Anybody Worried About A Repeat Of Mar 2001 ???

[Noreaster_Jer_04]

It has to be on other people's mind, cause it's on mine, I don't know the technical, in depth details of any similarity, but as I remember the storm was supposed to mis well to the south a few days out, and then each run brought the sytem northward...

Eventually it was supposed to nail PA with up to 4 ft of snow, I remember Paul Kocin on TWC saying that very clearly.

Result was storm did come together but well north of forecast, is there any possibilty of another major bust ???

Below are Accuweather's forecast and then the real snow reports...

[img]http://newj18.vwh.net/girone/winter/2001/030501/snw-fcst.jpg[img/]

[img]http://newj18.vwh.net/girone/winter/2001/030501/snw-rpts.jpg[img/]

[Noreaster_Jer_04]

Whoops, let me try that again...


Forecasted:


Actual Results:

[BlizzardNole]

Yes it concerns me -- Miller-B systems are rarely big for the DC area. They can bust right up to the hour when they're supposed to start.

That actual map looks funny -- we didn't get a flake from March Bust of 2001, and I'm 30 miles NW of DC.

[Noreaster_Jer_04]

Yeah the map isn't that great, I live in SE PA, my location is suposedly in the 3-6" category, as I remember I think we recieved 1" or 2"

The maps were more to make a point than anything else, I don't trust Miller B's either, I hate them in fact, earlier in 2001 actually New Years, my area got missed by a Miller B, it was funny the forecast just 2 hours before go time was 10-16" for my area, result ended up being 2" with some backlash snows, but that was a really weird storm, In Allentown, there were places on the eastern side of the city that recieved near 12" while the west side barely recieved 4-6" and most of that fell from the afore mentioned backlash after the storm passed...

[adelphi_sky]

Okay. What are MIller B's and why should we hate them? lol

[Noreaster_Jer_04]

There are two types of Noreasters, Miller A's and Miller B's... A's are formed in the souther stream and track up the coast, we like them better becasue the storm actually exsists and is easier to track...

Miller B's on the other hand, are what I like to call "Phantom Storms", energy come along from the northern stream, in this case an arctic wave and then re-develop a storm on the coast, the old storm transfers energy to the new storm forming, only problem is you can follow the original source of energy, but there really is no way of knowing for sure where the new storm will form, ususally the mistake is about 50 miles off or so, in 2001 the error was over 300 miles.

[adelphi_sky]

Ahhhhhh. Thanks. That clears it up for me. Makes sense too.

[Tri-State_1925]

I was in central CT when that 01 storm happened -- we got 15 inches (snow only lasted a couple of days though). Up in WMass my people supposedly got 24 inches.

I'm going to be back in WMass from 1/21-1/24. What is this...the 7th time I'll be getting nailed up there with snow this year? Anyway...let's see what this storm has. Most snow I've seen from one storm -- 18 inches in the 93 Superstorm in WMass (that's not counting the 20 or so inches we suppoedly got in NYC a couple years ago -- hey, I didn't see anything close to that on the streets).

[JenyEliza]

I was in central CT when that 01 storm happened -- we got 15 inches (snow only lasted a couple of days though). Up in WMass my people supposedly got 24 inches.

I'm going to be back in WMass from 1/21-1/24. What is this...the 7th time I'll be getting nailed up there with snow this year? Anyway...let's see what this storm has. Most snow I've seen from one storm -- 18 inches in the 93 Superstorm in WMass (that's not counting the 20 or so inches we suppoedly got in NYC a couple years ago -- hey, I didn't see anything close to that on the streets).

Any plans for a trip to Atlanta this winter? COME ON DOWN!! You seem to bring snow with you--wherever you go!