SE TX/SW LA Winter WX - 2011-2012

[MGC]

Noticed the same. I suspect the low that is expected to form in the GOM might just help bringing down some cold air. Hammond and Baton Rouge are also forecast with the possibility of sleet/snow....MGC

[JenBayles]

Front just now going through Bear Creek. Wow! The wind is blowing my dog door open & shut.

[southerngale]

My new forecast:

Tonight: A chance of rain showers before 3am, then a chance of rain showers and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. North wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Wednesday: A chance of rain and sleet. Cloudy, with a high near 43. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Wednesday Night: A chance of rain and snow, mainly before midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 32. North wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.


Hey, there's a chance!!

[PTrackerLA]

[Ed Mahmoud]

Really, really dark at the Galleria...

[vbhoutex]

SOUTHEAST TEXAS ZONE FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
848 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2008

TXZ213-101015-
HARRIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...HUMBLE...KATY...PASADENA...
TOMBALL
848 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2008
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...
.REST OF TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...
THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING. A CHG...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLEET IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. BREEZY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET. MUCH
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 70.

[LaBreeze]

Front has just passed at around 9:30 p.m. and it is raining pretty good now. Wind is quite cold out of the north.

[Wren]

We had hail here in south Austin this evening, smaller than pea sized. Turned our deck mostly white. Had to send the troops out to put the covers on the lettuces.

[BaytownSam]

We had hail here in south Austin this evening, smaller than pea sized. Turned our deck mostly white. Had to send the troops out to put the covers on the lettuces.

It's not hail, it's sleet... hail freezes on the way up, and sleet freezes on the way down.

[southerngale]

I guess they expect anything that falls during the day today to just be rain. Different from the evening forecast, which called for a 40% chance of rain or sleet during the day today. Now it's 70% chance of showers. They have upped tonight's forecast, though. It went from 30% chance of rain or snow to 70% chance of snow or sleet!

New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
OK, so I'll make a miniature snowman.

I just worry that the precip will be gone before tonight. Come on, baby. Let it snow! Let it snow! Let it snow!

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
450 AM CST WED DEC 10 2008

.DISCUSSION...SORRY FOR THE DELAY IN GETTING THIS DISCUSSION AND
A FEW OF THE PRODUCTS OUT THIS MORNING BUT THERE`S LOTS GOING ON
TO SAY THE LEAST. LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A STRONG COLD FRONT
EXITING EXTREME SERN LA WITH REGIONAL 88DS SHOWING A FEW LINES OF
MAINLY LIGHT SHOWERS BEHIND THE FRONT OVER ACADIANA. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEP TROF EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO TEXAS
WITH A SHORTWAVE TROF CROSSING THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS.
REGIONAL 88DS SHOW A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT RAIN...MIXED WITH A
LITTLE SNOW...ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROF OVER ERN/SRN TX.

FOR TODAY/TONIGHT...SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED BY ALL THE SHORT/MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS TO CLOSE OFF INTO A CUTOFF LOW OVER SERN TX LATER THIS
MORNING THEN PROGRESS SLOWLY EWD TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA. AS
PROJECTED BY THE GFS/NAM PRECIP SHIELD OVER TX HAS BEEN EXPANDING
AS ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF THE TROF INCREASES AND ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE GETS WRAPPED INTO THE SYSTEM. THEREFORE INCREASED THE
POPS ACROSS THE REGION TO LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING AS THE
PRECIP SHIELD SPREADS EAST AND PRESUMEDLY CONTINUES TO EXPAND.
STRONG CAA AND THICK CLOUD COVER BEHIND THE FRONT WILL KEEP TEMPS
FAIRLY STATIC OR EVEN DROPPING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...AND WHEN
COMBINED WITH THE EXPECTED STRONG NRLY WINDS SHOULD MAKE FOR A
VERY RAW AND BLUSTERY DAY. BY LATE AFTERNOON FORECAST SOUNDINGS
AND THICKNESS FIELDS INDICATE THAT SOME OF THE RAIN SHOULD BEGIN
CHANGING OVER TO SLEET OR SNOW OVER THE LAKES REGION. THIS
CHANGEOVER SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EWD/GRADUALLY SWD ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. SOUNDINGS INDICATE A
COMPLETE CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW BY MORNING EVEN AS FAR SOUTH AS
THE COAST BUT THICKNESS FIELDS SHOW MORE OF A MIXED BAG. SINCE WE
ARE TALKING ABOUT SRN LA/SERN TX IN DECEMBER...FEEL BETTER KEEPING
A MIXED MENTION IN THE GRIDS/ZONES FOR NOW.

MOVING ONTO POTENTIAL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...WENT AHEAD AND
ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SWRN/S-CNTL ZONES FOR TODAY AS
WINDS CURRENTLY ARE OR ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH
THROUGH THIS MORNING. OTHER AREAS COULD SEE THESE STRONG NRLY
WINDS DEVELOP DURING THE DAY BUT WILL LET THE NEXT SHIFT DEAL WITH
THESE SHOULD THEY OCCUR. SPEAKING OF PASSING THE BUCK...HAVE
INCLUDED A SMALL ACCUMULATION OF FROZEN PRECIP IN THE GRIDS FOR
TONIGHT WHICH WOULD WARRANT A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BASED ON
LOCAL CRITERIA. HOWEVER HAVE ELECTED TO HOLD OFF ON SUCH AN ISSUANCE
FOR NOW TO LET LATER FORECASTS BETTER REFINE THE WINTER WEATHER
THREAT.

MOVING FORWARD IN TIME...PRECIP WILL CHANGE BACK TO RAIN TOMORROW
MORNING AS THE STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. THE PRECIP WILL GRADUALLY END FROM WEST TO EAST...
LIKELY BY AFTERNOON BUT HAVE HELD ONTO A 20 POP FOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON FOR THE EXTREME ERN ZONES IN CASE LIGHT WRAPAROUND
SHOWERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AROUND THE LOW. THURSDAY NIGHT LOOKS
LIKE A COLDER NIGHT AS GOOD RADIATIVE COOLING CONDITIONS SET UP
WITH THE HIGH PROGGED TO MOVE TO A POSITION JUST NW OF THE
FORECAST AREA. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT AS ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE REMAINS LOW ON WRLY/NWRLY FLOW
ALOFT. HOWEVER RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST BEGINNING
SUNDAY AS RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE REGION AND WEAK WAVES
BEGIN CROSSING IN DEVELOPING SWRLY FLOW ALOFT. SMALL POPS REMAIN
IN THE FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

[iorange55]

Good luck southerngale!!!


May the snow be with you.

[southerngale]

lol - thanks

I'll be crossing all my frozen fingers & toes!

[vbhoutex]

SOUTHEAST TEXAS ZONE FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
430 AM CST WED DEC 10 2008

TXZ213-102215-
HARRIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...HUMBLE...KATY...PASADENA...
TOMBALL
430 AM CST WED DEC 10 2008
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING...
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...
THEN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE SLEET AND FLURRIES IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. BREEZY. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 10 TO
15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT IN
THE MORNING DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND FLURRIES IN
THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND FLURRIES AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
$$

[JenBayles]

I woke up late this morning, when what to my swollen eyes should appear but a forecast of 70% chance for... sleet? snow? Huh? What the heck happened overnight?!

[Jagno]

Snow here in the deep south is always such a rare treat, however, we historically lose electricity as well which isn't such a treat. We are busy getting the firewood moved in, meals cooked ahead and buckets of water on standby for flushing the porcelain throne. Both generators are at the camp so we either drive an hour out and pick one up or use alternate lighting as well. The price we pay for just a glimpse of the white stuff. LOL

[PTrackerLA]

This looks promising, between .25"-.50" of precipitation and 850mb temps below 0 C.

[vbhoutex]

Radar shows plenty of mixed precip moving into Houston proper now. Not seeing it at the surface level yet, but the temps have starting slowly lowering again, so who knows? Currently 33.4ºF at the house on the Eastern edge of the pink just north of I-10. We've managed a high of 33.9ºF so far and I am not going to be too surprised if we don't make it above that.

http://www.weather.com/weather/map/interactive/77080?from=36hour_map_large&zoom=7&interactiveMapLayer=radar

[bighaben]

Looks like a fun night at work tonight for me up north of Spring TX, I get to collect carts in near freezing temperatures. Would make it all worth if if I could see a little snow.

[JenBayles]

bighaben - bless your soul! I was at the Wal-Mart grocery a couple hours ago and an employee was doing cart duty in the parking lot. Knowing how awful it was for me to just dash in and out, I kept thinking about that poor man who had to scavenge the entire lot for carts carelessly left out to blow around in the wind. No doubt the same shoppers who leave carts loose in the lot instead of the carrels are the same people who are the first to sue for damages to their cars when the wind blows the carts into them.

Hope you get to see at least a flurry or two tonight!

[vbhoutex]

Looking better and better for many of us in Houston seeing some snow tonight. An area of rain, snow and mixed precip is moving into the Houston metro area from the West as the temperatures are starting to drop ever so slowly. Currently at the house it is 32.6º with a fine mist falling. Still haven't seen any flakes, but per the NWS the best time will be this evening between 6pm and 9pm. IMO, the weather today in one word-BRUTAL!!! I do not know how those in Northern climes can live with weather like this for weeks on end!!!!!!

http://www.weather.com/weather/map/interactive/77080?from=36hour_map_large&zoom=7&interactiveMapLayer=radar