Texas Winter 2025-2026

[wxman57]

Here's a test. Which model looks clueless for Houston's temps? Just got a text saying my generator is "exercising". Come on, generator, get ready for the cold!

https://wxman57.com/images/Models12ZJan22.jpg

https://wxman57.com/images/Models12ZJan22.jpg

Wait, you get a text? I have an app that allows me to see it tested. You must have the high fallutun generator

Sometimes someone knocks on my door to tell me it's running and there are no issues. You don't have that?

[snownado]

Dan Henry went *OFF* on Facebook about The Weather Channel, and got an overwhelmingly positive response...

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/15yPDaSWXd/

[Ntxw]

DFW airport is now forecasted 5F for a low. Top 10 is 3F or lower all time.

[Texas Snowman]

With 305+ guests on this thread right now, it seems like a good time for an invite to join Storm2K!

And to remind that while we do have a good number of professional meteorologists on our forums (they are noted as such), most of us are amateur weather enthusiasts.

So, keep this in mind:

“The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.”

[CaptinCrunch]

Plotting temps down the central plains...

NWS Bismarck ND -8
NWS Green Bay WI 10
NWS Omaha NE 27
NWS Wichita KS 46
NWS FTW TX 52

The core Temps are single to negative # at the NE SD border with the leading surface cold at Omaha NE.

That put the freezing surface temps into NTX Friday evening 10pm-Midnight range IMO.

[WacoWx]

Is it possible the hole for the WSW in central Texas is due to a potential ice storm warning?

[orangeblood]

Is it possible the hole for the WSW in central Texas is due to a potential ice storm warning?

Doubtful, they'll issue winter storm warnings soon i'd imagine

[Gotwood]

Is it possible the hole for the WSW in central Texas is due to a potential ice storm warning?

Idk it’s in the same area where models are struggling with the temperatures.

[CaptinCrunch]

Is it possible the hole for the WSW in central Texas is due to a potential ice storm warning?

Doubtful, they'll issue winter storm warnings soon i'd imagine

Probably with the 3pm update package

[orangeblood]

Re: Jan 30/31 time frame as has been mentioned...really strong signal at this range for another winter storm late next week

[Yukon Cornelius]

Extreme cold warning up here, but we kinda already knew that.

[Texas Snow]

Oof, I don't like this update.

New probability graphics from NWSFWD have only 1 inch of snow from Sweetwater to Mount Pleasant (so DFW included) and .4 inches of ice across all of north texas (with a little over .5 in east Texas)

Can't post images now but here ya go: https://www.weather.gov/fwd/winter

Total Sleet and snow combined updated now

[Quixotic]

I’m going to be optimistic here and say that sometimes the UHI runs interference on temperature model. It’s a real thing in the middle of the metroplex but IMHO, the models make a bigger deal out of it than is real. Larger area is modeled for warmth because downtown is really much warmer but its effect is like 10 miles out.

[Quixotic]

Also want to remind everyone how just two weeks ago we were worried about a shutout winter.

[Texas Snowman]

Central Arkansas, not Texas.

But still…

 https://x.com/jamesbryantwx/status/2014415508834009236

[Iceresistance]

EPS uptrends snow for Oklahoma

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bkwV9.gif

[bubba hotep]

This board summed up perfectly lol

 https://x.com/i/status/2014391638122971160

[HockeyTx82]

Is it possible the hole for the WSW in central Texas is due to a potential ice storm warning?

Idk it’s in the same area where models are struggling with the temperatures.

I think they're trying to come up with how do we wiggle out of this one because we followed all the guidance and then now we're just going to end up getting rain.

[ATXAG95]

I am trying to decide if I should keep my husband home on Saturday afternoon to watch the Aggies play basketball rather than watch from our seats in Reed Arena.

[Texas Snowman]

Question of the day: does this thread make it to 200+ pages by midnight?