Let's talk about the winter storm could have beens...

Winter Weather Discussion

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ezweather
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Let's talk about the winter storm could have beens...

#1 Postby ezweather » Fri Feb 20, 2004 1:53 pm

Okay, I know it seems like a repeat of lask week,when some of the models trended toward a big event, but by the time Monday came, the shift happen and then the storm that could have been was gone. So what I like to find out from all of you are the ones that got away. Tell me the stories of the dissapointments, the forecasts that looked so good and why. Did you frame the GFS model graphics from NCEP? I know I'm excited today, but honestly, I need numerous model runs and discussions screaming heavy snow and cold for much of the Mid-Atlantic for Wednesday and Thursday. I know we got a blizzard last year, but if we could something like eastern Canada got this week, that would be a dream. Right now, its now trend time.

So, let the stories fly and can't wait to hear from ya all..
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yoda
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#2 Postby yoda » Fri Feb 20, 2004 1:57 pm

I hear you there ezweather.... I thought the tues-wed snow here was a lock after Saturday... but I was wrong...

So I am hoping Mother Nature will give us a "winter going away" present next week... and ALL MR models are on board for this POTENTIAL nor'easter....
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sertorius
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#3 Postby sertorius » Fri Feb 20, 2004 2:47 pm

My biggest one was 2 weeks ago-24 hours before the event started, models and forecasters were talking 14-18 inches of snow-that is a huge huge event for this area-they were talking strong winds the whole nine yards-biggest storm in about 20 years!! 6 hours before the event, downgraded to 2-4 inches with some ice!! When it was all said and done, I got about 2 inches of sleet, ice and snow and had temps. in the mid 30's through most of the event-(after a high of 10 12 hours before!!!!) Areas to my North and West got the snow!! However, 4 days later, they said about 1-2 inches and I ended up with 7!!! I didn't get the storm of the century, but I did manage our biggest snow in almost 4 years-but oh what could have been!!!!!
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#4 Postby JCT777 » Fri Feb 20, 2004 2:52 pm

I don't think there was ever a time when all of the models locked onto a snowstorm for the I-95 corridor for this past Tue. night/Wednesday storm. Yes, there were times when a few of the models showed such a solution, but I don't think we ever saw complete model agreement.

I would LOVE nothing more than to see complete model agreement on Monday morning for the 2/25-2/27 storm. A lot can still go wrong at this point.
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Chris the Weather Man
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#5 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Fri Feb 20, 2004 2:54 pm

Yeah, But IF they are in agreement by Monday, then we better start getting the shovels out.
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