Texas Winter 2018-2019

[harp]

18Z GFS = zonal, zonal, zonal....

[rendihess]

More updates from the ENSO world. Major WWB set to happen over the IDL. This doesn't occur in fading Nino->Nina events. They happen (most of the time) during growing +ENSO (Nino) for the rest of the year, or they are a continuation of a "double dip" event. This is newsworthy for Spring and Summer.

https://images2.imgbox.com/95/89/mZCrgJGn_o.gif

I don't know anything about weather I'm just interested and fascinated by it. I said that to say why is this newsworthy for spring & summer? Does it mean a hot spring & summer? Sorry for my silly question.

Thanks!

[Ralph's Weather]

18Z GFS = zonal, zonal zonal....

Its not too bad actually. We will swing from warm to cold with regular precip. Zonal into Canada is what kills us in the winter.

[spencer817]

In other news, 0z HRRR was hot garbage. Just another trend that wont work in DFW's favor I'm sure. Too dry imo

0Z NEST looking better so far though

[Cerlin]

In other news, 0z HRRR was hot garbage. Just another trend that wont work in DFW's favor I'm sure. Too dry imo

Yeah precipitation has been sketchy from the start. Can’t really say now but that’s the main thing we’re searching for.

[Brent]

12km NAM looks pretty snowless too other than maybe a flurry

I'm glad i have no expectations anymore

[starsfan65]

12km NAM looks horrible too

I'm glad i have no expectations anymore

Ya'll giving up hope?

[Brent]

12km NAM looks horrible too

I'm glad i have no expectations anymore

Ya'll giving up hope?

This setup has never been that great remember all week it was all south of us

[Cerlin]

I always get my expectations up but that’s okay i still believe in this setup.

[spencer817]

I always get my expectations up but that’s okay i still believe in this setup.

I wouldn't, moisture content is terrible, maybe a snowflake or two to a lucky one.

[Brent]

I always get my expectations up but that’s okay i still believe in this setup.

I wouldn't, moisture content is terrible, maybe a snowflake or two to a lucky one.

I've been thinking its another flizzard basically

Maybe I'll be surprised but I doubt it

[Haris]

NAM NEST wants a few sleet showers tom evening. I'll be on close watch. However not getting my hopes up either !!

[Haris]

[Brent]

Well its been fun DFW

[Ntxw]

Currently 24F at DFW and 36F in Austin. Dewpoints in the teens so coldest of the season so far.

[gpsnowman]

Some clouds are rolling through in the night sky. Not thick, just some high clouds at last check. Just need to see the moisture expand northward, temps do not appear to be an issue. Plenty cold right now. Brrrrrrr.

[Ralph's Weather]

25 here so again beat forecast by 4 degrees. Now lets see if we reach 40 today. I doubt it. I'll be watching C TX this afternoon to see how much saturation occurs. SHV talking about some frontogenesis which could boost totals around and north of here. They are mentionng spotty light accumulations.

[Cerlin]

Radar is showing some sort of wintry precipitation in south Texas and outside Lufkin...any word on if that’s really producing or...?

[bubba hotep]

Well its been fun DFW

https://i.ibb.co/KNwdbYJ/download-11.png

We still have the 06z 12k NAM on our side! (sad)

[Cerlin]

Well its been fun DFW

https://i.ibb.co/KNwdbYJ/download-11.png

We still have the 06z 12k NAM on our side! (sad)

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2019020806/namconus_asnow_scus_29.png

And also the 3k NAM, though to a much lesser extent.