








.DISCUSSION...A WEAK AND DRY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SIT WEST OF ARIZONA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP COOL AND DRY WEATHER OVER THE STATE...WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER. THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND IS BECOMING MORE DIFFICULT AS WE DRAW CLOSER TO THE EVENT. MODELS HAVE DEVIATED FROM EACH OTHER AND NOW WE ARE LEFT WITH SCENARIOS RANGING FROM A SIGNIFICANT STORM TO JUST A SKIFF OF SNOW AND MORE COLD WEATHER. EVEN THE GLOBAL MODELS VARY SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE GFS KEEPING ITS MORE PROGRESSIVE TREND THAT SHOWED UP LAST NIGHT. THE UKMET/CANADIAN/AND EURO MODELS ALL SHOW A SLOWER AND DEEPER SOLUTION...WITH MUCH MORE CURVATURE. WILL TREND TOWARD A LESS PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION FOR NOW...BUT WILL NOT GO MUCH HIGHER THAN 40 PERCENT POPS FOR SUNDAY AT THIS TIME. HGHTS RECOVER EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER WEAK S/WV POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY. RIGHT NOW...WE HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THIS WAVE...AND THAT LOOKS FINE. MODELS SEEM TO BE CONVERGING ON A STRONG SOUTHWEST RIDGE BY LATE NEXT WEEK...WHICH WOULD BE A CHANCE FROM THE PATTERN WE HAVE BEEN UNDER FOR A MONTH OR MORE. PETERSON.
Dennis
