Texas Winter 2022-2023

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Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1081 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 12:36 am

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1082 Postby Ntxw » Tue Dec 13, 2022 12:37 am

0z Gefs plunges the cold due south even compared to its prior runs.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1083 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Dec 13, 2022 12:40 am

Keep in mind these are ensembles folks.... Incredible alignment and insane cold. Obviously, the lead up to this is still cold, but my goodness that's one heck of a signal day 9-10.

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1084 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Dec 13, 2022 5:09 am

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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1085 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Dec 13, 2022 5:32 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0581.html

Well good morning.....

Had a Positive Strike within 1-2 miles of me, heard a BANG!
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1086 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:01 am

There is a tornado warned storm that is coming towards me, it's currently located near Lindsay, OK
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1087 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:32 am

1076 HP in the NW Territories on 06z GFS, 9 days out.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1088 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:35 am

I may need to go to my Tornado Shelter, there is a Tornado on the Ground to my SW near Wayne!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1089 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:52 am

5:50 AM UPDATE

Will not go to the Tornado Shelter, the Squall Line just blew through and the tornado threat is now over for me. That was too close!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1090 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:59 am

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1091 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:00 am

083
WWUS54 KFWD 131152
SVSFWD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
552 AM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

TXC133-143-131215-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0070.000000T0000Z-221213T1215Z/
Erath TX-Eastland TX-
552 AM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN ERATH AND EAST CENTRAL EASTLAND COUNTIES...

At 551 AM CST, a confirmed tornado was located 10 miles east of Lake
Leon, or 10 miles southeast of Ranger, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Erath and east central Eastland Counties, including the
following locations... Hannibal and Thurber.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter now! Get to an interior room on the lowest floor
of a sturdy building and avoid windows.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3239 9859 3251 9847 3251 9824 3237 9819
3231 9855
TIME...MOT...LOC 1151Z 238DEG 34KT 3237 9853

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1092 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:02 am

Tornadic Couplet near Tribbey, OK

May need to get below ground.
Last edited by Iceresistance on Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1093 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:02 am

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1094 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:14 am

Who had predawn tornado threat in DFW on their Dec. 13, 2022 Bingo Card?

 https://twitter.com/nwsspc/status/1602634772437561344


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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1095 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:16 am

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
612 AM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southwestern Wise County in north central Texas...
Northern Parker County in north central Texas...

* Until 700 AM CST.

* At 612 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Lake Mineral Wells, or 7 miles northeast of
Mineral Wells, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Poolville around 625 AM CST.
Springtown around 645 AM CST.
Paradise around 655 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Adell,
Agnes, Whitt, Advance, Authon, Cottondale, Keeter, Boonsville and
Garner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3299 9754 3282 9806 3294 9806 3300 9796
3300 9792 3303 9792 3318 9765
TIME...MOT...LOC 1212Z 237DEG 32KT 3292 9802

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1096 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:47 am

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1097 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:52 am

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1098 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:53 am

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
643 AM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

TXC363-367-131330-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0073.000000T0000Z-221213T1330Z/
Parker TX-Palo Pinto TX-
643 AM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CST FOR SOUTHERN
PARKER AND SOUTHEASTERN PALO PINTO COUNTIES...

At 643 AM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Lipan, or 14
miles south of Mineral Wells, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This tornado will be near...
Brock around 700 AM CST.
Western Lake around 710 AM CST.
Weatherford, Hudson Oaks and Annetta around 725 AM CST.
Willow Park and Lake Weatherford around 730 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Brock
Junction, Santo, New Salem, Dennis, Brazos, Annetta South, Annetta
North, Tin Top and Bennett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter now! Get to an interior room on the lowest floor
of a sturdy building and avoid windows.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3254 9820 3262 9823 3290 9766 3263 9764
TIME...MOT...LOC 1243Z 245DEG 29KT 3260 9807

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1099 Postby Ntxw » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:54 am

Quite a morning in Okla and NTX. System is powerful, stay safe.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1100 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:55 am

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