the mountains is mind blowing. I was thinking I would have been snowed in several times by now, but it's starting to feel like we won't have much of a winter here this year. Hopefully Santa brings us all something to look forward to on the models over the next couple of months.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1022 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:17 pm

Fog/morning cloud cover will keep us from breaking daily records but still may get close later this week for some across the region.

Front arrives Sunday but as we've seen for the most part thus far this winter, another glancing blow of colder air to knock us back down to averages but certainly nothing earth shattering. In fact I would expect above average temps to quickly build back in but for January we're now talking 70's instead of 80's.

No significant pattern change yet. The cold continues to recycle but just haven't got the right setup to deliver it into Texas.
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snownado
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1023 Postby snownado » Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:59 pm

As of 2pm, DFW has tied today's record high of 81*F.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1024 Postby wxman57 » Tue Dec 23, 2025 3:11 pm

Brent wrote:Lol I saw a TV forecast of 72 yesterday up here for New Years Day and the 0z Euro has a high of 32 :double:

Even has a hint of precip it appears

I think we just need to relax and enjoy the holidays if things can change that quickly

I'm pretty sure we'll get cold at some point like it's only December. Even our warmest winters have. Snow is never guaranteed of course even up here


That's the GFS (72) vs. the EC (32) forecast. GFS has not been handling the fast zonal flow well at all. Throw it out. Sunday's front will be quite seasonal. Might get down to the upper 30s or low 40s here in Houston next Tuesday, with a high only in the lower 50s. However, by the following weekend, temps may rise back into the mid to upper 70s for Houston. Good cycling weather!
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1025 Postby Tireman4 » Tue Dec 23, 2025 3:21 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Brent wrote:Lol I saw a TV forecast of 72 yesterday up here for New Years Day and the 0z Euro has a high of 32 :double:

Even has a hint of precip it appears

I think we just need to relax and enjoy the holidays if things can change that quickly

I'm pretty sure we'll get cold at some point like it's only December. Even our warmest winters have. Snow is never guaranteed of course even up here


That's the GFS (72) vs. the EC (32) forecast. GFS has not been handling the fast zonal flow well at all. Throw it out. Sunday's front will be quite seasonal. Might get down to the upper 30s or low 40s here in Houston next Tuesday, with a high only in the lower 50s. However, by the following weekend, temps may rise back into the mid to upper 70s for Houston. Good cycling weather!



We will have our winter fun one day, Mr. Heat Miser!
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1026 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Dec 23, 2025 5:43 pm

Do you like the Alaska Ridge going away on trends? I surely do! :D

Image
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bEGcq.gif
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1027 Postby snownado » Tue Dec 23, 2025 5:46 pm

snownado wrote:As of 2pm, DFW has tied today's record high of 81*F.


82*F is the official high, breaking the record.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1028 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Dec 23, 2025 5:48 pm

Iceresistance you mean we want the alaskan ridge lol, does look like its trending closer, I think with all the cold air sitting in western canada, their has been a feedback error in modeling with keeping the trough out west , and we are seeing models correct toward stronger troughing in the east with a more poleward ridge getting closer to alaska and + PNA trying to link up with that ridge, good trends that we like to see for sure
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1029 Postby Ntxw » Tue Dec 23, 2025 6:13 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Iceresistance you mean we want the alaskan ridge lol, does look like its trending closer, I think with all the cold air sitting in western canada, their has been a feedback error in modeling with keeping the trough out west , and we are seeing models correct toward stronger troughing in the east with a more poleward ridge getting closer to alaska and + PNA trying to link up with that ridge, good trends that we like to see for sure


For us, we'd want to see the -NAO near the Davis straits or towards Hudson Bay. Either ridge if they can poke into the Beaufort Sea would send the cold right down.
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