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The 12z GFS is now going the euro way big time...
First the Big Plains Midwest Ohio valley Low next week...
Last night Ecmwf day 4
http://weather.unisys.com/ecmwf/restrict/ecmwf_500p_4d.html
This mornings wave models -- the ggem and the 0z and 6z GFS had a cold front...
12z GFS now looking /showing much bigger Low
at 192 hrs the 12z GFS has strong s/w entering the west coast UNDERCUTTING the west coast ridge -- note the men trough hanging over the Lower Plains
[IMG] http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_192s.gif[/IMG]
at 240 hrs -- recall the 0z had the huge 500 Low closed off over MO nonsense..... the 12z now has a s/w passing through the Mississippi valley.Of course the resiltion is soooo poor its loses the s/w but this is a bIG switch from 0z
DAY 10 sfc shows Low developing over SE states Tenn valley
Day 11 the GFS develops the Low off the coast which would be a miss for everyone but This looks promising
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