Texas Winter 2014-2015

[aggiecutter]

Does anyone know what the ratios of QPF to sleet are. For instance, .75 of QPF would translate to how much sleet.

[TheProfessor]

its usually about a 1:3 or 1:4 ratio. the 1 being a inch of liquid rain.

[orangeblood]

Tropical convention developed fairly rapidly this afternoon SW of the Baja Peninsula. That moisture is being picked up and spreading NE with the strong upper low generating rainfall across Southern California this evening for the Oscar Ceremonies in Hollywood. The sub tropical jet is becoming very noisy and that trend may continue into Wednesday before the upper trough finally passes Wednesday night.

Yeah, the models continue to trend towards neutral or maybe even negative tilt with the passing of the UL trough on Wednesday...would help to entice that coastal low. Definitely very intrigued by that system!

[TrekkerCC]

Does anyone know what the ratios of QPF to sleet are. For instance, .75 of QPF would translate to how much sleet.

Usually, I have seen sleet been described as being a 3:1 to 4:1 ratio - so let's assume that it is .75 of QPF - that would translate to around 2" of sleet. If it were a bit colder (warm nose was smaller) then it might be closer to 4:1 - it might be 3" at least of sleet. So if the disturbance produces a lot more precipitation - we could have more than 2" of sleet.

[Portastorm]

:uarrow: He needs to be in scenic SW Austin doing live shots with our fearless leader Portastorm!

Actually, Cantore just did a live shot from Dallas on TWC. The girl in the studio asked him why he always goes to Dallas and not Austin for winter weather events. He laughed and said " Are you kidding me, it never snows in Austin, Texas".

Sad but true my friend ... sad but true.

Down to 43 degrees at the PWC as of 7:55 pm.

[SouthernMet]

Ummmm EWX, Austin ISD, need to make decisions quick. Latest SREF paints a different picture, showing a mean of .4 - .5" qpf for Austin/Georgetown with atleast .2"+ of that frozen, with temps dropping throughout the afternoon and a hard freeze tuesday morning.

[Texas Snowman]

:uarrow: He needs to be in scenic SW Austin doing live shots with our fearless leader Portastorm!

Actually, Cantore just did a live shot from Dallas on TWC. The girl in the studio asked him why he always goes to Dallas and not Austin for winter weather events. He laughed and said " Are you kidding me, it never snows in Austin, Texas".

Sad but true my friend ... sad but true.

Down to 43 degrees at the PWC as of 7:55 pm.

Yeah, and they had never had a 28-foot storm surge on the Mississippi coastline until Cantore showed up in 2005. If we can get him to the PWC weather center, who knows what might happen?

[veedub63]

Ummmm EWX, Austin ISD, need to make decisions quick. Latest SREF paints a different picture, showing a mean of .4 - .5" qpf for Austin/Georgetown with atleast .2"+ of that frozen, with temps dropping throughout the afternoon and a hard freeze tuesday morning.

http://hp6.wright-weather.com/wrf_nmmea ... _1hour.gif

This looks rather ominous for quite a large portion of Texas, including Austin. I agree with your statement; better safe than sorry. 41 deg. and dropping here in Lago Vista.

[Texas Snowman]

We've got to get Cantore to Austin. It's time to pull out all stops to get Portastorm a good winter storm down there!!!

[iorange55]

Have some ice collecting on the trees and mailboxes now. Looks like some freezing drizzle.

[Texas Snowman]

Yeah, good amount of ice building here with freezing drizzle. Had some pretty steady freezing rain earlier before it changed to sleet. Road in front of my house isn't ice yet but everything else at my house is entombed in it already.

[SouthernMet]

36 in Burnet & 36 in Killeen already, it will be interesting to see if this caa moves southeast fast enough.

[Ntxw]

Dallas ISD and many of the surrounding big districts will be closed tomorrow

[SouthernMet]

HRRR also wants sleet accumulations for austin tomorrow.

http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloo ... omain=full

[Shoshana]

Still a windy 42 and holding here

Looks like NWS thinks only half of Travis County will have a problem, so why do they have San Marcus in the advisory?

Light Freezing Rain timing graphic

[Texas Snowman]

Southern Oklahoma near McAlester, about 90 miles north of me...

[SouthernMet]

EWX says via twitter the SREF/HRRR alone warrant a WSW, but they will wait for more data.

[Texas Snowman]

EWX says via twitter the SREF/HRRR alone warrant a WSW, but they will wait for more data.

Sounds like they're going to wait until they are sure. Like the day after it happens.

[WeatherDuck]

Temperature has dropped from 42 to 40 here in eastern Williamson County within a matter of the last 10 minutes.

[TexasF6]

EWX says via twitter the SREF/HRRR alone warrant a WSW, but they will wait for more data.

blah blah ewx ewx meh. still love em tho!