Another interesting discussion from State College

[tomboudreau]

Evening everyone. Looks like we have a hum-digger of a storm coming in. Just looking at the latest discussions from area NWS offices and the State College office discussion really opens my eyes a lot about this systems. Take a look at this...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
920 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2003

.UPDATE...

.SHORT TERM....

LVLL WIND TRAJECTORY FROM ~320 DEG OVERNIGHT FAVORS SNOW SHOWERS
BEING MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS VIA A LAKE HURON
CONNECTION.

CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE SUSQ VALLEY AND MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL PENN
WILL ALLOW WINDS TO SLACKEN SUBSTANTIALLY AND TEMPS TO FALL A LITTLE
MORE THAN PREV FCST ACROSS THE NRN MTNS. SEVERAL OBS FROM NEAR THE
PA/NEW YORK BORDER SHOW TEMPS IN THE UPR SINGLE DIGITS WITH VERY
LIGHT WIND. WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW PLACES AT DAYBREAK
HOVERING A TAD UNDER ZERO.

850 HPA RIDGE STILL WEST OF THE PA/OHIO BORDER LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...AND LAKE/850 HPA DELTA-T'S SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED
FLURRIES TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE NRN AND WRN MTNS. PLENTY OF SUN
EXPECTED SOUTHEAST OF THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU...AFTER A STRAY MORNING
FLURRY.

NOT MUCH OF A CHANGE TO 18 UTC GFS W/RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE
DIGGING UPR LOW/SFC REFLECTION ALONG THE EAST COAST FRI -> SUNDAY.
PERSISTENT LOCATION AND STRENGTH OF THE SFC HIGH ACROSS SRN QUEBEC
AND MUCH MORE AMPLIFIED DOWNSTREAM UPR RIDGE IS SHOWN BY THE ETA AND
ECMWF FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SAT WITH A SECONDARY/INTENSIFYING SFC THE
LOW CENTERED OVER THE DELMARVA REGION (A PERFECT LOCATION FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW HERE IN CENTRAL/ECENT PENN). THIS WILL ALSO
FEEDBACK TO A MORE EASTERLY/LIKELY SLOWER MVMT TO THE UPPER LOW THAN
IS DEPICTED BY THE GFS.

IT'S WORTH NOTING THAT EVEN WITH THE MODELS MORE SOUTHERN TRACK OF
THE UPR LOW OVER THE WEEKEND...THE BUFKIT GFS HRLY PRECIP WITH A
LEAD SHORT WAVE STILL FALLS AS ALL SNOW AND AMOUNTS TO 8-10 INCHES
ACROSS OUR SRN TIER COUNTIES (KAOO - KMDT) THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY.

FOOD FOR TOUGHT...IN SOME WAYS THE GFS PATTERN LATE THIS WEEK (I.E.,
LOCATION OF THE 850 HPA LOW/EASTERLY FLOW FROM THE MID ATLANTIC ALL
TH EWEAY WEST TO CHICAGO) IS SIMILAR TO THE 2003 PRESIDENT'S DAY
STORM. PERSISTENT JET ENTRANCE REGION/LOW/MID LVL FRONTOGENESIS IS A
BIT FARTHER SOUTH THOUGH.

[2001kx]

what does this mean?is this just for the first part of the storm or the projected storm total ?i am about 50 miles north of KAOO.i hope im not too far north to see good snow totals from this storm(i live in clearfield,pa...about 50 miles west of state college..)


...THE BUFKIT GFS HRLY PRECIP WITH A
LEAD SHORT WAVE STILL FALLS AS ALL SNOW AND AMOUNTS TO 8-10 INCHES
ACROSS OUR SRN TIER COUNTIES (KAOO - KMDT) THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY