Clipper Coming

[Guest]

Clipper coming over the weekend... chance of snow into the big cities. Maybe... just maybe we will eek out an inch or so.

[Wnghs2007]

Whats it going to take to get a low to become a 50/50...Come on NAO!!!!

[Johnny G]

not much coming over the weekend from the Clipper, just about a dusting or so up here in Central Maine

[Wnghs2007]

not much coming over the weekend from the Clipper, just about a dusting or so up here in Central Maine

Most likley.

[Lowpressure]

NWS D.C talking about later shifts may need to look at P-Type with Saturday's event. Models are becoming more agressive with this feature.

[Wnghs2007]

NWS D.C talking about later shifts may need to look at P-Type with Saturday's event. Models are becoming more agressive with this feature.

Cool. Hopefully a fluke will happen. A few days late but hm nailed it somewhat.

[Anonymous]

NWS D.C talking about later shifts may need to look at P-Type with Saturday's event. Models are becoming more agressive with this feature.

Alright I'll take a look at the mods on this feature. It IS a bit early though for N VA for snow, I'd rather it were into January, then I'd think we have a chance for snow from a clipper.

-Jeb

[Wnghs2007]

NWS D.C talking about later shifts may need to look at P-Type with Saturday's event. Models are becoming more agressive with this feature.

Alright I'll take a look at the mods on this feature. It IS a bit early though for N VA for snow, I'd rather it were into January, then I'd think we have a chance for snow from a clipper.

-Jeb

LOL...Take what you can get.

[Guest]

Still, we could have another dec 4th/5th snow event. Whether its a dusting, an inch, or just a few flurries, it is SNOW!

[Wnghs2007]

Still, we could have another dec 4th/5th snow event. Whether its a dusting, an inch, or just a few flurries, it is SNOW!

Hope for the best. Because the quicker yall get snow. The more chance for me to get snow. I wish.

[Lowpressure]

It appears that the NWS has backed off of the frozen precip idea in the metro, they left a chance in the ridges to the west and the Penn border counties. Pattern is terrible, look more towards the 10th-20th as others have mentioned.

[Wnghs2007]

It appears that the NWS has backed off of the frozen precip idea in the metro, they left a chance in the ridges to the west and the Penn border counties. Pattern is terrible, look more towards the 10th-20th as others have mentioned.

Hopefully yall will get something soon.

[Guest]

wow, noaa is now on board w/the clipper again. rain/snow in the forecast friday night & saturday!

[Wnghs2007]

wow, noaa is now on board w/the clipper again. rain/snow in the forecast friday night & saturday!

Cool. Hope ya get to see something.

[Guest]

they are also forecasting some snow showers thursday night now as well. As of now, I'm thinking Tr.-2" with all snow at night and turning to more of a mix during the day. 2 inches COULD happen, as clippers around our area are generally underestimated (January 2003 anyone?) While I'm not expecting something like that, I do think we will have snow. Taking a look at NOAA's temperature and weather graphics, as of now looks like Washington won't be the last I-95 city to recieve snow..... this one right now looks to miss Philly lol.

[Anonymous]

Latest Forecast Discussion for LWX

000
FXUS61 KLWX 011954
AFDLWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
255 PM EST WED DEC 01 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT)...

WND GST OBS FRM ARND THE REGN AT 19Z HAVE SLACKND A BIT...WITH ONLY
A COUPLE OF SITES REPORTING WND ADVSRY CRIT ATTM. WL WAIT UNTIL
AFTER THE 20Z OBS TO COME IN...BUT AM LEANING TO LETTING THE HWW AND
WND ADVSRY EXPIRE AT 5 PM. SCA COND WL CONT THRU AT LEAST MIDNIGHT
TNGHT.

SC CLDS WILL CLEAR AFT SUNSET...XCPT IN XTRME WSTRN ZNS WHERE THEY
WILL CONT TONIGHT.
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS. ANY SCATTERED CLOUDS WITH 4-6K FT BASES WILL CLEAR OUT
AFTER SUNSET...LEAVING SKC...UNTIL SCATTERED CIRRUS AT 25K FT WORK
IN LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON THURSDAY. THE MAIN AVIATION ISSUE
CONTINUES TO BE WINDS. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING AOA 40 KT
WILL PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT 22Z...THEN ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
THROUGH 02Z BUT STILL MAY GUST ABOVE 20 KT. BEYOND 02Z...WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO HAVE DECREASED TO AROUND 10 KTS.
&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
MEDIUM AND LONG RANGE. ALTHOUGH...A BIG CHANGE IN THE PATTERN MAY
BE ON THE HORIZON TOWARD THE MIDDLE TO THE END OF NEXT WEEK. IN THE
MEDIUM RANGE...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY TIME FRAME...THE WEATHER
MAKERS WILL PRIMARILY BE TO WEAK SHORT WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE FAST
FLOW. BUT UNTIL THEN...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. THE FIRST
SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH ON FRIDAY MORNING AND MAY BRING SOME
UPSLOPE -SHRA OR -SHSN TO THE MOUNTAINS OF WV. I HAVE 20 POP FOR
THIS ON FRIDAY. THE OTHER WEATHER MAKER IS A SECOND AND STRONGER
SHORT WAVE WILL THROUGH SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER SHOT OF -SHRA AND
-SHSN OVER ABOUT THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA.

AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. IT WILL KEEP THINGS DRY AND TEMPERATURE WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL. ON MONDAY...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. IT WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. FIRST...A
WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOST OF THE RAIN SHOULD
HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY EVENING. BUT...THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE
AREA MAY SEE SOME RAIN BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY. AHEAD OF
IT...MUCH OF THE AREA WILL SEE A FAIR AMOUNT OF RAIN. COOLER AND
BREEZY WEATHER WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

AT THE UPPER LEVELS...A DEEP TROUGH WILL BUILD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PART OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT WEEK AND
MAY ALLOW FOR THE FIRST REALLY COLD OUTBREAK OF THE SEASON.
&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...SCA ALL AREAS.
&&

$$
SHORT TERM/MARINE: LEE
AVIATION: PELOQUIN
LONG TERM: KELLS

I MUST say I like the idea of a good cold outbreak, but I sure hope the folks at the NWS have NOT been staring at that darn 240 hr good for nothing GFS!!!

-Jeb

[Lowpressure]

I am with you Jeb, in regards to the GFS. I do, as many others on this board that the 10th-20th will be interesting for us here. Keep a look out for some flurries over the next couple of days. Keep in touch my Northern Virginia friend. Yoda will probably offer some good insight as well.

[verycoolnin]

It looks like this little guy's going to be a dud.

[Yankeegirl]

Send the snow here!!!