Texas Winter 2015-2016

[Brent]

This storm coming up is reminding me I really live in the wrong part of the country...

I thought I moved to the right area but apparently Ohio gets missed from every direction when the bigger storms occur.

Pretty sure that's an el nino effect... the storm track is much further south...

of course, I'm still waiting for that to help us in Texas. Quickly becoming unimpressed with this winter tbh.

[Ntxw]

This storm coming up is reminding me I really live in the wrong part of the country...

I thought I moved to the right area but apparently Ohio gets missed from every direction when the bigger storms occur.

Pretty sure that's an el nino effect... the storm track is much further south...

of course, I'm still waiting for that to help us in Texas. Quickly becoming unimpressed with this winter tbh.

Hoping for a rally like late last winter, but you are right up to this point it has been dull with little rain, or cold. Freezes have been hard to come to too.

[TheProfessor]

This storm coming up is reminding me I really live in the wrong part of the country...

I thought I moved to the right area but apparently Ohio gets missed from every direction when the bigger storms occur.

Pretty sure that's an el nino effect... the storm track is much further south...

of course, I'm still waiting for that to help us in Texas. Quickly becoming unimpressed with this winter tbh.

Yeah South misses in El Nino Years, North misses in La Nina, it seems like Neutral years are probably the best years here.

[weatherdude1108]

Snowpersons?

I think that is how you say it do to political correctness Saying Snowman is not cool bro

Who makes a snowwoman? I've always been very anti-PC.

Anyway, this would not be a storm to miss if you have the opportunity to travel to DC and experience it.

I debated whether or not to say snowman in these weird PC times. I may build a snowMAN. There, I said it!

Anyway, glad I don't have to "PC filter" too much on here.

[DougNTexas]

When it freezes at my house the sky is clear as a bell. When there is wet weather the temp in about 40-45. Just a matter of getting them together at the same time.

[Ntxw]

Euro has 70s to round out January

[weatherdude1108]

When it freezes at my house the sky is clear as a bell. When there is wet weather the temp in about 40-45. Just a matter of getting them together at the same time.

That is the problem 95% of the time in Texas Winters (at least southern Texas). Freezing and dry, or 40s and wet. Once in a blue moon, the two come together to create...a sea of whitecapped wonderland.

[wxman57]

12Z Euro says "no snowflake in Texas" through 10 days" (well, no accumulation). A quite pleasant end to January, too.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Forecasted temp for today is suppose to be 48-50 and currently it's 36. With it being overcast I find it hard to believe we will get that warm today.

[Brent]

Euro has 70s to round out January

Well I'm glad I haven't put up the shorts...

[Ralph's Weather]

Forecasted temp for today is suppose to be 48-50 and currently it's 36. With it being overcast I find it hard to believe we will get that warm today.

It has been mostly sunny here for most of the day so our current temp is 49 with a forecast of 50.

[wxman57]

Forecasted temp for today is suppose to be 48-50 and currently it's 36. With it being overcast I find it hard to believe we will get that warm today.

I don't know who made that forecast, but the GFS had a high in the low 40s along the Red River for it's 2m temp. The Euro had a max of 45 along the Red River. It's around 40 along the Red River now, with mid 40s in the D-FW area. Looks like a wedge of cold air hanging over the Wichita Falls area with 50s not far to the south.

[Tireman4]

They have forcasted at 66 today (HGX) and it is 62. Might or might not make it..

[Ralph's Weather]

All teles look to end the month positive though the PNA looks to take a dive to near neutral so maybe whatever troughing does exist will be more centrally located.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Forecasted temp for today is suppose to be 48-50 and currently it's 36. With it being overcast I find it hard to believe we will get that warm today.

I don't know who made that forecast, but the GFS had a high in the low 40s along the Red River for it's 2m temp. The Euro had a max of 45 along the Red River. It's around 40 along the Red River now, with mid 40s in the D-FW area. Looks like a wedge of cold air hanging over the Wichita Falls area with 50s not far to the south.

Sometimes I wonder about the NWS Norman office. Most of the times their forecasts are pretty legit and spot on and other times it's like they threw darts at a weather dartboard.

[TheProfessor]

I'm trying to find more information about low pressure systems that transfer. (I want to know why I'm going to miss the snow) I've had no such luck. If anyone has any article or essay they read that features this and that can could easily be pulled out could you share it with me? thanks

[Brent]

I'm trying to find more information about low pressure systems that transfer. (I want to know why I'm going to miss the snow) I've had no such luck. If anyone has any article or essay they read that features this and that can could easily be pulled out could you share it with me? thanks

I'm not sure exactly how it works(something to do with the energy I think and usually a dry slot), but it seems to happen a lot. Ohio rarely gets into the big east coast storms it seems.

[Ntxw]

It has to do with surface lows love to reform over large bodies of water, heat source. The ULL will weaken and the moisture will wrap around the lower surface pressures. In Ohio's case the Atlantic coastline. Happens here when coastals form over coastal TX on a smaller scale.

[Portastorm]

I'm trying to find more information about low pressure systems that transfer. (I want to know why I'm going to miss the snow) I've had no such luck. If anyone has any article or essay they read that features this and that can could easily be pulled out could you share it with me? thanks

The Washington Post did a nice post mortem on a blizzard last year. While the upcoming system has similar synoptics, there are differences. Still this is a good article which talks about the transference of energy, how the warm Gulf Stream comes into play, and how these coastal blizzards form when you have an Alberta Clipper in play.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/01/28/raging-snow-howling-wind-the-meteorological-evolution-of-the-blizzard-of-2015/

[hriverajr]

This one of my general rule of thumbs for winter in Texas.

When Bastardi gets happy. I get sad... :p