Texas Winter 2022-2023
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Up from 27.9 to 28.6 IMBY. The forecaster on the local news said 28 is the magic number for all roads to become icy, even side roads. Still dry here. No drizzle or moisture falling atm.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
For those keeping track, this is the 3rd winter in a row (just missed being the 3rd Feb) that a large chunk of Texas has been put under a Winter Storm Warning.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
bubba hotep wrote:For those keeping track, this is the 3rd winter in a row (just missed being the 3rd Feb) that a large chunk of Texas has been put under a Winter Storm Warning.
It may happen again in February.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Radar scope is starting to blow up just west of Fort Worth back to Abilene. Seems a little ahead of schedule
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Disclaimer: This is not an official weather forecast. I am only an amateur weather enthusiast therefore any weather forecasts or opinions should be taken with a grain of salt. Hook em Horns!
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
DFW Stormwatcher wrote:Radar scope is starting to blow up just west of Fort Worth back to Abilene. Seems a little ahead of schedule
Yea, either this s/w is stronger than the hi-res models were showing or it's moving in faster.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
I much prefer yesterday's upper 70s to today's upper 40s. Enjoy your freezing rain up north. Front just barely made it to the coast. Cold air is about 100 ft thick here in Houston. I'm hoping it will modify-out soon.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
There a quite a bit a “twitting” on Twitter about this Ice Storm, especially in the DFW. Lots of people are upset because school districts didn’t move fast enough to cancel school.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
UTSARoadrunner4 wrote:There a quite a bit a “twitting” on Twitter about this Ice Storm, especially in the DFW. Lots of people are upset because school districts didn’t move fast enough to cancel school.
The watches and warnings only went up yesterday and last night. I doubt many of the officials at the districts were in a sense of urgency to plan this out on a Sunday afternoon. Then this morning it's the eyeball test, not much falling yet. That's the debate of lead times for this kind of event, timing and message is key. I understand waiting for better agreement/confidence but that's the debate we've been having the past several days. Hopefully not too much happens until everyone is home.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- cycloneye
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Details of the Ice warnings from WPC. Watch out on the roads and bridges.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/egUU1ZG.jpg)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/egUU1ZG.jpg)
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- Texas Snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
cycloneye wrote:Details of the Ice warnings from WPC. Watch out on the roads and bridges.
https://i.imgur.com/egUU1ZG.jpg
Lot of Wind Farms in that area
![Surprised :eek:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
I filled up my gas tanks for the generator just in case.
Last edited by Texas Snow on Mon Jan 30, 2023 11:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
12z RGEM is the absolute worst-case scenario. ![Surprised :eek:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
![Surprised :eek:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
And it begins. Just left Kroger with blowing drizzle.
Last edited by gpsnowman on Mon Jan 30, 2023 11:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Both the CMS and RGEM have cut back QPF across DFW over the next 48 hrs when temps will be coldest. Kind of backing off the major sleet/ice storm of the 00z runs and trending toward the American models.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Thundersleet!
Man I hope to hear that today or tomorrow.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Thundersleet!
Radar is a good bit more juiced up that way than what the hi-res models were showing.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
bubba hotep wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:Thundersleet!
Radar is a good bit more juiced up that way than what the hi-res models were showing.
Sometimes the website maps are deceiving. Little dots of qpf but really it's convective. This afternoon between 20z and 0z convective activity will occur up and down I-35. Reflectivity composites paints a more realistic view.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/kTY763k.png)
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
bubba hotep wrote:Both the CMS and RGEM have cut back QPF across DFW over the next 48 hrs when temps will be coldest. Kind of backing off the major sleet/ice storm of the 00z runs and trending toward the American models.
Any amount of frz rain and/or sleet is enought to shutdown DFW for a few days, and still .25" or more is all it will take to create major impacts.
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