Nor'easter to rake Cape May to Montauk Point

[donsutherland1]

Probably zip--or close to it--for both of us. I'm 20 miles northeast of NYC, and it appears that little snow will fall here.

[Chris the Weather Man]

I am 20 miles West of NYC, ZIP........ for us.

[yoda]

Yeah.. join the group... zip for us here in and around D.C.

[donsutherland1]

Chris,

I just read the thread. HM seems to be suggesting 8+" for SE NJ and maybe 12". I could see the 8" or perhaps a little more in parts of that area. Then again, I tend to err on the conservative side.

[Chris the Weather Man]

Don, Yes, I agree, with you. ( Just wondering, Do you remember March 1960?

[donsutherland1]

Only from the news accounts. I wasn't alive then

[Chris the Weather Man]

lol, Don. I would like to make up for March 2001

[donsutherland1]

Chris,

I'm sure most of us would like to make up for March 2001. Hopefully, winter can go out with one final show of glory in the form of a MECS.

[Chris the Weather Man]

Right On, Don

[donsutherland1]

Another storm, more busts, but also successes. The initial idea that the storm's signficant snowfall would miss the big cities of the East Coast worked out well.

With respect to the February 17-18, 2004 storm, my final ideas were as follows:

Babylon, NY: 2"-4" locally 6"
Baltimore: 0.5"-2.5"
Boston: An inch or less
Cape May: 2"-4" locally 6"
Danbury: Nothing more than flurries at most
Harford: Nothing more than flurries at most
Montauk Point, NY: 4"-8" locally 10"
Nantucket: 4"-8" locally 10"
New York City: 0.5"-2.5"
Newark: 0.5"-2.5"
Ocean City: 2"-4" locally 6"
Peekskill: Nothing more than flurries at most
Philadelphia: 0.5"-2.5"
Providence: 0.5"-2.5"
Richmond: 0.5"-2.5"
Salisbury: 2"-4" locally 6"
Washington, DC: 0.5"-2.5"
Wilmington, DE: 0.5"-2.5"
Worcester: Nothing more than flurries at most

Final Totals:

Babylon, NY: Trace (Bust: 2" below the range)
Baltimore: None (Bust: 0.5" below range)
Boston: Trace
Cape May: 4.1"
Danbury: None
Harford: None
Montauk Point, NY: 4.4" (nearby Southampton, but 6" at the Lighthouse where a photo was taken)
Nantucket: 8.0"
New York City: None (Bust: 0.5" below range)
Newark: None (Bust: 0.5" below range)
Ocean City: 1.7" (Bust: 0.3" below range)
Peekskill: None
Philadelphia: Trace (Bust: 0.5" below range)
Providence: 1.5"
Richmond: 1.0"
Salisbury: 2.0"
Washington, DC: None (Bust: 0.5" below range)
Wilmington, DE: None (Bust: 0.5" below range)
Worcester: None

All said, the storm passed somewhat farther to the east than I had anticipated. As a result, less snowfall than I had envisioned fell in a number of aforementioned cities. However, the busts were not large, as I had not anticipated too much snowfall anyway.

As for the upcoming weekend, I do not believe NYC southward will see any accumulating snow. Boston has a small chance of seeing some, particularly near the end of the storm, but any accumulations should be light. Appreciable accumulations are likely across upstate New York, northern New England, and parts of eastern Canada.

[Chris the Weather Man]

Don, Its ok, You can always get 'em next time!

I look foward to next week... and March 2004....... ( Hope we get a MECS like 1960! )