Texas Winter 2025-2026

[Golfisnoteasy75]

Watching NYC and Boston get crushed. Already >6" for NY and Boston is looking at 2 feet incoming.

So why the higher QPF amounts there and not down here? +PNA I’m assuming?

Think so, they also have benefits of both a more direct flow from the gulf and Atlantic. We rely mostly on mid levels from the Pacific crossing Mexico mountains with some gulf inflow at the surface indirectly. Just think of a gulf low but on steroids when it hits the gulf stream for them.

Cosgrove believes it should stay active through March, which in a way I wished it wouldn't, especially if its cold and dry. Don't want that at all. Hoping for the best for one more opportunity

[Ntxw]

We need to build more lakes and chain them up. Roberts and Lewisville doing quite a bit of work today.

[rendihess]

It’s spitting snow in Flower Mound!

[opticsguy]

FWIW this relief map shows the elevation of the Ouitchita mountains and the funnel it creates https://ibb.co/S4mZDDZV

Here the HRRR for early tomorrow morning . The model shows these mountains affecting the flow https://ibb.co/1G0H9Z7Z. On the HRRR MSLP and surface wind chart you can see a mini Rossby Wave

[rwfromkansas]

Finally some decent flakes now that I can actually see looking out the window. Yay!

[Ntxw]

Finally some decent flakes now that I can actually see looking out the window. Yay!

Same and neither of us is downwind from a LES right now, fluffy flakes.

[wxman22]

It’s snowing here again.

[jaguars_22]

So my question is with the snowpack and ice pack all around us in south central Texas…including up north and also in Mexico… could it cause the disturbance this next weekend to be colder and produce snow fall?

[gpsnowman]

We need to build more lakes and chain them up. Roberts and Lewisville doing quite a bit of work today.

https://i.imgur.com/y3vsNAP.jpeg

Finally seeing some decent flakes here in GP. I-20 and Carrier. About to take another walk with my daughter. Should be back in time for kickoff and a fire.

[rwfromkansas]

Saw video on TX Storm Chasers of a steam nado on Lake Lewisville. What the heck.

[Cpv17]

So my question is with the snowpack and ice pack all around us in south central Texas…including up north and also in Mexico… could it cause the disturbance this next weekend to be colder and produce snow fall?

Snowpacks will cause it to be colder, but it has no impact on precipitation.

[jaguars_22]

CPV17 with the precipitation that will be around Friday and Saturday which is shown on models as rain right now wouldn’t that change? To perhaps sleet or light snow?

[Stratton23]

jaguars_22 it depends on other things, models are trending torward the shortwave getting suppressed further south which means a lot of the moisture with this system is getting shoved south as well, the moisture outruns the cold air on most guidance now , still 5-6 days out, but the trend isn’t our friend with this system

[HockeyTx82]

Saw video on TX Storm Chasers of a steam nado on Lake Lewisville. What the heck.

Link?

[JayDT]

We need to build more lakes and chain them up. Roberts and Lewisville doing quite a bit of work today.

https://i.imgur.com/y3vsNAP.jpeg

I wish that line had set up 15 miles west

[TomballEd]

Honestly, regardless of precipitation chances , its a nice change of pace to have potentially colder temperature’s last through early march, last couple of winters it seems February has ended up being a torch , we will have more opportunities for sure, but definitely loving that at least the cold air will be sticking around for a long time

Nah, if itsn't going to at least sleet so it looks like snow, then I want 75F day/60F night into March. Just cold is unpleasant. Looks like Katy got enough ice to cause some real issues. It went below freezing here right as the rain ended. Some patches of ice on the car but it was mostly wet and the ground, of course, stayed just wet.

Inch and a half of rain, I'll take.

[Stratton23]

TomballEd we got maybe a glazing of ice on some of the roads, some of our furniture in the backyard is iced over but no power outage issues, so we definitely avoided some big issues

[Stratton23]

Newest Euro weeklies are just in, cold all of february and into the 2nd week of March, I have a feeling that has to do with the major or severe PV split thats about to happen, thats going to have a lot of influence on weather in NA in february

[snownado]

Futurecast radar FWIW shows about 2-3 hours of snow headed directly to DFW metro in a couple of hours

Currently looks like it's going to slip by just to the north, per radar.

[snownado]

So my question is with the snowpack and ice pack all around us in south central Texas…including up north and also in Mexico… could it cause the disturbance this next weekend to be colder and produce snow fall?

Snowpacks will cause it to be colder, but it has no impact on precipitation.

Not entirely true.

Deep snowpacks can make a difference in marginal overrunning setups, as the antecedent cold surfaces will make it much easier for rain to freeze on contact and can even help delay precip type transitions.

But it is true that the impact from a deep snowpack when it comes to broader synoptic setups is negligible.