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Winter Weather Discussion

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Cheesy_Poofs
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#21 Postby Cheesy_Poofs » Tue Feb 17, 2004 6:08 pm

Yeah Brett, painfully close, but looking at the way the precip is moveing, I don't think I'll get a single flake out of this. :cry:

Bob Ryan's timeline, had Howard County not getting a flurry until 9PM tonight, but looking at radar, I don't see where it is going to come from?? :-?
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donsutherland1
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#22 Postby donsutherland1 » Tue Feb 17, 2004 8:04 pm

Erica,

I should also give you credit, too, as I recall you worked with him in developing the forecast. Sorry about the omission.
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#23 Postby Erica » Tue Feb 17, 2004 10:37 pm

donsutherland1 wrote:Erica,

I should also give you credit, too, as I recall you worked with him in developing the forecast. Sorry about the omission.


Only the prelim and first forecast. The two updates I had nothing to do with.
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#24 Postby WEATHER53 » Tue Feb 17, 2004 11:22 pm

Hm, Don, RNS, I like all of them but they were all on for big coastal storms for mid atlantic in the Jan & Feb time frames and it was our contention that this winter would be absent big coastal storms. We did not do nearly as well with temperature profiles but at the end of the day, for DC area-the snow conscience capitol of the world-it is the snow which trumps the temps as far as public clamour. I cannot reacall one person who has nailed it-that is below normal temps and below normal snowfall in the advanced winter outlook.
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Anonymous

#25 Postby Anonymous » Tue Feb 17, 2004 11:28 pm

WEATHER53 wrote: I cannot reacall one person who has nailed it-that is below normal temps and below normal snowfall in the advanced winter outlook.

I completely agree.
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Anonymous

#26 Postby Anonymous » Tue Feb 17, 2004 11:30 pm

For my money, DT has been the best this winter. YES he has called for some big storms from far out that did not materialize or were rain for the cities. In every case he changed his forecast to reflect that about a week before hand(Feb 7, Dec. 24, etc.) He had the current storm basically pegged a week ago and didn't waver with the models. Obviously he has been far from perfect, but when I think back, it is DT who stands out in my mind as having had a good season. HM has had a very good season as well. Last year JB was the clear winner, ths year no one has had as good a year as JB did last year, but I would say HM wins for long range trends and "mapping out" the winter, and DT wins for individual events. Obviously if a major storm develops in March, that will be a huge coup for HM as he has been on that for weeks and weeks.
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