Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

[Ntxw]

Anyone notice the high traffic in this forum? Geez

[DFW Stormwatcher]

You're right Dustin, you can't beat that. I went to Colorado a couple of months ago and saw plenty of snow, but nothing beats snow at home. Here's an early happy birthday to you we all hope you get your wish Ntxw, I've meant to post a number of times, but lost my password, lol. With an event this big coming up, I went to the extra trouble to go find it, I think alot of us observers are talking a little with this storm coming.

[msstateguy83]

i would almost bank on this to be i-20, points north... could see some heavy precip amts all the way from gainesville
to waco HOWEVER i would firmly expect most of the heavy amounts of snow to be right along or near
I-20 near the metroplex region on thursday... this is still subject to change but i expect a further northward track...


The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

[Texas Snowman]

I'd like to thank all you guys that take your time to answer questions and post maps, prediction ect...

It is greatly appericated

Amen to that!

Wxman57 and a host of others have really helped educate me about winter weather in Texas. This is a great, great forum.

And if you think it's great during winter weather, you ought to see it during spring severe storm season and if we've got a hurricane brewing somewhere (especially if it is approaching the U.S. coast).

Just a few more months and we'll be wobble watching!

[serenata09]

Any chance of this drizzle turning into a rush hour icy mess tomorrow morning once the temps. are in the mid 20s?

[Texas Snowman]

Any chance of this drizzle turning into a rush hour mess tomorrow morning once the temps. are in the mid 20s?

I'll let others more qualified to opine do so, but...while this isn't an official forecast of any kind, I don't believe the drizzle is going to last too deep into the night.

And the stiff north wind should dry up any moisuture/ice that gets laid down on the surface tonight.

[Extremeweatherguy]

--erased due to incoming 00z data--

[vbhoutex]

I'd like to thank all you guys that take your time to answer questions and post maps, prediction ect...

It is greatly appericated

Amen to that!

Wxman57 and a host of others have really helped educate me about winter weather in Texas. This is a great, great forum.

And if you think it's great during winter weather, you ought to see it during spring severe storm season and if we've got a hurricane brewing somewhere (especially if it is approaching the U.S. coast).

Just a few more months and we'll be wobble watching!

You had to mention that didn't you?

[Texas Snowman]

Vbhoutex, lol, glad I could brighten your day up! Just three and a half months till wobble watching season is upon us...

Meanwhile, it's still winter storm watching season.

Personally, I hope that this winter goes out with a bang for many Texans. If it is going to be this cold and wet, there might as well be something historical for us to talk about and remember in the years to come...

[Ntxw]

NAM has a stronger system progged than in previous runs with much more moisture in the southwest.

[Texas Snowman]

Saw this little Texas' winter weather tidbit in the Foxnews.com weather almanac earlier today...

"1933: The record low temperature for the state of Texas was set at Seminole when the mercury dropped to 23 degrees below zero."

[DentonGal]

NAM has a stronger system progged than in previous runs with much more moisture in the southwest.

Stronger as in the same track but just a larger, more widespread system?

[Extremeweatherguy]

Well this isn't good..

The 00z NAM is now showing strong warm air advection at the surface and brings the surface temperature in Dallas up to around 5 to 6C (41 to 43F) by 3pm on Thursday. That is not something you would want to see for snow to make it to the ground and stick.

http://www.twisterdata.com/data/tmp/scr ... .0000W.png

[iorange55]

Ugh that's it. I'm not looking at any weather till Wednesday.

[gofrogs2]

Well this storm is done next.

[Extremeweatherguy]

00z NAM snowfall map at hour 84..

http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/ ... URFACE.png

[Ntxw]

Lol amazing how quickly things\mood can change.

[cwp419]

It's the NAM past 48 hours, no point in looking at it

[Ntxw]

Timing and track, needs to come together just right. 0z NAM has a stronger more compact system going further south. There's more precip in southern Texas but not cold enough there for winter weather. Lets see what the GFS says.

[HockeyTx82]

Ok I am confused...... What is going on? Why would the NWS and the long range forecasters get onboard with this stuff and now the computer models have taken it all away? Is there something that they as humans know that the computer is not picking up on. What happened?