Texas Winter 2025-2026

[Texas Snow]

Winter storm warning is up. As expected.



URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
128 PM CST Thu Jan 22 2026

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>134-141-230900-
/O.UPG.KFWD.WS.A.0001.260123T1800Z-260125T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KFWD.WS.W.0001.260124T0000Z-260125T1800Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Comanche-
Including the cities of Grand Saline, Plano, Edgewood, McKinney,
Fort Worth, Bridgeport, Bowie, Graham, Canton, Granbury,
Eastland, Burleson, Waxahachie, Oak Trail Shores, Briar,
Commerce, Point, Arlington, Glen Rose, Forney, Flower Mound,
Lewisville, Rockwall, Midlothian, Gorman, Greenville, Dallas,
Stephenville, Denison, Cooper, Dublin, Denton, Paris,
Gainesville, Kaufman, Sulphur Springs, Emory, Cleburne, Cisco,
Wills Point, Heath, Sherman, Ennis, Bonham, Terrell, Van,
Weatherford, Olney, Carrollton, De Leon, Ranger, Jacksboro,
Mineral Wells, Comanche, Decatur, Allen, Breckenridge, East
Tawakoni, Nocona, and Frisco
128 PM CST Thu Jan 22 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO NOON CST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Ice accumulations
between one quarter of an inch and one half of an inch. Isolated
amounts up to three quarters of an inch can`t be ruled out. In
addition, sleet and snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches with
amounts near or above 5 inches near the Red River are also
possible.

* WHERE...North Texas

* WHEN...From 6 PM Friday to noon CST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may
down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages.
Significant ice accumulation on power lines and tree limbs may
cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. Expect power
outages and tree damage due to the ice. Travel could be impossible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Have an emergency kit ready in case of power outages. Check on
vulnerable friends and family.

Consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely necessary,
drive with extreme caution. Take a winter storm kit along with you,
including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight,
shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid
kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you
become stranded.

The latest road conditions can be found at drivetexas.org.

[wxman22]

Norman updated totals. We get an Ice storm, Sleet storm, and Snow storm all in one. LOL

[Iceresistance]

Norman updated totals. We get an Ice storm, Sleet storm, and Snow storm all in one. LOL

https://i.ibb.co/yF1gtXXn/IMG-0620.jpg

I think NWS-Norman is overestimating the warm nose

[rwfromkansas]

Just got the WSW text.

[Ntxw]

Question of the day: does this thread make it to 200+ pages by midnight?

Easily with two more rounds of models 18z and 0z.

Also will predict 400+ by end of Feb, which has loaded potential.

[Quixotic]

Question of the day: does this thread make it to 200+ pages by midnight?

End of the day? The question is will we make it to 200 by 330PM.

[Quixotic]

I’m just happy I don’t have to see what 7” of sleet can do to my house, yard and streets.

[dhweather]

One of these CWA's is not like the others.


https://i.ibb.co/qLvQ2vYH/US1.png

The power of my post. FWD issues a WSW.

[bubba hotep]

18z HRRR has moved up advancement of the freezing line by a few hours.

[Texas Snowman]

You and Ntxw are right, of course, about getting to 200+ pages this afternoon or evening.

But the way this thread has been melting down the past couple of days, thought I’d go on the conservative side…

[Texas Snowman]

Question of the day: does this thread make it to 200+ pages by midnight?

Easily with two more rounds of models 18z and 0z.

Also will predict 400+ by end of Feb, which has loaded potential.

No doubt. But can we make a run at 500+?

And all of that after the annual “Winter Cancel” calls only a short while ago!

[Iceresistance]

:uarrow: You and Ntxw are right, of course.

But the way this thread has been melting down the past couple of days, thought I’d go on the conservative side…

I also was counting on the models underestimating the cold
For reference, I was 3-4 degrees colder than forecasted even this morning, expected low was 25/26, actual low was 22.

[CaptinCrunch]

I just have this gut feeling that models will shift some to the south, and we'll start seeing those precip types and amounts start to change with lower amounts of freezing rain and a increase of sleet and snow totals across NTX. What warm nose there will be weak and erode quickly which for everyone is the best case scenario. I'm also thinking that temps will not moderate as quickly headed into Tuesday, and next week remains below average temperature wise.

[Wthrfan]

Didn't like the ukmet...until now!

https://i.imgur.com/86bcT0U.gif

Cold rain for Greater SA, bleh…
At this point I’d be very appreciative of a huge dry slot for the 210.

You need the rain! Take what you can get.

[Bobbyh83]

Houstonians couldn’t handle it being any worse. I wanted a couple different ingredients for a weekend meal and thought I’d hit HEB. Nope. Literally not 1 parking space and people waiting everywhere. Insanity. Never seen it that bad even holidays and hurricanes.

[mmmmsnouts]

But seriously why the hell are people buying up toilet paper? Are they going to use it to keep drafts out?

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I mean if this is true Arctic air I can easily seeing those temps now being forecast to bust on Friday. Lots to see play out.

So i agree. Partially. I agree in a sense of how can a 1052 HP in the US not produce below freezing temps to the Gulf Coast. At the same time, the winds are shunting things to the east and i believe alot of the cold will go with it.

This is the disconnect between the upper flow and surface. Back in 2023 every model (global) led by the Euro was pretty good with the upper flow but struggled with lower level cold, myself, txtwister, and orangeblood had to go against the world because the Euro was mild only to see one of the worse freezing rain icing events in ATX and SAT. If you have a trough that digs into the southwest it allows the cold to bleed. This splitting of the upper flow it has to pick one or the other and often times it is the model that picks the broader cold trough northeast vs the western flank.

You're very right. Maybe they downplay this effect in the southern plains. One thing I learned in Feb '21 and being here in Denver is how troughs "pull down" the cold air. Its a very real thing and can be significant. Here in Denver, one snow setup is a strong ULL passing through NM. It pulls down air from Canada, which brings down a cold front and leads to upslope flow here in Denver. You gotta love the weather. It's so fascinating.

[rwfromkansas]

But seriously why the hell are people buying up toilet paper? Are they going to use it to keep drafts out?

That one I don't get either. I get bread for sandwiches, I guess. But....do you go to the bathroom more just because you are home?

[orangeblood]

I’m just happy I don’t have to see what 7” of sleet can do to my house, yard and streets.

Don't speak too soon have 2-2.5" Qpf forecast

[rwfromkansas]

So i agree. Partially. I agree in a sense of how can a 1052 HP in the US not produce below freezing temps to the Gulf Coast. At the same time, the winds are shunting things to the east and i believe alot of the cold will go with it.

This is the disconnect between the upper flow and surface. Back in 2023 every model (global) led by the Euro was pretty good with the upper flow but struggled with lower level cold, myself, txtwister, and orangeblood had to go against the world because the Euro was mild only to see one of the worse freezing rain icing events in ATX and SAT. If you have a trough that digs into the southwest it allows the cold to bleed. This splitting of the upper flow it has to pick one or the other and often times it is the model that picks the broader cold trough northeast vs the western flank.

You're very right. Maybe they downplay this effect in the southern plains. One thing I learned in Feb '21 and being here in Denver is how troughs "pull down" the cold air. Its a very real thing and can be significant. Here in Denver, one snow setup is a strong ULL passing through NM. It pulls down air from Canada, which brings down a cold front and leads to upslope flow here in Denver. You gotta love the weather. It's so fascinating.

Even in Kansas marginal setups often produce snow easily because the elevation is much higher.

Same in West TX. That's partly why we struggle more with precip types in East/N Texas.