Texas Winter 2021-2022

[dhweather]

Low 60s this morning in Houston. Cold front should reach us by noon. Quick turn-around to onshore flow tomorrow, warming us back up. GFS runs after yesterday's 12Z snowmageddon run are more reasonable looking. The surface features match the upper-air flow. That wasn't the case with yesterday's 12Z GFS. Euro doesn't indicate any real cold air down here in SE TX over the next 10 days. Low into the upper 30s one day. Temps a little above normal.

I'll trade you the current 36 in Heath for the 60's you have.

[wxman57]

Low 60s this morning in Houston. Cold front should reach us by noon. Quick turn-around to onshore flow tomorrow, warming us back up. GFS runs after yesterday's 12Z snowmageddon run are more reasonable looking. The surface features match the upper-air flow. That wasn't the case with yesterday's 12Z GFS. Euro doesn't indicate any real cold air down here in SE TX over the next 10 days. Low into the upper 30s one day. Temps a little above normal.

I'll trade you the current 36 in Heath for the 60's you have.

No, thanks. I'll keep my current 66F temperature. Cold air remains just north of Houston. We should be back in the 70s Sat/Sun.

[Cpv17]

Low 60s this morning in Houston. Cold front should reach us by noon. Quick turn-around to onshore flow tomorrow, warming us back up. GFS runs after yesterday's 12Z snowmageddon run are more reasonable looking. The surface features match the upper-air flow. That wasn't the case with yesterday's 12Z GFS. Euro doesn't indicate any real cold air down here in SE TX over the next 10 days. Low into the upper 30s one day. Temps a little above normal.

I'll trade you the current 36 in Heath for the 60's you have.

No, thanks. I'll keep my current 66F temperature. Cold air remains just north of Houston. We should be back in the 70s Sat/Sun.

We’ll have a pretty good chance for rain and severe storms on Saturday. Many of us could use the rain.

[Cpv17]

Why has the cold air advection moderated so much with this front as it pushes further south into southeast TX? Seems like most of the cold air advection stopped going further south once this front got into north TX. What’s the hold up? I saw that the models were indicating this happening as far back as last week. I mean for folks up in north Texas and Oklahoma, this front is just about on par with the last front we had this past weekend.

[wxman22]

Why has the cold air advection moderated so much with this front as it pushes further south into southeast TX? Seems like most of the cold air advection stopped going further south once this front got into north TX. What’s the hold up? I saw that the models were indicating this happening as far back as last week. I mean for folks up in north Texas and Oklahoma, this front is just about on par with the last front we had this past weekend.

Its the Southwest flow aloft... From HGX morning discussion

Behind the front, cold air advection is making its entrance across
Southeast TX with sfc dewpoints quickly falling into the upper 30s
across the Brazos Valley early this morning. A drier airmass will
continue to spread across the entire region; however, temperatures
will be a bit tricky. 925:850 hPa winds remain from the west-
southwest component, resulting in warmer values, especially along
the coastal zones. With this level of uncertainty, have leaned
towards the 25th to 50th percentile of climatology for today`s highs
to produce temperatures from the mid 50s to upper 60s north of I-10
and from the upper 60s to near 70 south. It will also be breezy this
afternoon as pressure gradient tightens with the sfc high centered
over the Plains. Light winds, mostly clear skies and continued CAA
will result in a cold night. Overnight lows will drop from the upper
20s to mid 30s north of I-10 (colder readings in the Brazos Valley)
and from the mid 30s to upper 40s south of I-10 and along the
Islands.

[Yukon Cornelius]

22 with a windchill of 5 at 11:00. I love days like this.

[Cpv17]

22 with a windchill of 5 at 11:00. I love days like this.

68 here lol

[TropicalTundra]

22 with a windchill of 5 at 11:00. I love days like this.

We're still sitting at low 40's in Killeen-Temple. What's the low temp going to be over there?

[Iceresistance]

22 with a windchill of 5 at 11:00. I love days like this.

Fell to 15°F, with a Wind Chill of -1°F

[Brent]

Didn't get to cash in on the heavier snow band that dropped 2-4" of snow 20-30 miles north of me, but it's still snowing here with a decent bit on the ground already so it's going to be a nice system for us overall.

The big question when we gonna get one down here

I need a snowstorm if we're gonna be this cold

[Iceresistance]

12z GFS has something really interesting in the long-range with a long-term Cold Wave

[wxman57]

12z GFS has something really interesting in the long-range with a long-term Cold Wave

Have to be careful believing anything so far out. Someone had mentioned that the ECMWF was indicating a possible Southern Plains storm just beyond day 10 of the 00z. Looking at the 500mb pattern in that EC run, the 12Z GFS has a completely different pattern. Not even close. Only today have the GFS & EC come into good agreement as far as tomorrow's east coast storm system. The EC seems to have come around to the GFS' solution of heavier snow, by the way.

[Cerlin]

That would be a crazy event if the 12z GFS did verify though. Oklahoma looks to be below freezing for days and cold reaches down to the gulf with a few snowstorms for the plains here and there. A 2021 redux, if you will.

[wxman57]

Didn't get to cash in on the heavier snow band that dropped 2-4" of snow 20-30 miles north of me, but it's still snowing here with a decent bit on the ground already so it's going to be a nice system for us overall.

The big question when we gonna get one down here

I need a snowstorm if we're gonna be this cold

Aren't you in Tulsa? The airport has been reporting light snow for hours. Temperature of 22 degrees. Sunny and 67 here in SW Houston, though I can feel a little cool air coming through the open window behind my desk.

[HockeyTx82]

I sure hope my UPS Driver wraps up my Xbox Series X in a warm blanket on the truck..... supposed to be delivered today.

[TheProfessor]

12z GFS has something really interesting in the long-range with a long-term Cold Wave

I love snow, perhaps more than anyone, but I draw the line when the GFS shows lows in the negative teens and windchills in the negative thirties. I've been through that before. Not fun. Might be time for a vacation if that happens. Good thing it's fantasyland GFS.

[TheProfessor]

Both the Euro and CMC have rain for us next Friday. I'll take that in a heartbeat.

[Iceresistance]

12z GFS has something really interesting in the long-range with a long-term Cold Wave

I love snow, perhaps more than anyone, but I draw the line when the GFS shows lows in the negative teens and windchills in the negative thirties. I've been through that before. Not fun. Might be time for a vacation if that happens. Good thing it's fantasyland GFS.

It sadly gets worse after the 1st wave, the 2nd wave is even stronger, with Lows down to -15°F to -30°F (& Wind Chills as low as -40°F) in Kansas

[Brent]

Didn't get to cash in on the heavier snow band that dropped 2-4" of snow 20-30 miles north of me, but it's still snowing here with a decent bit on the ground already so it's going to be a nice system for us overall.

The big question when we gonna get one down here

I need a snowstorm if we're gonna be this cold

Aren't you in Tulsa? The airport has been reporting light snow for hours. Temperature of 22 degrees. Sunny and 67 here in SW Houston, though I can feel a little cool air coming through the open window behind my desk.

I'm on the other side of the metro from the airport I saw a couple random flakes earlier but not even close to the flizzard on Saturday which wasn't even that impressive. As soon as it started trying to stick it was over

The sun is out now

[Cpv17]

I sure hope my UPS Driver wraps up my Xbox Series X in a warm blanket on the truck..... supposed to be delivered today.

Awesome! I got the PS5 back in November and had to be a Total Tech Member at Best Buy which cost me $200 just to be able to get it but it came with other benefits as well so I just decided to sign up for it.

Signs are looking good for the middle of the month but it needs to get inside 10 days at least. Hard to believe anything that far out.