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Winter Weather Discussion

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TT-SEA

#481 Postby TT-SEA » Mon Jan 17, 2005 11:57 pm

60.4 degrees with heavy rain.

Insane.

Not only that... but I am up to 2.9 inches of rain for the day! I will be over 3 inches in about 15 minutes.
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AnthonyC
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#482 Postby AnthonyC » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:00 am

It's once again very windy!! Sustained winds of 20-30 G40 mph. It was calm just 20-30 minutes ago. Amazing!! As for tonight thru Wednesday morning, still looks very wet, esp. along the Olympics and north Cascades. A plume of moisture is currently stationary over southwest Washington/northwest Oregon. The baroclinic band off the coast is currently digging which may limit the amount of heavy rainfall. Once that plume of moisture in the south passes inland, we should have a break for the rest of tonight. But another plume is expected to come onshore around midmorning, particularly in the north sound. So places south of Tacoma may escape the majority of tomorrow fairly dry, besides a few passing showers. But places such as Bellingham will get inundated with rain all day. The entire baroclinic band moves into Vancouver Island all day Wednesday before the entire cold front finally moves through on Thursday, bringing another dose of heavy rain. Still shaping up to be an active week...to say the least!! Long-range GFS models show a moderate trough over the Pacific Northwest/Northern plains beginning January 29, but you can't trust anything that far out.

Anthony

Currently 51 F!!!
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AnthonyC
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#483 Postby AnthonyC » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:02 am

This forum's gonna be very interesting with Snow_Wizzard and TT-SEA.

TT-SEA being very pessimistic about lowland snow, Snow_Wizzard being very optimistic. There's gonna be some fights/debates when snow is mentioned in the forecast. lol. Going to watch 24. Cya in one hour.
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TT-SEA

#484 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:04 am

No fights... I just love weather debates. Its keeps it fun!!

60.2 degrees here now.
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andycottle
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#485 Postby andycottle » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:08 am

Tim....would you be able to give me the links to thoes maps? I too, would like to look at them, but with out lines and weather fronts drawn on them. I know you probably go to the NCEP site, but what link do you click on to get too thoes maps that you posted? The ones where it shows all the precip over a given time. -- Andy
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sertorius
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#486 Postby sertorius » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:10 am

Good luck to you guys-this is a great thread by the way!!!
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andrewr
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#487 Postby andrewr » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:11 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... ex_s.shtml
On the columns at the top it reads Pcpn 06 hrs-60 hrs, just follow it down to which day upto those hours you would like to look at.
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andycottle
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#488 Postby andycottle » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:13 am

I agree with Tim. No fights:), Just good ol`talk about the weather.
--
Andy
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#489 Postby andycottle » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:17 am

Ok thanks, Andrew.:)
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TT-SEA

#490 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:29 am

Here is a better link to all the NCEP models...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/
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andycottle
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#491 Postby andycottle » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:35 am

Yep, been to that one.:)
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TT-SEA

#492 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:38 am

Anthony... just sent you a PM from R-Dub
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andycottle
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#493 Postby andycottle » Tue Jan 18, 2005 1:02 am

Sure has been lots of rain today. see link.

http://radar.wrh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.80stp/si.katx.shtml
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AnthonyC
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#494 Postby AnthonyC » Tue Jan 18, 2005 1:05 am

TT-SEA,

Thanks for the info. Why can't R-Dub post at the forums? Still windy in Mukilteo. Hasn't rained for the past four/five hours...bulk of the moisture is located in the south sound. Well, going to bed. Goodnite to all!!

Anthony

Currently 54 F!!!
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TT-SEA

#495 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Jan 18, 2005 1:11 am

Andy... thats quite a rain shadow around Everett.

We are at 3.05 inches of rain today. I see that right in the city of North Bend they are at 2.62 inches.

Either way... thats more rain than we have had total in the last month. By a long shot.

59.6 degrees and raining fairly hard right now. We are on the northern fringe of this latest band to the south.
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TT-SEA

#496 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Jan 18, 2005 1:17 am

Rain just pounding on the roof now.

Stepped outside and truly feels like a summer evening... with lots of rain.

I hate losing snow in the mountains... and I do not like river flooding. But there is something comforting about this warm rain.

I noticed that the grass along the freeways and driving through my neighborhood looked much greener today... everything looks refreshed after the cold weather.
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TT-SEA

#497 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Jan 18, 2005 1:20 am

Stampede Pass at 47 degrees with heavy rain.

Get this though... 2.33 inches of rain there in the last 6 hours!!!

Good God... we may have a real problem with melting snow here now.
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snow_wizzard
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#498 Postby snow_wizzard » Tue Jan 18, 2005 1:23 am

TT...Are you sure your thermometer is accurate? 60 is beyond belief! Do you have two thermometers to verify your readings? I have 55 in Covington which is amazing enough. If you really have 60, that is flirting with all time record territory for the month of January.

As for my predictions of a coming cold spell. I am predicting from a purely climatological standpoint. That is when I'm at my best! It is nice to have some support from the GFS on it also. Once again it shows some high amp ridging off the coast by early Feb. Just how far offshore the ridge is will be crucial of course. The ensemble has been consistent on 150W.
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TT-SEA

#499 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Jan 18, 2005 1:31 am

It is now 58.8 degrees here but the high for the day was 60.6 degrees just last hour.

I took an old-fashion thermometer outside about two hours ago to verify and it is correct.

More amazing is the 3.10 inches of rain today. Even down in North Bend they have about 2.70 inches.

Although its 600 feet lower... this school site is only 3 miles away. Look at their high for the day...

http://www.instaweather.com/king/default.asp?cid=90&id=NBEND
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TT-SEA

#500 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Jan 18, 2005 1:36 am

If you look at the radar loop...

http://radar.wrh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.katx.shtml


Follow I-90... I am located half-way between I-405 and the King County line at Snoqualmie Pass.

That yellow you see constantly sitting over us is torrential rain.
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