"I'm not dreaming of a White Christmas!"

[azsnowman]

"LOL!" Yet ANOTHER low pressure just formed, it's now in Lake Havasu City and expected to move into my area this AFTERNOON

http://www.wrh.nooa.gov/fgz


NOW FOR OUR PRODUCTS...A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE MOGOLLON RIM FROM FLAGSTAFF TO SHOW LOW TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS
WITH 6 TO 18 INCHES ALREADY ON THE GROUND. WE EXPECT 3 TO 8
ADDITIONAL INCHES OVER THE WARNING AREA BY THIS EVENING...WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER THE EASTERN RIM AND WHITES.

[azsnowman]

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

FXUS65 KFGZ 111636 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 935 AM MST TUE DEC 11 2007 .SYNOPSIS...A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHLAND TODAY. EXPECT SHOWER ACTIVITY TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST LATER THIS EVENING. BY WEDNESDAY WE SHOULD SEE A SHORT BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ON THURSDAY NIGHT ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH ARIZONA BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR MORE SHOWERS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. BY THE WEEKEND ANOTHER BREAK IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS IN STORE WITH SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES AND NO PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST. && .DISCUSSION...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH LAUGHLIN AND LAKE HAVASU CITY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS BRINGING IN COLDER MID LEVEL AIR...INSTABILITY AND STRONG DYNAMICS WHICH IS CREATING A BAND OF SHOWER ACTIVITY AHEAD OF THE LOW WITH GOOD CLOUD MICROPHYSICS. THEREFORE...EXPECT INCREASED SHOWER ACTIVITY FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON PERIOD AS THIS BAND OF SHOWERS MOVES THROUGH. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD PASS THROUGH THE STATE TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH MORE STABLE AIR MOVING IN BEHIND IT...WE EXPECT TO SEE A SHORT BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ON THURSDAY NIGHT ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH ARIZONA FROM THE NORTH INCREASING OUR CHANCES FOR MORE SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. FOR THE WEEKEND EXPECT ANOTHER BREAK IN THE STORM ACTIVITY AS A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHLAND. NOW FOR OUR PRODUCTS...A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MOGOLLON RIM FROM FLAGSTAFF TO SHOW LOW TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS WITH 6 TO 18 INCHES ALREADY ON THE GROUND. WE EXPECT 3 TO 8 ADDITIONAL INCHES OVER THE WARNING AREA BY THIS EVENING...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER THE EASTERN RIM AND WHITES. FOR FURTHER DETAILS SEE PRODUCT PHXWSWFGZ. A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DEFIANCE PLATEAU AREA WITH 3 INCHES OF SNOW REPORTED AT WINDOW ROCK. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR YAVAPAI AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTIES WAS CANCELLED EARLIER THIS MORNING DUE TO LOWER SNOW LEVELS REDUCING THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. BOHLIN

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I want that snow Arizona!!! I want it so bad!!! Tampa has been hitting nearly 85 degrees
the past several days!!!

[azsnowman]

Check THIS out, another 20" POSSIBLE!!!!


http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

AZZ017-120545-
/O.EXT.KFGZ.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071212T1100Z/
WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
223 PM MST TUE DEC 11 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM MST WEDNESDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET..

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM MST
WEDNESDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET.

PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY...WITH
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS TO AROUND 20 TO 40 INCHES.

[azsnowman]

I want that snow Arizona!!! I want it so bad!!! Tampa has been hitting nearly 85 degrees
the past several days!!!

I'm tellin' ya, we have waited for 13 LONG years for a return to a "normal" winter....I just HOPE and PRAY it keeps it up and I PRAY for the people in the Southeast that they get the needed moisture! I was watching TWC (YES....I STILL watch ye' ole' Weather Channel once in awhile, especially with this system AND the tropical system!) and TWC said that Southeast MAY get some MUCH needed moisture....I'll blow HARD and send it thataway when I'm done with it

[azsnowman]

*ding, ding*....Round 2!

Just about dark (daylight that is) and I'm in TOTAL white out conditions again! This is unbelievable...this much snow this time of year! Our normal snowfall for Dec. is 13", with last weeks storm combined with this one, I've already 21" and another 20" expected tonight! Sure is nice!

[vbhoutex]

PICS!!! We want pictures!!!

[azskyman]

The lingering nature of this storm brought a ton of snow to areas north of Phoenix, especially from Flagstaff eastward. And with cool to cold weather continuing for a few days, this snow will be around for Christmas in the high country!! Congrats Dennis on all the white stuff.

[azsnowman]

Steve, you are so right, we have "THE" best snowpack in recent memory....say, 1996-1997 according to Sunrise Park Resort which is opening with what they are claiming to be THE best ski conditions on the mountain since the "MID 1980'S!" So that should tell everyone just HOW much snow we have!

The 10-20" did not materialize last night, in fact, we picked up 2", which honestly, is O'TAY


NOW to the sitch-e-a-chun at hand...another small system (of course, the past 3 systems over the past 1.5 weeks were supposed to be small) coming in Thursday night into Friday afternoon, then clearing for the weekend and then "BAM"...another week of unsettled, snowy, cold weather sets in!

Are we sure this isn't a "El Nino" year instead of "La Nina"?

BTW...it's 1630 hrs. MST and the temp is starting to plummet, a forecast low of 17° for SHow Low, that should make it a BALMY 0° to -2° down here in the "Snow and Cold Hole" I call home

[azsnowman]

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...ANOTHER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA
BRINGING COLDER TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS. FOR THURSDAY
NIGHT WINDS WILL HOLD OFF LONG ENOUGH FOR THE FOG AND LOW CLOUD
THREAT TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LITTLE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY SOUTHWARD TO THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS.
HOWEVER...BY FRIDAY MORNING STRENGTHENING WINDS AND COLDER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD ACT TO CLEAR OUT THE STRATUS AND ALSO
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...GENERALLY IN THE FORM OF LIGHT
SNOW OR FLURRIES.

FOR THE WEEKEND AND MONDAY...A FLAT RIDGE LOOKS TO BRING FAIR
WEATHER AND SEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES TO NORTHERN ARIZONA WITH
JUST A FEW PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS. HOWEVER...FOR TUESDAY AND THE
REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK...THERE ARE PLENTY OF UPSTREAM WEATHER
DISTURBANCES WITH UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNING TO NORTHERN ARIZONA.

[andyidaho]

WOW! It sounds like you got hit hard with a lot of snow azsnowman! Congrats on your possible white Christmas! I currently have 7" here in the Idaho panhandle. It looks like I could see at least 2" of additional snowfall through Christmas. How much snow do you have currently and please take some pictures!

[azsnowman]

WOW! It sounds like you got hit hard with a lot of snow azsnowman! Congrats on your possible white Christmas! I currently have 7" here in the Idaho panhandle. It looks like I could see at least 2" of additional snowfall through Christmas. How much snow do you have currently and please take some pictures!

Andy, I still have the original 26" from 3 systems back to back! Yeah, I'll take photos tomorrow afternoon AFTER tonights system...could possibly see another 3-6"

I hit the low DEAD ON!! Woke up at 0400 to absoulete 0° then at 0632 hit the low of -2°

NO melt off what so ever, the 14" icecycles on the house are the same now at 1600 hours than they were at 0400 this morning! High of 34° with a STIFF breeze out of the NORTH @ 18 mph, made it for one BLOODY cold day PLUS...the Sunrise Park Resort opens tomorrow with a reported 92" base up top, BEST skiing in OVER 10 years!

3 weeks ago, I was down some 4" in rainfall for the year...with the 8.81" of rain before the 26" of snow, needless to say, we are WAY up for the year to date! We are SLOWLY making up that 13 year defecit...gonna take a helluva lot more and the way it looks, we heading there!

[azskyman]

Fun to check out the web cam page on Sunrise, just east of you Dennis. Some pretty heavy snow showers occurring on this first official day of the ski season. They have to love that 48" from which to start!!

No melting any time soon at that altitude and with this low sun angle.

Enjoy.

[andyidaho]

WOW! It sounds like you got hit hard with a lot of snow azsnowman! Congrats on your possible white Christmas! I currently have 7" here in the Idaho panhandle. It looks like I could see at least 2" of additional snowfall through Christmas. How much snow do you have currently and please take some pictures!

Andy, I still have the original 26" from 3 systems back to back! Yeah, I'll take photos tomorrow afternoon AFTER tonights system...could possibly see another 3-6"

I hit the low DEAD ON!! Woke up at 0400 to absoulete 0° then at 0632 hit the low of -2°

NO melt off what so ever, the 14" icecycles on the house are the same now at 1600 hours than they were at 0400 this morning! High of 34° with a STIFF breeze out of the NORTH @ 18 mph, made it for one BLOODY cold day PLUS...the Sunrise Park Resort opens tomorrow with a reported 92" base up top, BEST skiing in OVER 10 years!

3 weeks ago, I was down some 4" in rainfall for the year...with the 8.81" of rain before the 26" of snow, needless to say, we are WAY up for the year to date! We are SLOWLY making up that 13 year defecit...gonna take a helluva lot more and the way it looks, we heading there!

Wow! That's cold! I think this La Nina is in both of our favors this year. I now have 17" of snow on th ground with a lot more expected tomorrow, Tuesday, Thursday, and next Saturday. I'll be snowed in! I'll take some pictures for you.

[cheezyWXguy]

WOW! It sounds like you got hit hard with a lot of snow azsnowman! Congrats on your possible white Christmas! I currently have 7" here in the Idaho panhandle. It looks like I could see at least 2" of additional snowfall through Christmas. How much snow do you have currently and please take some pictures!

Andy, I still have the original 26" from 3 systems back to back! Yeah, I'll take photos tomorrow afternoon AFTER tonights system...could possibly see another 3-6"

I hit the low DEAD ON!! Woke up at 0400 to absoulete 0° then at 0632 hit the low of -2°

NO melt off what so ever, the 14" icecycles on the house are the same now at 1600 hours than they were at 0400 this morning! High of 34° with a STIFF breeze out of the NORTH @ 18 mph, made it for one BLOODY cold day PLUS...the Sunrise Park Resort opens tomorrow with a reported 92" base up top, BEST skiing in OVER 10 years!

3 weeks ago, I was down some 4" in rainfall for the year...with the 8.81" of rain before the 26" of snow, needless to say, we are WAY up for the year to date! We are SLOWLY making up that 13 year defecit...gonna take a helluva lot more and the way it looks, we heading there!

I take it you mean regular 0, because absolute 0 is -459 degrees!

[azsnowman]

WOW! It sounds like you got hit hard with a lot of snow azsnowman! Congrats on your possible white Christmas! I currently have 7" here in the Idaho panhandle. It looks like I could see at least 2" of additional snowfall through Christmas. How much snow do you have currently and please take some pictures!

Andy, I still have the original 26" from 3 systems back to back! Yeah, I'll take photos tomorrow afternoon AFTER tonights system...could possibly see another 3-6"

I hit the low DEAD ON!! Woke up at 0400 to absoulete 0° then at 0632 hit the low of -2°

NO melt off what so ever, the 14" icecycles on the house are the same now at 1600 hours than they were at 0400 this morning! High of 34° with a STIFF breeze out of the NORTH @ 18 mph, made it for one BLOODY cold day PLUS...the Sunrise Park Resort opens tomorrow with a reported 92" base up top, BEST skiing in OVER 10 years!

3 weeks ago, I was down some 4" in rainfall for the year...with the 8.81" of rain before the 26" of snow, needless to say, we are WAY up for the year to date! We are SLOWLY making up that 13 year defecit...gonna take a helluva lot more and the way it looks, we heading there!

I take it you mean regular 0, because absolute 0 is -459 degrees!

WELL....thanks a LOT for pointing that OUT for ME "ROFLMAO!"....that's what I thought, it didn't look right when I posted this morning! Either way, it was BLOODY COLD! The high today? 26° with a BLUE north wind sustained at 18 mph, gusting to 21 mph at times!

[Ptarmigan]

I want a White Christmas! We came close to one in 2004. Hopefully, it will happen this year.

[azsnowman]

I want a White Christmas! We came close to one in 2004. Hopefully, it will happen this year.

By ALL means, come on over

I just checked NOAA and the extended has yet ANOTHER system by Weds and an even LARGER ONE for the WEEKEND!! That should put us over 3 FEET of snow for Christmas (needless to say, the 18" that fell last week hasn't EVEN begun to melt...the snow's STILL on the trees and it's been over 3 days!)

[azsnowman]

OH....and here I thought I was cold last night! Greer Az. is 21 miles to my East, sitting at 8500' in elevation and they broke a RECORD this morning!

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

... Record low temperatures for northern Arizona for Dec 15 2007...


City (period of record) new low previous record/year
Greer (1916 - 2007) -12 -5 in 1926

[Cookiely]

PICS!!! We want pictures!!!

Me too. Pictures. I can only dream of snow in Tampa.