
Texas Winter 2024-2025
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
For the Oklahoma folks. It got really windy in Vegas during one of the bowl games that year. If you start seeing it dig way down in the Great Basin to Nevada then we're in business.


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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Ntxw wrote:For the Oklahoma folks. It got really windy in Vegas during one of the bowl games that year. If you start seeing it dig way down in the Great Basin to Nevada then we're in business.
https://i.imgur.com/7d869xO.gif
What is that and why not also for North Texas? That dark blue is right over all of us?
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
HockeyTx82 wrote:Ntxw wrote:For the Oklahoma folks. It got really windy in Vegas during one of the bowl games that year. If you start seeing it dig way down in the Great Basin to Nevada then we're in business.
https://i.imgur.com/7d869xO.gif
What is that and why not also for North Texas? That dark blue is right over all of us?
It can be if the front is way faster than forecast, just no model support for that yet. That's the Christmas Eve Blizzard. Models were saying Kansas and north for days up until the last minute it just dug and dug.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Ntxw wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Ntxw wrote:For the Oklahoma folks. It got really windy in Vegas during one of the bowl games that year. If you start seeing it dig way down in the Great Basin to Nevada then we're in business.
https://i.imgur.com/7d869xO.gif
What is that and why not also for North Texas? That dark blue is right over all of us?
It can be if the front is way faster than forecast, just no model support for that yet. That's the Christmas Eve Blizzard. Models were saying Kansas and north for days up until the last minute it just dug and dug.
Yeah see right now we're even too warm... But I'm hoping it's the usual arctic air comes in faster than expected
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Brent wrote:The GFS clown map has 20 inches near Little Rock in 24 hours![]()
Now it includes sleet and ice but still
Definitely fzr and sleet changing to rain. Gfs still includes fzr as snow. Not sure why lol
Last edited by Golfisnteasy7575 on Mon Dec 30, 2024 9:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
You can read the Christmas Eve meltdowns below. Though he's no longer here Msstateguy stuck to his guns on that one...and won against the model's will.
https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... start=1640
https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... start=1640
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
TWC now has 1-3 inches of snow on Sunday suddenly 
Trends...

Trends...
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Ntxw wrote:You can read the Christmas Eve meltdowns below. Though he's no longer here Msstateguy stuck to his guns on that one...and won against the model's will.
https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... start=1640
That guy is a legend. That was my first time on this site.
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I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
wxman22 wrote:The 18Z Euro also shifted significantly southwest with the weekends system.
https://i.ibb.co/yB6SRn7/ecmwf-deterministic-scentus-z500-anom-6100000.png
If this got close to verifying, would future euro runs have the lp further south, or no?
Last edited by Golfisnteasy7575 on Mon Dec 30, 2024 8:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
The 18z GEFS still has quite a few blanks this weekend but it has some big members now that didn't exist earlier
Almost every EPS member had something at 12z
Almost every EPS member had something at 12z
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
I just reread that 2009 thread. Man that brings back memories. I was still in my 20s and a bottle of brown water deep enjoying that thread.
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Ntxw wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Ntxw wrote:For the Oklahoma folks. It got really windy in Vegas during one of the bowl games that year. If you start seeing it dig way down in the Great Basin to Nevada then we're in business.
https://i.imgur.com/7d869xO.gif
What is that and why not also for North Texas? That dark blue is right over all of us?
It can be if the front is way faster than forecast, just no model support for that yet. That's the Christmas Eve Blizzard. Models were saying Kansas and north for days up until the last minute it just dug and dug.
I was in Edmond,OK and that was a glorious day! It just kept coming and coming! Doubt I’ll ever see anything like that again.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Wthrfan wrote:Ntxw wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:
What is that and why not also for North Texas? That dark blue is right over all of us?
It can be if the front is way faster than forecast, just no model support for that yet. That's the Christmas Eve Blizzard. Models were saying Kansas and north for days up until the last minute it just dug and dug.
I was in Edmond,OK and that was a glorious day! It just kept coming and coming! Doubt I’ll ever see anything like that again.
11" from that storm was only surpassed by the multi-storm 2021 event. If we get another big one next week that'll be 3 heavy snows in 16 years, honestly that's pretty good for here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
This has been shifting westward with the trough digging in the southwest.


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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Golfisnteasy7575 wrote:wxman22 wrote:The 18Z Euro also shifted significantly southwest with the weekends system.
https://i.ibb.co/yB6SRn7/ecmwf-deterministic-scentus-z500-anom-6100000.png
If this got close to verifying, would future euro runs have the lp further south, or no?
I think that's possible. I noticed that the surface reflection looked further north on the 18z Euro than you would usually expect considering the location the Euro has the 500mb shortwave. I'm interested to see if the tends continue in the 0z global model runs tonight lol.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Ntxw wrote:You can read the Christmas Eve meltdowns below. Though he's no longer here Msstateguy stuck to his guns on that one...and won against the model's will.
https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... start=1640
The stuff of legends. I remember that one. That was a storm for sure.
Wonder what he's up to now.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Latest Euro AI run now takes this weekends S/W so far south it cuts off a piece towards El Paso, big Texas winter storm Monday into Tuesday




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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
TWC still getting more aggressive with Sunday here too although it mentions a lot of ice and mix 

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Looks like the ICON is onboard. That's one heck of a winter storm setting up on the 0z ICON.



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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
wxman22 wrote:Looks like the ICON is onboard. That's one heck of a winter storm setting up on the 0z ICON.![]()
https://i.ibb.co/FJFP69Z/icon-all-conus-z500-anom-6251200.png
What would this equate too, when, where and how much?
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