As Ntwx posted, the H5 setup on the 12z Euro looks pretty good but as wxman57 noted there is no cold air to be had. Still, with perfect timing there would probably be some snow and a few 12z EPS members get snow for N. Texas beyond D10. Below is a series of big N. Texas snow events and it looks like a blend of the two maps that Ntwx posted, no surprise.
The main problem is that there is no cold air to be had. A typically January -NAO temp anomaly should look something like this:
One possible reason for the surface temp anaomlies not matching up, this current Pacific jet extension appears to be shifted poleward. As it starts the process of relaxing, the lower heights start to retrograde towards the Aleutian Islands with amplification of heights across the Hudson Bay. All the while, Pacific air has been flooding N. American and downsloping off the Rockies into Canada. There just isn't any cold air to "block" for a storm. Will that change? We've seen some big -EPO dumps of cold so far this winter but -ENSO -EPO dumps typically are associated with big positive tilted troughs, nothing like the snow composite above. We were able to squeak out some snow out of the last system but that was a perfect timing setup with forcing and moisture briefly overlapping allowing for some snow (On a side note, a southerly shifted Pacific jet extension has been shown favor a pattern that allows cross polar flow when it relaxes).
We probably need a shakeup in the low frequency background state before we see some cold in the southern plains that isn't driven by big -EPO. The MJO could certainly kick that process off but that probably won't happen until March, which is too late for most of Texas. There is pretty good consensus emerging that the MJO will pulse into Phase 1 but is that a true MJO and will it propagate? If it were to get into Phase 2 in early February, then that could be a very cold look.
Only problem, that looks more "McFarlandish" than it does big Texas snow. Who knows what will actually happen but February should at least be interesting. Oh, and don't forget any possible SSW.
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or 
. I feel the cold will be there somehow, getting cold hasn't been the issue this season, really it's more timing of shortwaves but anecdotal at best.
