
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FXUS65 KFGZ 261017 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF 300 AM MST SAT FEB 26 2005 .SYNOPSIS...A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON SUNDAY...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE IN WESTERN ARIZONA AND SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE STATE BY MONDAY. FOR TUESDAY AND FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. && .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW WILL LINGER OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. LAPSE RATES ONCE AGAIN WILL BE AROUND 7.0 TO 8.0 DEG C/KM THIS AFTERNOON. MOIST LOW TO MID-LEVELS ALONG WITH AN UNSTABLE ATMOS WILL ALLOW FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. WARMING ALOFT ALONG WITH DRYING IN THE MID-LEVELS ON SUNDAY...THESE TWO FACTORS WILL BRING AN END TO THE SHOWERS. EXPECT WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE ATMOS WARMS UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST BY THE GFS AND THE ETA TO MOVE ACROSS UTAH AND BRUSH NORTHERN SECTIONS OF ARIZONA LATE ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. CAN NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER PRECIP CHC`S AT THIS TIME LOOK TO BE AROUND 10 PERCENT. ONCE THAT SYSTEM MOVES ON BY TUESDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK IN OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH WARMING DAYTIME HIGHS.
Dennis

Now, ask me how I feel this SUMMER, I'll probably be bit*hing about how HOT and DRY it is........I know, just like a TYPICAL MALE
