Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[Metalicwx220]

Well it backed off a lot compared to the 12z run lol

[Metalicwx220]

I assume a few flakes for central florida l don't know. I like the 12z run a whole lot better. I wonder what the 0z run will have.

[BigB0882]

That would never be flakes for central florida. The precip would be well out of the way before temps fall and the area with temps below 0 don't have the precip, anyway.

[Metalicwx220]

I don't know I was just saying something cause Lol i had nothing else to say.

[Metalicwx220]

Winter is back for northern deep south. LOL

[Ivanhater]

Both Pensacola and Mobile broke a record high yesterday.

Looking at the latest GFS and Euro, there is no cold shot coming as the SE Ridge is too strong and shunts the cold air off to the north. Well have to see how this works out.

[jinftl]

8-14 Day Temp Outlook shows continued above normal temps in the deep south.....once we move beyond march 5....barring an exceptional event like the superstorm of '93....all indications point to spring in these parts...but any cold fronts after March 5 south of I-10 are a gift.....we all know what awaits for month after month this summer...

[MississippiWx]

A little off-topic, but not really...

The Southeast Ridge pattern that is setting up seems very ominous for the coming hurricane season. If it bridges with the A/B High, then we might see several tropical systems steered right into the heart of the Gulf of Mexico. Just something to keep you thinking during our warm spell.

[MGC]

Yea, we need a pattern shift back to the EC trough by late July to November the back to SE ridge for the remainder of winter 11-12......MGC

[Metalicwx220]

OH MY GOD look at this! LOl Is this a mini version of a 1993 superstorm? Models can predict big storms well in advance. Could this be one?

[Metalicwx220]

[Metalicwx220]

I find this interesting LOL but it is way out.

[northjaxpro]

The large Southeastern U.S. ridge is really entrenched right now for sure. I was taking a look at those long range runs you posted above Metalicwx220 and I think it would take something strong and extreme to displace this ridge at this point. If it is going to happen, it won't be for at least another 10-12 days or so.

However, I still feel that we will get one last shot of cold weather into the Deep South during the first half of March. It seems to always happen every year.

[Metalicwx220]

Yeah AccuWeather's long range forecast has us back in the 50s and 60s for highs. According to them a strong front will come through Wednesday March 2nd.
thunderstorms
Hi 80° RealFeel® 77° Day

SSW at 13 mph
Gusts: 28 mph
A couple of morning thunderstorms around; otherwise, partly sunny and very warm
Thunderstorm Probability: 60%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.02 in
Amount of Rain: 0.02 in
Amount of Snow: 0.0 in
Amount of Ice: 0.00 in
Hours of Precipitation: 2 hrs
Hours of Rain: 2 hrs
Rain

Lo 35° RealFeel® 32° Night
W at 8 mph
Gusts: 29 mph
Colder with rain

Thunderstorm Probability: 0%
Amount of Precipitation: 1.24 in
Amount of Rain: 1.24 in
Amount of Snow: 0.0 in
Amount of Ice: 0.00 in
Hours of Precipitation: 6 hrs
Thursday
Mar 3
Sunny and colder 60°Lo 35°

Friday
Mar 4
Mostly sunny 58°Lo 33°

Saturday
Mar 5
Sunshine 57°Lo 35°

Sunday
Mar 6
Plenty of clouds 58°Lo 36°

Monday
Mar 7
Sunshine 59°Lo 37°

[stormy70]

Our local channels are saying the same thing. Around the first of March (next week) the temps will drop but not as frigid cold as it was before. Just in time for Mardi Gras so I can freeze to death at the Ball. Grrr!

[Metalicwx220]

Im tired of these snow maps so far out with snow in the deep south. Why did I even post this?

[Metalicwx220]

288 hours has another one of those Nor Easters off the coast.

[Metalicwx220]

The GFS 288-312 hours.

[BigB0882]

It is currently 81 in Baton Rouge. High for today was supposed to be 80. Looks like we will beat that by a few more degrees as it is only 11:40 A.M.

[Kennethb]

Certainly a very nice weekend for the end of February. And yes it was quite warm today here in Baton Rouge and other areas of the Gulf Coast. Next Sunday we may struggle to reach 60. Almost certainly a couple of frosty mornings Monday, and perhaps Tuesday. While Mardi Gras day may start cool, it should warm by the afternoon.