Texas Winter 2020-2021

Winter Weather Discussion

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wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#101 Postby wxman57 » Tue Dec 08, 2020 10:10 am

With a strengthening La Nina, my long-range guy at the office, whom I've worked with since 1990, says well above-normal temps for Texas and dry conditions for the winter. Now, if we could just get rid of the current freezing cold temps in Houston so I can get in some riding before my shoulder surgery...
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#102 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Dec 08, 2020 1:33 pm

Thread and winter are over. :uarrow:

Oh well, it was fun while it lasted
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#103 Postby lrak » Tue Dec 08, 2020 3:13 pm

wxman57 wrote:With a strengthening La Nina, my long-range guy at the office, whom I've worked with since 1990, says well above-normal temps for Texas and dry conditions for the winter. Now, if we could just get rid of the current freezing cold temps in Houston so I can get in some riding before my shoulder surgery...


I like long-range forecast :P

CCTX has been having a stellar fall season. Southern California beach weather for FREE. :sun:

Super dry conditions, last major rain event was Hurricane Hanna.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#104 Postby Brent » Tue Dec 08, 2020 5:45 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:Thread and winter are over. :uarrow:

Oh well, it was fun while it lasted


Yup we had our cold last week :spam:

Sunset starts getting later soon anyway :spam:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#105 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 08, 2020 5:49 pm

Just when you think 2020 can’t get any worse, THAT guy decides to show up. :D

Hope and pray your shoulder surgery goes well Wxman57. Winter weather or not, have a good and easy recovery.

Merry Christmas my friend!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#106 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Dec 08, 2020 9:10 pm

18z Euro Ensemble and Control run are showing a winter storm for TX on Sunday. The forecast confidence beyond Friday is quite low due to considerable model disagreement.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#107 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Dec 08, 2020 10:07 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:18z Euro Ensemble and Control run are showing a winter storm for TX on Sunday. The forecast confidence beyond Friday is quite low due to considerable model disagreement.


This Sunday and where in Texas?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#108 Postby Brent » Tue Dec 08, 2020 10:47 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:18z Euro Ensemble and Control run are showing a winter storm for TX on Sunday. The forecast confidence beyond Friday is quite low due to considerable model disagreement.


Just saw the icon is too but it's the icon still the Euro had a storm last week and was wrong too..
Image

the GFS is sunny in the 50s
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#109 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 09, 2020 1:25 am

the CMC had some snow to the NW but it dies out on approach(sounds about like normal for Dallas)

The 0z Euro has some mixed precip in the western metro briefly Sunday morning but its short lived and doesn't spread
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#110 Postby Cerlin » Wed Dec 09, 2020 4:21 am

Anyone have any good analog winters for this winter?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#111 Postby orangeblood » Wed Dec 09, 2020 9:00 am

Brent wrote:the CMC had some snow to the NW but it dies out on approach(sounds about like normal for Dallas)

The 0z Euro has some mixed precip in the western metro briefly Sunday morning but its short lived and doesn't spread


0Z Euro shows column below freezing down to 925mb when bulk of precip moves through Sunday morning. Euro ENS members have 1/2 to 1 inch snow across DFW. Something to finally follow, it's been awhile!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#112 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Dec 09, 2020 12:32 pm

Cerlin wrote:Anyone have any good analog winters for this winter?


Been wondering myself!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#113 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 09, 2020 1:20 pm

12z Euro snows in Oklahoma but not DFW

Icon has trended that way after being snowy in DFW last night, CMC same idea
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#114 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Dec 09, 2020 1:43 pm

Canada has been absurdly warm recently but it is getting colder up where we need it to be. Places like Edmonton and Calgary were flirting with 50 degrees just last week but are forecasted to get much colder in the near term. Hopefully this the beginning of something we can tap into as we get closer to January.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#115 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Dec 09, 2020 6:49 pm

Waco from 32F this morning to 80F this afternoon :sun:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#116 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Dec 09, 2020 7:10 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Waco from 32F this morning to 80F this afternoon :sun:


Wtf? Lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#117 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 09, 2020 7:17 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Waco from 32F this morning to 80F this afternoon :sun:


Wtf? Lol


dry air..

DFW 38/79
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#118 Postby arizona_sooner » Wed Dec 09, 2020 10:15 pm

Wow that's a large daily differential from Waco today:

TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 80 338 PM 82 2019 60 20 82
MINIMUM 32 738 AM 17 2005 38 -6 48

At home in NW Phoenix only 79/55... We had some moisture seep in from the southwest with maybe (really maybe) some rain overnight and tomorrow morning!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#119 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Dec 10, 2020 12:27 am

Brent wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Waco from 32F this morning to 80F this afternoon :sun:


Wtf? Lol


dry air..

DFW 38/79


Man I understand that but still.. I mean we certainly don’t get that down here in my part of the state.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#120 Postby Brent » Thu Dec 10, 2020 1:49 am

increasingly looking like Oklahoma will be the snow bullseye on Sunday... the Euro has 4-5" in OKC :double: but the snow magically stops around the border as usual :spam:
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