12z GFS unleashes

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
aggiecutter
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1753
Joined: Thu Oct 14, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: Texarkana

12z GFS unleashes

#1 Postby aggiecutter » Sun Nov 21, 2004 1:23 pm

the arctic hound east of the Rockies next week. Checkout hours 168 through 384. Normally, I would disregard anything on the GFS past day 7, but this pretty well coincides with where this pattern has been heading for the past 2 weeks.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _fpc.shtml
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 41
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:
Contact wx247

#2 Postby wx247 » Sun Nov 21, 2004 3:01 pm

I am a doubter most of the time... but I agree that this is in line with my thinking, too. It may be slightly overdone though.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
CaptinCrunch
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8728
Age: 57
Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
Location: Kennedale, TX (Tarrant Co.)

#3 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Nov 22, 2004 9:24 am

GFS is bad about long range forecast, I have seen this type of thing already this November with a big push of cold air headed south only to get shot down 24 hours later.
0 likes   
Top
aggiecutter
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1753
Joined: Thu Oct 14, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: Texarkana

#4 Postby aggiecutter » Mon Nov 22, 2004 10:11 am

Today's Ensembles back it up. Plus the source regions of air will change from Polar Pacific to Arctic early next week. The devil is still in the details but things are looking good the next couple weeks.

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens/ ... times.html
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests