Texas Winter 2014-2015

Winter Weather Discussion

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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2961 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 10, 2015 10:01 pm

33/31 here briefly saw 32 earlier but with the dewpoints up I just don't see anything over than a cold miserable rain in DFW. Still waiting for a real winter storm...
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2962 Postby Longhornmaniac8 » Sat Jan 10, 2015 10:21 pm

So close to thundersleet!
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#2963 Postby ATCcane » Sat Jan 10, 2015 10:26 pm

33.8 and a thunderstorm. Got 0.20 in of rain in less than 10 minutes at Hudson Bend.

My Davis Vantage Vue weather station says "It's raining cats and dogs".
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2964 Postby TexasF6 » Sat Jan 10, 2015 10:34 pm

Thunderstorms at the LHWXC in NW Austin!
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2965 Postby Shoshana » Sat Jan 10, 2015 10:46 pm

Quiet here. Some rain, no thunder. 34f


eta Hearing distant thunder, not enough to rattle dog, still raining.
Last edited by Shoshana on Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2966 Postby JDawg512 » Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:37 pm

I've been seeing the lighting to the west. There is a training line thats moving over western portions of the Austin area. It's thin but I've noticed in the last few frames some increasing development. Looks like the city core will see the back side of the line. Hoping there will be some rumbles of thunder as it passes. Temp is locked at 34°, dew point 34°.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2967 Postby TheAustinMan » Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:40 pm

Just heard a loud burst of thunder here in southwest Austin; temps near but not at freezing. Should start getting the 35 dbz line of rain in a bit.
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#2968 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:46 pm

Several rounds of heavy rain here with thunder. Ponding in backyard.

Go from freezing rain to thunderstorms in the same day. Gotta love Texas weather! :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2969 Postby orangeblood » Sun Jan 11, 2015 12:38 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1128 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2015

.UPDATE...
LOOKS LIKE THE WARM NOSE HAS TRUMPED THE WET BULBING. DEW POINTS
IN RED RIVER COUNTIES ARE PUSHING UP NEAR 32 AND THE TEMPS HAVE
REMAINED ABOVE FREEZING. HAVE REMOVED FREEZING RAIN MENTION FROM
THE GRIDS WITH THIS LATE UPDATE. THERE MAY BE SOME SMALL SLEET
PELLETS IN HEAVIER SHOWERS...AND THERE MAY BE SOME AREAS WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES OF 32 DEGREES...BUT FREEZING RAIN IS NO LONGER
EXPECTED TO STICK. 84

&&
-----------------
Gotta admit, models have had this event figured out for quite awhile....pretty impressive! !!
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2970 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Sun Jan 11, 2015 1:11 am

Brent wrote:33/31 here briefly saw 32 earlier but with the dewpoints up I just don't see anything over than a cold miserable rain in DFW. Still waiting for a real winter storm...


NWS and McCauley hinting at something Tue night/Wed AM but I'm sure it won't be much. Guess we must have to wait till Feb to see if we get a shot. From what I saw early on, March is expected to be spring like.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2971 Postby Brent » Sun Jan 11, 2015 2:04 am

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:
Brent wrote:33/31 here briefly saw 32 earlier but with the dewpoints up I just don't see anything over than a cold miserable rain in DFW. Still waiting for a real winter storm...


NWS and McCauley hinting at something Tue night/Wed AM but I'm sure it won't be much. Guess we must have to wait till Feb to see if we get a shot. From what I saw early on, March is expected to be spring like.



Tue Night/Wed AM looks like mostly Oklahoma and even up there it's expected to be light(probably 1-2" at best), but their events do seem to overperform so we'll see. Most of the real accumulating snow seems to stop at the Red River that I've seen

32.2 here and pouring rain. I do not approve of this.
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#2972 Postby Ralph's Weather » Sun Jan 11, 2015 3:05 am

Another very close call, but seems to be just about all rain in northern Texas. It has dropped to 33/31 here with .23" of rain so far today.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2973 Postby aggiecutter » Sun Jan 11, 2015 8:26 am

Currently, 31 in Texarkana with moderate freezing rain. There is significant icing on the trees and power lines. If it doesn't warm up soon, power outages will become a problem.
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#2974 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Sun Jan 11, 2015 8:45 am

Quite a frustrating 10 days...2 events with over .5 inches of RAIN with temps below 35 degrees, yet practically no frozen precip. Arghhhh! :grr:
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#2975 Postby Ralph's Weather » Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:19 am

It has managed to drop to 32 here though the precip is dwindling down so do not expect much impact.
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#2976 Postby dhweather » Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:54 am

Color me surprised 0.84 storm total precip. Temps overnight dipped to 32.4 at 3 AM, 33.7 right now. Didn't expect that much precip, delighted to have it. Glad it stayed above freezing, the December 2013 ice storm still fresh on my mind, 3 days no electricity.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2977 Postby Portastorm » Sun Jan 11, 2015 11:12 am

I know that wxman57 and I will enjoy the warmup the next 10 days. However, unfortunately, it looks like both the EPO and NAO will go negative later this month ... meaning a return to colder weather.
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#2978 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Jan 11, 2015 11:24 am

I swear I have been hearing that the NAO is going negative since November and it hasn't happened. That is what has been missing for us over here in southeast Louisiana. We've missed out on much of the cold (this week being an exception) because of the NAO.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#2979 Postby gboudx » Sun Jan 11, 2015 11:32 am

Portastorm wrote:I know that wxman57 and I will enjoy the warmup the next 10 days. However, unfortunately, it looks like both the EPO and NAO will go negative later this month ... meaning a return to colder weather.


I'll enjoy it too. These 30-something degree highs suck.
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Re:

#2980 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 11, 2015 11:57 am

BigB0882 wrote:I swear I have been hearing that the NAO is going negative since November and it hasn't happened. That is what has been missing for us over here in southeast Louisiana. We've missed out on much of the cold (this week being an exception) because of the NAO.


The latest 10mb warming has occured over the Atlantic domain as well (NAO). It's mostly been in the WPO/EPO domain. Will it stick? No one knows but after the thaw it should at least trend downwards.

Image
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