Texas Winter 2022-2023

[rwfromkansas]

Down to 28 IMBY. May make a run at 25-26, which means DFW may hit 27-28.

[CaptinCrunch]

With the onset of hi-rez models NWS FTW will issue WSW with the 7am update package over the same area and probably further east and south.

Precipitation wise I bet you could basically draw a line straight through the middle of DFW and everything N and W see higher amounts of sleet mixing withe frz rain, while E and S more frz rain than sleet.

The problematic issue will be amounts under a very large precipitation shield. We all know there will be areas dotted through NTX that are going to get higher amounts while other areas see less, but everyone will see something.

Temperature wise I'm with the same mind set of DFW area not getting above 32 tomorrow in the center of the heat islands, while outline areas drop into upper 20s through Thursday morning. After that things will start to warm up fairly quickly headed into the weekend.

Let's see how this round plays out, before the next one late next week.

Like I posted earlier, once you start collecting frz rain and sleet on the surfaces it creates that barrier between the warmer surface and air above it and then it's game on.

[Cerlin]

Starting to exit the use of hi-res models as we enter nowcasting territory, but the newest trends in the HRRR seem to be pushing for a broader swath of precipitation with less isolated totals (closer to .1 for central TX and around .25 for DFW) for tomorrow. I’d still prepare like it would be the greater solution as I wouldn’t bother chancing those amounts by this point, but it’s good that it’s not increasing totals as we get closer. Hoping everyone in TX stays safe these next couple days and lend a helping hand if possible to those who don’t have the same resources to prepare.

[Ntxw]

Winter storm warnings are now up for much of North Texas and a lot of Central Texas up and down I-35 including both DFW and Austin. Major ice storm on the way.

DFW airport at this hour - 28F

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
145 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>121-129>134-141>146-156>160-174-301600-
/O.UPG.KFWD.WS.A.0001.230130T1800Z-230201T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KFWD.WS.W.0001.230130T1800Z-230201T1200Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-Johnson-Ellis-
Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-
McLennan-Falls-Milam-
Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman,
Denison, Bonham, Paris, Graham, Olney, Jacksboro, Decatur,
Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano,
McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper,
Sulphur Springs, Breckenridge, Mineral Wells, Weatherford, Briar,
Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman,
Forney, Cisco, Eastland, Ranger, Gorman, Stephenville, Dublin,
Granbury, Oak Trail Shores, Glen Rose, Cleburne, Burleson,
Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Comanche, De Leon, Goldthwaite,
Hamilton, Hico, Clifton, Meridian, Valley Mills, Hillsboro,
Corsicana, Lampasas, Copperas Cove, Gatesville, Killeen, Temple,
Fort Hood, Waco, Marlin, Cameron, and Rockdale
145 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation, primarily in the form of freezing
rain and/or sleet is expected. Total ice or sleet accumulations
between one tenth and one half of an inch are possible.

* WHERE...All of North Texas and western Central Texas.

* WHEN...From noon today to 6 AM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Significant impacts to travel may begin as early as
Monday afternoon and continue through at least Tuesday night.
Elevated surfaces such as bridges and overpasses will likely be
the first to become icy, slick, and hazardous as temperatures
hover around or below freezing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, slow down and use extreme caution particularly
when approaching bridges and overpasses. Keep an extra flashlight,
food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for Texas can be found at drivetexas.org.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
145 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

TXZ171>173-184>190-192-302200-
/O.CON.KEWX.WS.W.0001.230130T1500Z-230201T1800Z/
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-Gillespie-
Kendall-Blanco-Travis-
Including the cities of Llano, Burnet, Georgetown, Rocksprings,
Leakey, Kerrville, Bandera, Fredericksburg, Boerne, Blanco,
and Austin
145 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations of
quarter to half of an inch will be possible.

* WHERE...Hill Country and the Austin metro area.

* WHEN...From 9 AM Monday to noon CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very hazardous travel conditions with any non-
emergency travel being discouraged. Numerous power outages
possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power
outages.

The latest road conditions for the state can be obtained at
drivetexas.org.

[txtwister78]

 https://twitter.com/iembot_ewx/status/1619965005952344064

[SnowintheFalls]

Winter storm warnings are now up for much of North Texas and a lot of Central Texas up and down I-35 including both DFW and Austin. Major ice storm on the way.

DFW airport at this hour - 28F

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
145 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>121-129>134-141>146-156>160-174-301600-
/O.UPG.KFWD.WS.A.0001.230130T1800Z-230201T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KFWD.WS.W.0001.230130T1800Z-230201T1200Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-Johnson-Ellis-
Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-
McLennan-Falls-Milam-
Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman,
Denison, Bonham, Paris, Graham, Olney, Jacksboro, Decatur,
Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano,
McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper,
Sulphur Springs, Breckenridge, Mineral Wells, Weatherford, Briar,
Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman,
Forney, Cisco, Eastland, Ranger, Gorman, Stephenville, Dublin,
Granbury, Oak Trail Shores, Glen Rose, Cleburne, Burleson,
Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Comanche, De Leon, Goldthwaite,
Hamilton, Hico, Clifton, Meridian, Valley Mills, Hillsboro,
Corsicana, Lampasas, Copperas Cove, Gatesville, Killeen, Temple,
Fort Hood, Waco, Marlin, Cameron, and Rockdale
145 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation, primarily in the form of freezing
rain and/or sleet is expected. Total ice or sleet accumulations
between one tenth and one half of an inch are possible.

* WHERE...All of North Texas and western Central Texas.

* WHEN...From noon today to 6 AM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Significant impacts to travel may begin as early as
Monday afternoon and continue through at least Tuesday night.
Elevated surfaces such as bridges and overpasses will likely be
the first to become icy, slick, and hazardous as temperatures
hover around or below freezing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, slow down and use extreme caution particularly
when approaching bridges and overpasses. Keep an extra flashlight,
food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for Texas can be found at drivetexas.org.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
145 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

TXZ171>173-184>190-192-302200-
/O.CON.KEWX.WS.W.0001.230130T1500Z-230201T1800Z/
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-Gillespie-
Kendall-Blanco-Travis-
Including the cities of Llano, Burnet, Georgetown, Rocksprings,
Leakey, Kerrville, Bandera, Fredericksburg, Boerne, Blanco,
and Austin
145 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations of
quarter to half of an inch will be possible.

* WHERE...Hill Country and the Austin metro area.

* WHEN...From 9 AM Monday to noon CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very hazardous travel conditions with any non-
emergency travel being discouraged. Numerous power outages
possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power
outages.

The latest road conditions for the state can be obtained at
drivetexas.org.

Wichita Falls is still under a Winter Storm Watch but shouldn't it be more of a WWA? I haven't really seen any of the models show anything significant enough to justify the WSW.

[Ntxw]

Wichita Falls is still under a Winter Storm Watch but shouldn't it be more of a WWA? I haven't really seen any of the models show anything significant enough to justify the WSW.

The I-35 corridor as of now looks like the epicenter due to higher qpf intersecting with the favorable cold air. DFW and Austin are typically right on the edge of freezing but this time a little deeper in and east tx to college station and SA is the borderline. Duration is going to be lengthy for your typical event for both major metro areas.

For WF the main show will be Weds when higher qpf arrives.

[Ntxw]

Here it comes from the Pacific. Slow moving ULL system and highway where moisture will fetch across the same areas over and over.

[gpsnowman]

Reed Timmer on his way to DFW to cover the ice storm.

[Iceresistance]

I'm annoyed by the fact that I have school today. -_-

[Ralph's Weather]

Many in East Texas went to bed seeing a forecast of 40 and rain all week and wake to a multi day winter storm warning.

[Iceresistance]

 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1619870259951058944




 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1620004933142708224

[Gotwood]

Well looks like the winter weather knowledge on this site wins again. Great Job guys very informative now let’s pray that power outages are minimal. Current weather in Brock, 25 degrees with freezing mist/drizzle.

[Iceresistance]

It's already an absolute mess in Missouri and Arkansas right now.

[Iceresistance]

My school just announced that they are virtual today.

[Tammie]

UPDATE: The winter storm WARNING has taken effect at 6:00 a.m. instead of noon due to freezing drizzle in DFW. BE SAFE OUT THERE FRIENDS!!!

[Gotwood]

My school in Brock just canceled. My wife works in for FWISD and no cancellations yet but her commute is at 50 min now usually 35 roads are terrible apparently already with cars in ditches everywhere into Fort Worth.

[orangeblood]

UPDATE: The winter storm WARNING has taken effect at 6:00 a.m. instead of noon due to freezing drizzle in DFW. BE SAFE OUT THERE FRIENDS!!!

Yep, already beginning….Roads are already icing up across Parker and Tarrant County, working it’s way east

[gboudx]

School districts are being reactionary this morning, but it’s a tough situation for them. I see Iceresistance said his school went virtual; I don’t think many, if any, DFW ISDs have that option. I know Rockwall ISD doesn’t. My wife teaches 2 miles away so I’m not concerned about it, but a part of Rowlett is in Rockwall county and students attending middle school and high school have to cross the Hwy 66 bridge or I30 bridge. I’m thinking early dismissal today so they at least get credit for the school day.

[Tammie]

Multiple accidents being reported in Parker and Tarrant counties. Please be safe.