Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[m_ru]

Ugh. Why is my area always just outside the realm of ice-ibility?

[Janie2006]

You can have all the ice you want in Gautier, just keep it away from Long Beach. Ice storms aren't much fun if you don't have power and can't do anything.

[bella_may]

Does anybody have any new snow maps for alabama??

[Cristina]

What can we expect 40 miles north of Atlanta? Thanks for any input.......

[tugreenie]

Good morning from BSL, MS. Praying that somehow this low jumps south and brings colder air in! It is currently 40 degress with a dewpoint of 23. hopefully the temps wont rise and the air stays dry enough to get some frozen precip this evening.

[bella_may]

Snow showers being reported just west of montgomery with a wintry mix just south of there!!

[NDG]

What can we expect 40 miles north of Atlanta? Thanks for any input.......

You are going to have all snow this evening through tonight into tomorrow morning according to the latest GFS & NAM models as the heights start rising in your area you may go to sleet/freezing rain during the day tomorrow, so be careful when traveling around tomorrow afternoon.

[northjaxpro]

Good morning everyone. The winter storm has already created some major problems earlier this morning. Severe wx happened this morning along an intense squall line along. the extreme SE TX coast near Corpus Christi and Victoria. Reports of tornadoes in that area.

The wintry precip has already started mainly along the I-20 corridor from extreme NE TX across Northern LA through Central MS. Checking the surface obs, there are mostly sleet reports within the region, although there are some reports of snow now being coming in from Monroe, LA.

This is going to be ONE BIG MESS of a storm for so many today through Tuesday for the Deep South. For all of my fellow Storm2K posters who made road trips for this event PLEASE be cautious and safe because unfortunately there is goinng to be some serious icing concerns in many areas. This is the absolute worst scenario and I tell you with no hesitation PLEASE STAY OFF THE ROAD if it is icing even if it is a light glaze. It is just not worth it folks to risk your life or others! Don't venture out there in dangerous unless if it is necessarily important to do so.


Ivanhater and others who are out there who road tripped it and just those of you living in the affected areas, please keep us informed which I trust you alll will!

[NDG]

Monroe LA has now changed to Freezing Rain from light snow earlier.

Conditions at: KMLU (MONROE, LA, US) observed 1418 UTC 09 January 2011
Temperature: 1.0°C (34°F)
Dewpoint: -3.0°C (27°F) [RH = 75%]
Pressure (altimeter): 30.11 inches Hg (1019.7 mb)
Winds: from the E (80 degrees) at 6 MPH (5 knots; 2.6 m/s)
Visibility: 7 miles (11 km)
Ceiling: 4500 feet AGL
Clouds: broken clouds at 4500 feet AGL
overcast cloud deck at 5500 feet AGL
Weather: FZRA (freezing rain)

[Metalicwx220]

HOW IS IT 34 DEGS WITH FREEZING RAIN? OK SO NOW ILL EXPECT SOME TONIGHT SINCE WE WILL BE 31 WITH PLAIN RAIN!

[northjaxpro]

Thanks NDG for that latest update. Lots of freezing rain and sleet reports for now. I worry that this storm unfortunately has a well established warm nose which is really going to create a major ice storm for so many iin the next 24-48 hours.

[srainhoutx]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
830 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
091630-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
830 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

...DETERIORATING TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING...

AT 830 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF
SLEET...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...ALONG INTERSTATE 20 FROM MONROE
THROUGH VICKSBURG...TO THE JACKSON METRO AREA TO MERIDIAN. THIS BAND
OF MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION WAS LIFTING SLOWLY NORTH.

ROAD CONDITIONS ARE DETERIORATING FROM JACKSON WEST THROUGH NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA. TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING...AND REPORTS
INDICATE THAT BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE BECOMING ICY. ACCIDENTS HAVE
BEEN REPORTED IN THE VICKSBURG AREA.

THIS BAND WILL LIKELY LIFT JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR
BY LATE MORNING...PROVIDING A BREAK IN THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION
BEFORE MORE MOVES IN THIS AFTERNOON. FOR AREAS JUST NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 TO THE US HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE
THROUGH THE MORNING...AND WILL LIKELY NOT SHOW ANY SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT
ONCE THEY BECOME POOR.

OVER SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY ABOVE FREEZING
AND ANY PRECIPITATION IS VERY LIGHT. WINTRY PRECIPITATION COULD
BECOME A CONCERN AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON.

[Brent]

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
652 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

ALZ011>015-017>050-101252-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
652 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL MOVE OVER THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TO THE SOUTH.
SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BEGIN BY MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTH
AND WEST.

EAST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL ALSO
ACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE WINTRY MIX WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. ON MONDAY...ALMOST ALL SNOW CAN STILL BE EXPECTED NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 WITH MAINLY FREEZING RAIN/SLEET TO THE SOUTH.

BY MONDAY AFTERNOON TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
ARE LIKELY ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR...ESPECIALLY THE EXTREME NORTH. FARTHER SOUTH...1 TO 3
INCHES OF SNOW IS LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM DEMOPOLIS...
TO SELMA...TO AUBURN. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER INCH...TO ONE
HALF INCH...ARE LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM DEMOPOLIS...TO
CLANTON...TO ROANOKE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL DECREASE AS YOU GO
NORTH.

LIGHT SNOW COULD CONTINUE ON TUESDAY WITH LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION.

VERY COLD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES COULD FALL INTO THE TEENS AREA WIDE BY
SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING...AND POSSIBLY ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS LIKELY
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

$$

[NDG]

Monroe LA now down to 32 degs, still reporting freezing rain.
Jackson MS now reporting sleet.

Conditions at: KJAN (JACKSON , MS, US) observed 1454 UTC 09 January 2011
Temperature: -0.6°C (31°F)
Dewpoint: -6.1°C (21°F) [RH = 66%]
Pressure (altimeter): 30.13 inches Hg (1020.4 mb)
[Sea-level pressure: 1020.4 mb]
Winds: from the E (80 degrees) at 6 MPH (5 knots; 2.6 m/s)
Visibility: 7 miles (11 km)
Ceiling: 4800 feet AGL
Clouds: overcast cloud deck at 4800 feet AGL
Weather: -PL (light ice pellets)

[Ivanhater]

I think I am just going to stay put. It would be dumb and try to travel back to Pensacola tonight. Never been in an ice storm, but I know up to a half inch is dangerous. I am hoping for a miracle and it will mostly be snow, unfortunately, this looks like an extremely dangerous ice storm.

[NDG]

I think I am just going to stay put. It would be dumb and try to travel back to Pensacola tonight. Never been in an ice storm, but I know up to a half inch is dangerous. I am hoping for a miracle and it will mostly be snow, unfortunately, this looks like an extremely dangerous ice storm.

Good choice in staying put if you are going to stay there tonight. You may start with some mix of snow/sleet but may go to all sleet/freezing rain during the night and towards sunrise. But with surface temps expected not to go much above freezing tomorrow I am not sure if it will be safe to travel after precip ends early tomorrow morning.

[northjaxpro]

A very wise decision Ivan! Also, I agree with NDG about the icing problem possibly lingering into Tuesday morning there in Central AL. I don't expect temperatures to warm much above freezing there at all. Ivan, you may catch a break when temps may warm into the mid-upper 30s by noon time on Tuesday, which hopefully would allowq enough melting for it to be safe enough to travel. Be safe up there!

[Ivanhater]

Thanks guys for the updates. Ya'll are doing one heck of a job so far!

[Byrd]

Icy stuff (freezing rain? sleet?) beginning to come down in Demopolis. AL (50 miles east of Meridian, MS, 60 miles southwest of Tuscaloosa).

Temperature is 29. Hoping against hope that we don't have a replay of March 13, 1993!

Thanks, everybody, for keeping us informed.

Byrd

[Brent]

I think I am just going to stay put. It would be dumb and try to travel back to Pensacola tonight. Never been in an ice storm, but I know up to a half inch is dangerous. I am hoping for a miracle and it will mostly be snow, unfortunately, this looks like an extremely dangerous ice storm.

Good decision, and I agree. I'm hoping it's snow too, but I'm an hour north of Auburn and while they have me getting an inch or two of snow this evening we then get major ice even after midnight and tomorrow. I am very concerned about the ice for sure.