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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Lehigh
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 90
- Joined: Sat Dec 06, 2003 4:46 pm
- Location: The Greater Lehigh Valley in the state of Pennsylvania.
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Last edited by Lehigh on Wed Dec 31, 2003 7:06 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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The only difficult part of the forecast for me has been the timing issue. That appears resloved now and expect the arctic cold to start overwhelming the pattern this weekend in the north and then south and east next week.
First off... the ridge setting up this week is a very flat ridge and it's not even in the east. It's across the GOM. It is a more zonal flow than anything setting up this week. Even then... expect some cold air to sweep from the lakes into the NE before the big chill comes down from Canada.
Major overrruning events are likely starting next week and the following weeks. This could give folks at a low latitude some nice rounds of very wintry weather.
There is also a good chance that the GOA low locks in for a while late next week and the following weeks. This would promote a +PNA and perhaps lock in some bitterly cold air across the states.
So... I think it's high time to stop questioning whether the cold will come... it will. We should now focus on how cold it will be and where and will it lock in? Those a re the ONLY questions we are now faced with.
First off... the ridge setting up this week is a very flat ridge and it's not even in the east. It's across the GOM. It is a more zonal flow than anything setting up this week. Even then... expect some cold air to sweep from the lakes into the NE before the big chill comes down from Canada.
Major overrruning events are likely starting next week and the following weeks. This could give folks at a low latitude some nice rounds of very wintry weather.
There is also a good chance that the GOA low locks in for a while late next week and the following weeks. This would promote a +PNA and perhaps lock in some bitterly cold air across the states.
So... I think it's high time to stop questioning whether the cold will come... it will. We should now focus on how cold it will be and where and will it lock in? Those a re the ONLY questions we are now faced with.
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SnowWeatherMan
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 16
- Joined: Tue Nov 18, 2003 9:00 am
- Location: Reading, PA
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SnowWeatherMan
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 16
- Joined: Tue Nov 18, 2003 9:00 am
- Location: Reading, PA
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weatherfan
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 89
- Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2003 7:50 pm
MJO timing plus strong easteley QBO
I think upslope HM hit the nail on the head on the other board.That the timing of the MJO periods have been off.And with the Strong easterley QBO its been the Strong Pj as of late.Now that the MJO is going to be weaking for this cycle.We may see a cold periold set up in the Januarey 10-20 time frame.And then after that the MJO next wet pase may start to kick in.So this wnter upslope is diffentey going to be one I beleave to be remember buy its varabiteys and diffacultey of the long range forecastings this year.
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