Lousy May weather pattern !

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Anonymous

Lousy May weather pattern !

#1 Postby Anonymous » Wed May 26, 2004 6:11 pm

This stinks ! I can't stand this pattern we have at the moment - large ridge of high pressure over the SE and mostly sunny and hot !! :( Although not unexpected, I'd still rather be up north right now !

There's some indication that a trough will become established in the East again in early June along with cooler conditions. Finally !

Although I don't put much faith in the GFS beyond 7 days, the 00z run does show some degree of hope by June.4th in the East with a closed 546 low at h50 north of the Great Lakes and a sfc low in PA. Nice trough in the East...........


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nw...fs_slp_216l.gif

The 06z run shows a similar solution with a descent sized trough in the East and sfc low in the NE.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nw...fs_slp_216l.gif

I won't even bother to post the other remaining runs of the GFS (the 12z/18z), although they too show a mean trough position in the East at that time. And being that all these runs are within the 10 day time frame should give some credence to the idea of a cooling trend for the Midwest and EC.

In addition, the NAO is forecast to go strongly negative in the next 5 days and the AO generally neutral to negative which will support trough development in the East along with cold temps relative to normal in Central Canada migrating SE.

Relief on the way ?? What ya'all think ?? :roll:

Ken
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Stormsfury
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#2 Postby Stormsfury » Wed May 26, 2004 10:51 pm

Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but ... by June 1st, the region MAY be close to or at 100º.

SF
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Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Mon May 31, 2004 12:27 pm

Stormsfury wrote:Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but ... by June 1st, the region MAY be close to or at 100º.

SF


I have to disagree on this one, Mike. There is a trough moving into the East this week - but not yet tomorrow. Still, highs are forecast mainly in the upper 80's to near 90 tomorrow with a chance of thundershowers. But late this week, highs should be in the mid 80's range. Even the midlands around Columbia should be similar.

Won't be that bad......... :wink:
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Anonymous

I was right !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

#4 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jun 01, 2004 4:50 pm

Sorry to brag, but today it appears as thus I was right ! High temperatures today in this area was 89 degrees. Cloudcover during the first half of the day was primarily responsible for keeping sfc temps lower today. :D :D

Similar conditions are forecast tomorrow with highs mostly in the mid to upper 80's along with a chance of thundershowers.

Ken
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GalvestonDuck
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#5 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu Jun 03, 2004 1:50 pm

Yup, winter is over. It's HOT here also!
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