Texas Winter 2016-2017
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Merry Christmas! Blessings to you and yours.
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Any forecast I make is based on my opinion only. Please refer to the NWS or NHC for official forecasts.
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WeatherGuesser
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
wxman57 wrote: dropped the big cold front and now has coldest temps of upper 30s with highs near 60 in the D-FW area in early January. Neither the 6Z GFS or 00Z GFS-Parallel run has any significant cold across Texas through Jan 10th,
Yay!! Good news!
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ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
You can wish for Warm weather all you want in the mid to long range but the ensembles and teleconnections say you 'ain't' gettin' it....
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Merry Christmas Storm2K! 
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Graduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma!
All opinions independent of employers and the university.
All opinions independent of employers and the university.
Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
To all of you I say...
...in what may turn out to be the warmest Christmas many of us will ever see around here.
...in what may turn out to be the warmest Christmas many of us will ever see around here.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
From Baton Rouge, Muggy Christmas to all. Temp 68, dewpoint 67. Headed towards 80 if we can get this fog to burn off.
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Tireman4
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Unbelievable. Unbelievable. 81 yesterday. 80 today. This is a sacrilege. Merry Christmas to you all. Sorry to be a bah humbug...but dang...
Last edited by Tireman4 on Sun Dec 25, 2016 11:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Our forecasted high here in Austin will mean it will be the warmest Christmas since 1964.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL
Last edited by Ntxw on Sun Dec 25, 2016 11:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Fixed color tags
Reason: Fixed color tags
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
I guess I don't know how to work fonts. Anyway, MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
And the GFS says Merry Christmas in what would be the coldest air of the season in the new month
The first of 2 outbreaks it has
The first of 2 outbreaks it has
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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WeatherGuesser
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Tireman4 wrote:Unbelievable. Unbelievable. 81 yesterday. 80 today. This is a sacrilege. Merry Christmas to you all. Sorry to be a bah humbug...but dang...
Your SnowDude's dripping with that scarf >>>>
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vbhoutex
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
MERRY CHRISTMAS everyone!
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Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
This weather sucks. If we wanted a humid Christmas we'd live in Miami. 
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#neversummer
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
GFS has two winter storm threats between 240 and 300 hours
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#neversummer
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wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Just had ham and rice dressing. Got an Applie iPad Pro (12.9") for Christmas, replacing my ancient iPad 2. All set up and ready to go to Verizon to put in on my account next week. Will get a new iPhone 7 at the same time to replace my 6.
As for the 12Z GFS, it keeps seeing a strong cold front off and on in the long range. Don't believe anything beyond about 5 days. Once it's within 5 days and the EC consistently agrees, then believe it. For now, it's almost 80 degrees and the humidity is only 71%. Time for a nice, long bike ride. Back in 4 hours...
As for the 12Z GFS, it keeps seeing a strong cold front off and on in the long range. Don't believe anything beyond about 5 days. Once it's within 5 days and the EC consistently agrees, then believe it. For now, it's almost 80 degrees and the humidity is only 71%. Time for a nice, long bike ride. Back in 4 hours...
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
wxman57 wrote:Just had ham and rice dressing. Got an Applie iPad Pro (12.9") for Christmas, replacing my ancient iPad 2. All set up and ready to go to Verizon to put in on my account next week. Will get a new iPhone 7 at the same time to replace my 6.
As for the 12Z GFS, it keeps seeing a strong cold front off and on in the long range. Don't believe anything beyond about 5 days. Once it's within 5 days and the EC consistently agrees, then believe it. For now, it's almost 80 degrees and the humidity is only 71%. Time for a nice, long bike ride. Back in 4 hours...
The key word to me is consistency, even when it comes to long range forecasting. When it keeps showing something consistently each run for a few days it makes it hard to ignore. Merry Christmas!
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Cpv17 wrote:wxman57 wrote:Just had ham and rice dressing. Got an Applie iPad Pro (12.9") for Christmas, replacing my ancient iPad 2. All set up and ready to go to Verizon to put in on my account next week. Will get a new iPhone 7 at the same time to replace my 6.
As for the 12Z GFS, it keeps seeing a strong cold front off and on in the long range. Don't believe anything beyond about 5 days. Once it's within 5 days and the EC consistently agrees, then believe it. For now, it's almost 80 degrees and the humidity is only 71%. Time for a nice, long bike ride. Back in 4 hours...
The key word to me is consistency, even when it comes to long range forecasting. When it keeps showing something consistently each run for a few days it makes it hard to ignore. Merry Christmas!
This is true! Even though not always to our liking (Christmas storm was real but 500 to 1000 miles too far west and north.
Vastly difference results on the wrong side of the troughs. But in a general sense, when cold has been predicted with an expanse of below normal source regions in W Canada it has produced some pretty good fronts. Timing and which blast can be iffy but it's happened thus far this winter even when the pattern was less than stellar. My guess from the 500mb pattern and teleconnections we get a colder January version of what happened in December. It may be this winter's cycle, might happen again early to mid Feb.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Help support Storm2K!
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BrokenGlassRepublicn
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
I haven't read the forecast today, but I've been outside and get a really unsettled feeling about it. Huge humidities and strong, southeast winds. Worried that the storm threat for tonight is bigger than has been forecast.
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