Texas Winter 2019-2020

[CaptinCrunch]

Frosty 29F here this morning....

[wxman57]

I'm not really seeing any significant pattern change coming over the next two weeks. Relatively fast zonal flow looks like it will continue into the first week of January. Occasional brief shots of cold air. Not a lot of rain.

[Cpv17]

33F here in Sugar Land.

We had 26 here. I’m out in a rural area in the country though. I’m 10 miles west of Wharton and 10 miles north of El Campo.

[Cpv17]

I'm not really seeing any significant pattern change coming over the next two weeks. Relatively fast zonal flow looks like it will continue into the first week of January. Occasional brief shots of cold air. Not a lot of rain.

We could get up to an inch I think on Friday/Saturday here in parts of SETX. At least that’s what the Euro is saying. Haven’t checked other models yet.

[wxman57]

I'm not really seeing any significant pattern change coming over the next two weeks. Relatively fast zonal flow looks like it will continue into the first week of January. Occasional brief shots of cold air. Not a lot of rain.

We could get up to an inch I think on Friday/Saturday here in parts of SETX. At least that’s what the Euro is saying. Haven’t checked other models yet.

I'll believe that when I see it. We got nothing ahead of the cold front yesterday morning, and only about 0.1" from last week's system. The last significant rain (over 0.2") I've measured was on November 7th (SW Houston).

[Ralph's Weather]

I am still keeping an eye on the weekend system. The upper level cold will be there and surface temps look viable for dynamic and evaporative cooling to see temps around 40 under the west side of the upper low. Problem is a temporary SW ridge builds in behind the system so this will not have the same moisture many of these upper lows have.

Looking ahead, through Christmas and likely through the end of the year the cold and moisture will be west of the Rockies. I could see many mountain locales seeing >2 feet of snow throughout the West over the next couple weeks. This all because of a +EPO/-PNA pattern. Around the beginning of 2020 we look to see a return of -EPO with a continued -PNA which is a snowy pattern for the Plains.

[Cpv17]

I'm not really seeing any significant pattern change coming over the next two weeks. Relatively fast zonal flow looks like it will continue into the first week of January. Occasional brief shots of cold air. Not a lot of rain.

We could get up to an inch I think on Friday/Saturday here in parts of SETX. At least that’s what the Euro is saying. Haven’t checked other models yet.

I'll believe that when I see it. We got nothing ahead of the cold front yesterday morning, and only about 0.1" from last week's system. The last significant rain (over 0.2") I've measured was on November 7th (SW Houston).

Yeah, but the models were never keen on rain on any of the fronts we’ve had lately. This is the first time in a while that I’ve seen the models giving us a decent rain event in a while, but yeah, I’ll believe it when I see it too.

[Haris]

A solid 1/2” - 2” of rainfal looking likely now Fri PM across SCTX per latest 12z GFS NAM and earlier Euro. Thatd be a great start to the holidays. Bring it on

[TropicalTundra]

Seems like some New Years snow is possible for West Texas!!

Look at the GFS!

[Brent]

Seems like some New Years snow is possible for West Texas!!

Look at the GFS!

always in fantasy land

what a waste of a cold core Friday Night btw because there's no cold air

[Ralph's Weather]

The weekend upper low is kinda fascinating. It began as part of the main Aleutian low early this week. It is slamming into northern California today. By the end of this week it will be trapped under a stout horseshoe ridge stretching from Baja to the northern Plains and back down into the SE US. Sadly no norther stream connection for cold or STJ connection for moisture. Will still be a cold wet Saturday for the state with a large area of .5-1" of rain with temps in the low 40s. With 850mb temps around 0C a few flakes could mix in and if the 850mb temps end up more like -2 then maybe a changeover especially for the Hill Country and western N TX.

[Cpv17]

The weekend upper low is kinda fascinating. It began as part of the main Aleutian low early this week. It is slamming into northern California today. By the end of this week it will be trapped under a stout horseshoe ridge stretching from Baja to the northern Plains and back down into the SE US. Sadly no norther stream connection for cold or STJ connection for moisture. Will still be a cold wet Saturday for the state with a large area of .5-1" of rain with temps in the low 40s. With 850mb temps around 0C a few flakes could mix in and if the 850mb temps end up more like -2 then maybe a changeover especially for the Hill Country and western N TX.

The latest Euro has cut back on precipitation. It blows up east of Texas of course though.

[Ralph's Weather]

The weekend upper low is kinda fascinating. It began as part of the main Aleutian low early this week. It is slamming into northern California today. By the end of this week it will be trapped under a stout horseshoe ridge stretching from Baja to the northern Plains and back down into the SE US. Sadly no norther stream connection for cold or STJ connection for moisture. Will still be a cold wet Saturday for the state with a large area of .5-1" of rain with temps in the low 40s. With 850mb temps around 0C a few flakes could mix in and if the 850mb temps end up more like -2 then maybe a changeover especially for the Hill Country and western N TX.

The latest Euro has cut back on precipitation. It blows up east of Texas of course though.

Yea once the low gets over the Gulf. That's why our best upper lows start over Baja and track south of the border so they have moisture. Northern stream systems will rarely produce much rain in Texas.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

33F here in Sugar Land.

We had 26 here. I’m out in a rural area in the country though. I’m 10 miles west of Wharton and 10 miles north of El Campo.

Im afraid SL is now apart of the urban heat island. Things have changed within the last few years.

[Cpv17]

33F here in Sugar Land.

We had 26 here. I’m out in a rural area in the country though. I’m 10 miles west of Wharton and 10 miles north of El Campo.

Im afraid SL is now apart of the urban heat island. Things have changed within the last few years.

Yeah it’s getting to be that way. I’ve always thought how is Conroe almost always the coldest spot in southeast TX? Haven’t you wondered about that too? I wonder what makes it that way.

[harp]

GFS continues to be BORING and noneventful. At least we won't be let down like last year when things looked so promising. Ain't nuthin' looking promising right now....

[Brent]

GFS continues to be BORING and noneventful. At least we won't be let down like last year when things looked so promising. Ain't nuthin' looking promising right now....

yeah... definitely not feeling like anything will happen certainly anytime remotely soon

still looks like an above normal Christmas and then possibly some rain just after but no cold in sight

fortunately January and my vacation to Lake Tahoe is right around the corner

[Astromanía]

If isn't going to snow or even rain then I don't want cool temperatures, It's so freaking cold right now with a completely clear sky where I'm, I hate this type of weather...

[Ralph's Weather]

22 in Hideaway. Then 38 at 8am in Tyler. Heat island at work.

[bubba hotep]

January Outlooks from CPC, Normal temps and Above precipitation would at least give us a fighting chance at some winter weather.