Texas Winter 2016-2017

[Ntxw]

late next week Christmas period storm is coming into California, a bit slower than the previous 2 runs

[Snowman67]

Where is the cold front that is coming through this weekend currently located? Thx.

[Brent]

Rain breaks out Christmas Eve. Temps in the 60s.

70s pushing north Christmas Eve night

[Ntxw]

Where is the cold front that is coming through this weekend currently located? Thx.

The cold air mass is in W-Central Canada. By early Saturday you will see some crazy temperature swings in the central plains. then you will see 50s/60s in the Panhandle on one side 20s/30s a very short distance away.

[Brent]

DFW near 70 at midnight on Christmas. Looks to be similar to earlier runs... fropa would be Christmas morning

Temps in the 50s by Christmas morning. Snow in Oklahoma.

[Ntxw]

DFW near 70 at midnight on Christmas. Looks to be similar to earlier runs... fropa would be Christmas morning

Temps in the 50s by Christmas morning. Snow in Oklahoma.

Looks like a blizzard in the Panhandle and Oklahoma. 20-30kts wind whipped snow

[Golf7070]

Ntxw，i know we are fixing to enter a ugly period after this cold blast. How long you think it lasts? Will it take a mjo to shake things up? I think mjo may be in bad phases right now. Hopefully tropical forcing shifts where we want it

[Brent]

The snow is not far away... maybe we can get something like 2009 or 2012.

DFW is in the 30s by evening

[ThunderSleetDreams]

534 dm line through Dallas and 540 through Waco Christmas dinner time... snow along Red River

[Ntxw]

Ntxw，i know we are fixing to enter a ugly period after this cold blast. How long you think it lasts? Will it take a mjo to shake things up? I think mjo may be in bad phases right now. Hopefully tropical forcing shifts where we want it

I would not call it a bad period for us. It is a terrible pattern if you are on the east coast and southeast. For Texas we are kind of in between ridges. Storms and cold air bleeds from the west. The runs that bump southeast ridging we get a little warm, no bump and it stays seasonable to slightly below.

You have to be careful getting info from social media. They are heavily biased towards the eastern seaboard. A bad pattern for them often is beneficial to us. The west and plains is not being torched by the southeast ridge.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Christmas night is cold and aggiecutter may see some snow in texarkana

[Ntxw]

The snow is not far away... maybe we can get something like 2009 or 2012.

DFW is in the 30s by evening

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... cus_40.png

Both systems the weeks and days leading up to it, was mostly modeled as Oklahoma/panhandle event. There's that #Keephopealive #ChristmasMiracle

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Ntxw，i know we are fixing to enter a ugly period after this cold blast. How long you think it lasts? Will it take a mjo to shake things up? I think mjo may be in bad phases right now. Hopefully tropical forcing shifts where we want it

Not a ugly pattern for us at all

[ThunderSleetDreams]

26th struggles to get in the 40s

[Brent]

Ntxw，i know we are fixing to enter a ugly period after this cold blast. How long you think it lasts? Will it take a mjo to shake things up? I think mjo may be in bad phases right now. Hopefully tropical forcing shifts where we want it

Not a ugly pattern for us at all

At least we have hope for some rain to snow... east of here it's gonna be a low near Chicago and warm sector with a better chance of tornadoes than anything frozen... It's not a perfect pattern but I mean, it could be far worse

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Struggle to see 40 on the 27th too

[Cerlin]

So, on the models, what is the most logical chance for the DFW area to have snowfall in the next coming weeks?

[Brent]

So, on the models, what is the most logical chance for the DFW area to have snowfall in the next coming weeks?

I would say around Christmas(granted it is still out there) if we don't squeeze out some flakes Saturday Night

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Struggle to get much above 40 on the 28th but I'll be in Montana where I'll struggle to see 20 with 3 feet of snow mid mountain while trying to tackle Lone Mountain

[Ntxw]

So, on the models, what is the most logical chance for the DFW area to have snowfall in the next coming weeks?

Slim, but better than your average chance . Really though, if you are hoping for snow on Christmas at least there is a well modeled storm for awhile now. It is better than last year, when we were waiting on how warm it was going to get.