Texas Winter 2022-2023

Winter Weather Discussion

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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4381 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Jan 24, 2023 1:52 pm

Hopefully this big storm will cleanse Texas of my number one enemy, mountain cedar pollen. This month has been horrible with allergies.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4382 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Tue Jan 24, 2023 1:53 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:
orangeblood wrote:Wow, check out the MJO forecast differences b/w GFS and Euro…major implications beyond day 10

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/GEFS.png

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/ECMF.png

GFS showing potential big warmup into Phase 4 with Euro sinking into null, likely locking in cold for awhile


Come on Euro.



Euro is typically better at this range with systems like this.
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I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4383 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 24, 2023 1:54 pm

gpsnowman wrote:Hopefully this big storm will cleanse Texas of my number one enemy, mountain cedar pollen. This month has been horrible with allergies.


Couldn't agree more, been suffering it this month. Flow should be out of the north more than the south in the near future so count is kept at bay :D.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4384 Postby EnnisTx » Tue Jan 24, 2023 2:07 pm

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Hopefully the Low really pulls in as much moisture as possible so our DFW folk can have some love on the backside of the low.


its too warm


The system is what will be pulling in the colder air.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4385 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Jan 24, 2023 2:54 pm

Temp finally falling slowly to 39.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4386 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jan 24, 2023 2:59 pm

18z 3k NAM still going with a band of snow moving across the northern burbs later this afternoon.

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4387 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:02 pm

Went back up to 32°F, and it's not budging.

Everything is still snow covered, saw a report that Tecumseh got 2 inches so far.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4388 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:06 pm

Snow mixing in with the rain here In Denison…
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4389 Postby Tammie » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:12 pm

Snow/rain in Sherman!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4390 Postby TropicalTundra » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:14 pm

Rain stopped and temp is hard stuck at 46.

Wishing y'all in Dallas some snow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4391 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:21 pm

Looks like a confirmed tornado is on the ground in eastern areas of Houston metro.

Definite debris signature being picked up on radar/CC
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4392 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:23 pm

Temp going back up to 41.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4393 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:25 pm

txtwister78 wrote:Looks like a confirmed tornado is on the ground in eastern areas of Houston metro.

Definite debris signature being picked up on radar/CC


It's PDS Warned now, oh boy

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
221 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

TXC201-242030-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-230124T2030Z/
Harris TX-
221 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY...

At 220 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over southeastern South Belt / Ellington, moving east at 45
mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

The tornado will be near...
Northern Clear Lake around 230 PM CST.
Western Pasadena around 235 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 2958 9522 2963 9525 2969 9511 2959 9506
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 250DEG 41KT 2958 9520

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4394 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:26 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4395 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:27 pm

Now our TV met is lowering his snow prediction :lol: :spam:
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4396 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:28 pm



Holy Crap . . . :eek:

Tornado Warning
TXC071-201-291-242100-
/O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0008.230124T2024Z-230124T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
224 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR PARTS OF SOUTH HARRIS...

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Northwestern Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
South central Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 300 PM CST.

* At 223 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was
observed over northwestern Pasadena, moving northeast at 60 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for parts of SE TEXAS. This is a PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
destruction is possible.

* The tornado will be near...
Morgan`s Point and San Jacinto State Park around 230 PM CST.
Baytown, Highlands and Channelview around 235 PM CST.
Barrett around 240 PM CST.
Mont Belvieu and Cove around 245 PM CST.
Old River-Winfree around 250 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 2960 9517 2967 9523 2998 9489 2992 9478
2982 9475
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 231DEG 51KT 2967 9514

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4397 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:29 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4398 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:30 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
224 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR PARTS OF SOUTH HARRIS...

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Northwestern Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
South central Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 300 PM CST.

* At 223 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was
observed over northwestern Pasadena, moving northeast at 60 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for parts of SE TEXAS. This is a PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
destruction is possible.

* The tornado will be near...
Morgan's Point and San Jacinto State Park around 230 PM CST.
Baytown, Highlands and Channelview around 235 PM CST.
Barrett around 240 PM CST.
Mont Belvieu and Cove around 245 PM CST.
Old River-Winfree around 250 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 2960 9517 2967 9523 2998 9489 2992 9478
2982 9475
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 231DEG 51KT 2967 9514
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4399 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:32 pm

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
229 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

TXC071-201-291-242100-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-230124T2100Z/
Chambers TX-Liberty TX-Harris TX-
229 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SE HARRIS...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS...SOUTH CENTRAL LIBERTY AND EAST CENTRAL HARRIS
COUNTIES...

At 228 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Deer Park, moving northeast at 40 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for SE HARRIS.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

The tornado will be near...
Baytown and Highlands around 240 PM CST.
Barrett around 245 PM CST.
Mont Belvieu and Cove around 255 PM CST.
Old River-Winfree around 300 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 2982 9475 2965 9510 2972 9518 2998 9489
2992 9478
TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 230DEG 36KT 2970 9511

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4400 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:36 pm

Now over the Houston Ship Channel…


Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
234 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

TXC071-201-291-242100-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-230124T2100Z/
Chambers TX-Liberty TX-Harris TX-
234 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SE HARRIS COUNTY AND WESTERN CHAMBERS
COUNTY...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS...SOUTH CENTRAL LIBERTY AND EAST CENTRAL HARRIS
COUNTIES...

At 233 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Houston Ship Channel near Deer Park, moving northeast at 45 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for SE HARRIS COUNTY AND WESTERN CHAMBERS COUNTY.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

The tornado will be near...
Baytown around 240 PM CST.
Barrett around 245 PM CST.
Cove around 250 PM CST.
Mont Belvieu around 255 PM CST.
Old River-Winfree around 300 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.


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