Texas Winter 2017-2018

[bubba hotep]

Since the 00z runs on the 26th the Euro has come down about 15 degrees and the GFS had come up 10 degrees for the coldest day DFW during the upcoming cold snap. This feels like the point were the GFS fumbles it and keeps trending warmer and then in the end the "Euro Nailed It" crowd comes out.

The GFS has now warmed a good 15 - 20 degrees off the coldest runs. It is now about 5 degrees warmer than the Euro...

[bubba hotep]

12z CMC has the following series of lows at DFW... 12, 5, 4, 7, 5 LOL

[Yukon Cornelius]

Getting a pretty good brief snow shower here in Wichita Falls. It was definitely unexpected!

For real?

[CaptinCrunch]

Rain and drizzle will be ongoing starting Saturday night and continuing through Sunday morning. As the temperatures drop below freezing early Sunday morning, there will be a potential for freezing drizzle, starting in the northwest, and continuing into the rest of North and Central Texas throughout the day. A few snow flurries may also mix across the region.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

12 CMC has the following series of lows as DFW... 12, 5, 4, 7, 5 LOL

Has Houston area below or right at freezing from NYD through the following Saturday when it warms up to a balmy upper 30s.

[SnowintheFalls]

Getting a pretty good brief snow shower here in Wichita Falls. It was definitely unexpected!

For real?

Yes sir! We are under a winter weather advisory until noon. Looks like it is slowing down but it is still lightly coming down.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Getting a pretty good brief snow shower here in Wichita Falls. It was definitely unexpected!

For real?

Yes sir! We are under a winter weather advisory until noon. Looks like it is slowing down but it is still lightly coming down.

I guess I'm a little too far north. I'm up around the base and only have had on and off freezing drizzle.

[Brent]

12z CMC has the following series of lows at DFW... 12, 5, 4, 7, 5 LOL

CMC needs to lay off the crack

[ThunderSleetDreams]

12z CMC has the following series of lows at DFW... 12, 5, 4, 7, 5 LOL

CMC needs to lay off the crack

This forum would lose its mind if the CMC verified.

[PTrackerLA]

12z CMC has south Louisiana below freezing for 5 DAYS with several nights in the low to mid teens. That would be extremely damaging but CMC is always overdone with low temps around here.

[SnowintheFalls]

For real?

Yes sir! We are under a winter weather advisory until noon. Looks like it is slowing down but it is still lightly coming down.

I guess I'm a little too far north. I'm up around the base and only have had on and off freezing drizzle.

I am near Burk and it was coming down pretty hard. It did not really accumulate but I heard Electra got a dusting out of it. It seems to have finally stopped now.

[Ralph's Weather]

I an expecting lows next week in the 12 to 22 range depending on cloud cover. Highs in the 18 to 30 range depending on clouds and precip intensity.

[SnowintheFalls]

Our local mets have been discussing potential wintry mix this weekend but I have not seen any of the models indicate anything this far north. Am I overlooking something?

[losf1981]

For real?

Yes sir! We are under a winter weather advisory until noon. Looks like it is slowing down but it is still lightly coming down.

I guess I'm a little too far north. I'm up around the base and only have had on and off freezing drizzle.

Haven't seen anything downtown at my office

[Brent]

12z CMC has the following series of lows at DFW... 12, 5, 4, 7, 5 LOL

CMC needs to lay off the crack

This forum would lose its mind if the CMC verified.

not sure I even want to see it verify... the infrastructure damage alone from temps that cold

[PineyWoods]

I an expecting lows next week in the 12 to 22 range depending on cloud cover. Highs in the 18 to 30 range depending on clouds and precip intensity.

Is that for those of us in the Tyler/Lindale area? I would hope no ice.

[Brent]

Our local mets have been discussing potential wintry mix this weekend but I have not seen any of the models indicate anything this far north. Am I overlooking something?

the NAM has a brief window for some frozen precip Sunday morning as the arctic air arrives coming down from Oklahoma before it gets shunted south

Dallas seems to be thinking more freezing drizzle than anything but we'll see how it goes.

[Theepicman116]

Is the NAM normally wrong with it’s forecast for snow, sleet or freezing rain?

[losf1981]

For real?

Yes sir! We are under a winter weather advisory until noon. Looks like it is slowing down but it is still lightly coming down.

I guess I'm a little too far north. I'm up around the base and only have had on and off freezing drizzle.

Haven't seen anything downtown at my office

[SnowintheFalls]

Our local mets have been discussing potential wintry mix this weekend but I have not seen any of the models indicate anything this far north. Am I overlooking something?

the NAM has a brief window for some frozen precip Sunday morning as the arctic air arrives coming down from Oklahoma before it gets shunted south

Dallas seems to be thinking more freezing drizzle than anything but we'll see how it goes.

Thanks Brent! I guess I overlooked the NAM. I assume that is what they are basing the discussion on. I know the GFS and Euro have been pretty dry for the Red River areas.