My Winter Storm Precipation type map for late week.

[Gothpunk-IL-WX]

[Lowpressure]

Thanks for the graphics. I think your storm track is a little too far north. I would recommend different colors, I can barely tell all the pinks and purples apart. Maybe I am color blind.

[Stormsfury]

Totally disagree ... WRT to the Eastern Seaboard and Southeast (particularly in the Carolinas) ... as for the Midwest and Upper Plains, I think that's fine ...

especially with regards to wraparound moisture further south with redevelopment offshore ... again, the trend will likely go further south again, with the 50/50 low becoming stronger and stronger with each passing model run, and a general consensus is starting to be realized ...

The UKMET is the furthest south, but it also realizes the CAD wedging component that I fully expect to see instead of this rollover effect. The model solutions are trending a bit slower as well with the storm system. The other models are eroding the wedge, even the ECMWF much too quickly, and basically runs the SLP thru what SHOULD be a cold air plume on the Eastern side of the Appalachains. Overall, the ECMWF/UKMET solution blend is the way to go at this point.

SF

[adelphi_sky]

Okay. I learned what MECS and HECS was yesterday. Time for a new lesson. What's CAD?

[QCWx]

Okay. I learned what MECS and HECS was yesterday. Time for a new lesson. What's CAD?

Cold air damming. It's when a high usually sets up anywhere from Northern MD-NY State. I say usually because it can form further north or slightly more to the west. The high then funnels cold air down the eastern side of the mountains which is normally shallow, hence all of the ice storms that occur in the carolina and sometimes virginia piedmonts.

[Brent]

What do you have Eastern Tennessee and Western North Carolina here? I know it's snow, but the colors are too close together to tell whether it's light or heavy.

[BowMeHunter]

Im hoping that clipper on roids will track a bit farther north and bring some heavier snows to Eastern Wisc I don't want no stinking Inch or two..We need a solid 3-6 to get the Snowmobiles fired up in Southern wisconsin..Any one think this could happen for the Milwaukee area?

[Guest]

Im hoping that clipper on roids will track a bit farther north and bring some heavier snows to Eastern Wisc I don't want no stinking Inch or two..We need a solid 3-6 to get the Snowmobiles fired up in Southern wisconsin..Any one think this could happen for the Milwaukee area?

I do as do alot of models as well. Maybe more perhaps.

[BowMeHunter]

Im hoping that clipper on roids will track a bit farther north and bring some heavier snows to Eastern Wisc I don't want no stinking Inch or two..We need a solid 3-6 to get the Snowmobiles fired up in Southern wisconsin..Any one think this could happen for the Milwaukee area?

I do as do alot of models as well. Maybe more perhaps.

AHHH you just made my B-Day alot better with that news

[madscientist]

Let's just hope the low tracks about 50 to 100 miles to the south of your forecast.

[Guest]

Let's just hope the low tracks about 50 to 100 miles to the south of your forecast.

Lets hope not.

[BowMeHunter]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
310 PM CST WED JAN 19 2005

.A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND
BRING A SWATH OF POSSIBLE HEAVY SNOWFALL TO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-200309-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
310 PM CST WED JAN 19 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH.

6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION GUSTY WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO A REDUCTION IN VISIBILITIES AS WELL AS BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE...BUT NOT IMMINENT. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING CONDITIONS MAY BECOME
HAZARDOUS...SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$
COLLAR/DAVIS


I hope this aint the Kiss Of Death