Texas Winter 2025-2026

[HockeyTx82]

I just realized my sloped driveway is still completely covered. Street barely looks better than yesterday.

And clouds coming in…

Betting school will cancel.

I really thought we would be good the other day.

Yep. Just walked around the house and not much melting at all. Some peeks of sun but mostly cloudy. Didn't even hear water dripping from the roof. Agree, no school tomorrow. Hopefully most of it melts Wednesday afternoon but I have a feeling some of it will remain for days considering the cold returns on Friday.

Just got done playing ice hockey on my lunch break again. The roads are still solid, as is the grass. It's a little bit softer but it still is able to hold the weight of me skating on it without breaking underneath my feet.

I don't know if it ever get old me saying playing ice hockey on my lunch break in Texas outside on a soccer field.......

[Ntxw]

While I certainly don't recommend 300+ hours out to be of that great value, if it can show case meaningful potential outcomes via the ens and longer range guidance it can illustrate how changes can happen.

Models did not have much cold to show with the teleconnections before, but gradually and slowly they will start to see it the closer in we get. -WPO/-EPO will no doubt pump a Beaufort Sea region ridge to provide cold to the Canadian Prairies a little deeper into February.



Much colder than it has been, likely coldest stretch of the winter nationally relative to averages.

[orangeblood]

While I certainly don't recommend 300+ hours out to be of that great value, if it can show case meaningful potential outcomes via the ens and longer range guidance it can illustrate how changes can happen.

Models did not have much cold to show with the teleconnections before, but gradually and slowly they will start to see it the closer in we get. -WPO/-EPO will no doubt pump a Beaufort Sea region ridge to provide cold to the Canadian Prairies a little deeper into February.

https://i.imgur.com/YorPps1.png

Much colder than it has been, likely coldest stretch of the winter nationally relative to averages.

lol pretty bold statement, Ntxw....considering we just had one of the coldest 3 day stretches we've had in a couple of years. And a record high minimum of 21F which hasn't been seen since 2021

[Ntxw]

While I certainly don't recommend 300+ hours out to be of that great value, if it can show case meaningful potential outcomes via the ens and longer range guidance it can illustrate how changes can happen.

Models did not have much cold to show with the teleconnections before, but gradually and slowly they will start to see it the closer in we get. -WPO/-EPO will no doubt pump a Beaufort Sea region ridge to provide cold to the Canadian Prairies a little deeper into February.

https://i.imgur.com/YorPps1.png

Much colder than it has been, likely coldest stretch of the winter nationally relative to averages.

lol pretty bold statement, Ntxw....considering we just had one of the coldest 3 day stretches we've had in a couple of years. And a record high minimum of 21F which hasn't been seen since 2021

Think we're looking at a ~2 week period of below to much below normal, possibly even 3. I wouldn't discount the possibility of a colder stretch than we just had either. This is the stuff of nightmares for wxman57. If the AO goes -5 (which I think it could) then bets are off.

[orangeblood]

While I certainly don't recommend 300+ hours out to be of that great value, if it can show case meaningful potential outcomes via the ens and longer range guidance it can illustrate how changes can happen.

Models did not have much cold to show with the teleconnections before, but gradually and slowly they will start to see it the closer in we get. -WPO/-EPO will no doubt pump a Beaufort Sea region ridge to provide cold to the Canadian Prairies a little deeper into February.

https://i.imgur.com/YorPps1.png

Much colder than it has been, likely coldest stretch of the winter nationally relative to averages.

lol pretty bold statement, Ntxw....considering we just had one of the coldest 3 day stretches we've had in a couple of years. And a record high minimum of 21F which hasn't been seen since 2021

Think we're looking at a ~2 week period of below to much below normal, possibly even 3. I wouldn't discount the possibility of a colder stretch than we just had either. This is the stuff of nightmares for wxman57. If the AO goes -5 (which I think it could) then bets are off.

Oh, don't get me wrong the potential is no doubt there, it's just pulling off what we just went through is quite the accomplishment...it's a stretch you don't see often during any winter season much less more than once in a season.

[HockeyTx82]

Well UNT Denton just called it, closed Wednesday as well. So happy to have this board, I'm sure supplies are running thin for some.

Chances on Thursday too?

Will the freezing fog hang around and prevent melting?

[rylo7956]

I just realized my sloped driveway is still completely covered. Street barely looks better than yesterday.

And clouds coming in…

Betting school will cancel.

I really thought we would be good the other day.

Coppell just canceled for tomorrow

[Ntxw]

Latest weeklies, and posted a 500mb for the stretch of 2021. Just to illustrate the high ceiling of the upcoming period, the SPV and -AO are the indicators to watch for.

[Cpv17]

lol pretty bold statement, Ntxw....considering we just had one of the coldest 3 day stretches we've had in a couple of years. And a record high minimum of 21F which hasn't been seen since 2021

Think we're looking at a ~2 week period of below to much below normal, possibly even 3. I wouldn't discount the possibility of a colder stretch than we just had either. This is the stuff of nightmares for wxman57. If the AO goes -5 (which I think it could) then bets are off.

Oh, don't get me wrong the potential is no doubt there, it's just pulling off what we just went through is quite the accomplishment...it's a stretch you don't see often during any winter season much less more than once in a season.

Maybe for you guys up there, but for us down here in SETX, it wasn’t bad at all. January last year was way worse for us down here.

[rwfromkansas]

Carroll/Birdville also.

I expect the Keller/Northwest/Eagle Mountain trio to drop their usually perfectly announcements soon. lol.

[Ntxw]

Well UNT Denton just called it, closed Wednesday as well. So happy to have this board, I'm sure supplies are running thin for some.

Chances on Thursday too?

Will the freezing fog hang around and prevent melting?

Re-freeze tonight, Sunny tomorrow about the same temps maybe a little bit warmer. More melting, but there will be ice still especially on driven side and arterial roads the slush will become a problem that will re-freeze again tomorrow night into Thursday. Is that deemed safe for a bus of 50-100 kids? I wouldn't risk it but tougher call, if the roads look tricky late tomorrow will be an indicator.

[rwfromkansas]

My wife has a rodeo event tomorrow with a client since that never cancels. Hoping for major melting!

[orangeblood]

Latest weeklies, and posted a 500mb for the stretch of 2021. Just to illustrate the high ceiling of the upcoming period, the SPV and -AO are the indicators to watch for.


https://i.imgur.com/dG096Wc.jpeg

https://i.imgur.com/fUUmbGG.jpeg

https://i.imgur.com/yGKyWuY.gif

The cold looks to be there but unfortunately looks really dry across the southern US. We need a big change at the ENSO level ASAP

[rwfromkansas]

My district is now closed.

[HockeyTx82]

Well UNT Denton just called it, closed Wednesday as well. So happy to have this board, I'm sure supplies are running thin for some.

Chances on Thursday too?

Will the freezing fog hang around and prevent melting?

Re-freeze tonight, Sunny tomorrow about the same temps maybe a little bit warmer. More melting, but there will be ice still especially on driven side and arterial roads the slush will become a problem that will re-freeze again tomorrow night into Thursday. Is that deemed safe for a bus of 50-100 kids? I wouldn't risk it but tougher call, if the roads look tricky late tomorrow will be an indicator.

Looks like I topped out at 48F at 2:17PM. Down to 43F at 3:10PM...