Texas Winter 2025-2026

[Golfisnoteasy75]

February made December look like an icebox. Outside of one event for a week, what an atrocious winter if you like cold. It was the winter of 80s.

Falcon Dam also recorded the warmest winter temperature ever in the US for a winter month of 106F on Feb 26.

The winters in the 80s were pretty good unless u mean yall had alot of 80s in temps. We did get one significant winter storm and a week of cold air after here. Typically niñas are front loaded, which made sense this past winter. I am wondering howcome the ridge out west was so far inland instead of along immediate west coast?

[Stratton23]

looks like ensembles/ global models are coming in line with my thinking, a below normal/ chilly period during the middle of spring break ( could see 50’s- low 60’s for highs for a few days )

[ElectricStorm]

Might be the smallest slight risk of all time up here today and I'm in it

Welcome to spring

[Ntxw]

February made December look like an icebox. Outside of one event for a week, what an atrocious winter if you like cold. It was the winter of 80s.

Falcon Dam also recorded the warmest winter temperature ever in the US for a winter month of 106F on Feb 26.

The winters in the 80s were pretty good unless u mean yall had alot of 80s in temps. We did get one significant winter storm and a week of cold air after here. Typically niñas are front loaded, which made sense this past winter. I am wondering howcome the ridge out west was so far inland instead of along immediate west coast?

We had a lot of 80s each of the DJF months. Forcing this past winter did not progress as far east as we'd like. Centered over the MC 4, 5, 6. The one 7 period is where we got the cold for about a week and a half. I'm sure other factors played a role which will come to light soon. I wouldn't call it a front loaded winter, it was only a 1-2 week period mid to late winter.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Easily the worst winter we could have. It was very similar to 2021, except, early 2022 we had repeated snow storms into the Front range. Cant remember what it was like in Texas. This year started out very similar, but the second half of winter we are transitioning into a nino. I know what the weather typically is with a static nino in the winter months, but im not very familiar what it brings when youre transitioning into a nino from nina.

Currently the lowest amount of snowfall in history in Denver at 13"

[Stratton23]

Yeah i have to agree this was easily one of the worst winters we have had and thats saying something, we only had a week of actually cold weather, thats quite pathetic even for texas standards

[txtwister78]

looks like ensembles/ global models are coming in line with my thinking, a below normal/ chilly period during the middle of spring break ( could see 50’s- low 60’s for highs for a few days )

That mid month cool shot looks more like a day or two at most of fall like weather so my "winter is over" statement holds and I still think it won't get that cool down this far south into our region anyway.

N TX and especially across the panhandle into portions of West Texas may see a day or two at most in 50's/low 60's but ensembles aren't really that below normal looking for mid month for this time of year. March overall still looks warmer than average as a whole to me right now.

Good news and more important in my opinion is much of the state including areas that desperately need it are going to cash in on some much needed rainfall as I mentioned several days ago on here beginning next week into early the following week.

[Stratton23]

It looks good for central and north texas in terms of rain, doesnt look like much down here the next several weeks, maybe an inch if we are lucky lol

[txtwister78]

It looks good for central and north texas in terms of rain, doesnt look like much down here the next several weeks, maybe an inch if we are lucky lol

Actually looks great down here. 12z Euro op much more bullish than that with its ensemble now at almost 4 inches across SC TX.

In fact CPC is about as bullish as you can get in their 6-10 day outlook now. WPC has area from San Antonio points east in a heavy rain threat March 6th -8th. Looks better than an inch of rain to me. Bring it on!

[Stratton23]

Hopefully your right, our backyard even with the sprinklers on is still very much brown, but as much as we need the rain, with enso neutral - el nino conditions , gotta watch for any flooding events anytime we get into a long duration wet pattern and especially with cut off lows sitting out to our west, especially in se texas and areas in the hill country as it doesnt take much rain to cause flooding

[Quixotic]

Easily the worst winter we could have. It was very similar to 2021, except, early 2022 we had repeated snow storms into the Front range. Cant remember what it was like in Texas. This year started out very similar, but the second half of winter we are transitioning into a nino. I know what the weather typically is with a static nino in the winter months, but im not very familiar what it brings when youre transitioning into a nino from nina.

Currently the lowest amount of snowfall in history in Denver at 13"

Not even close. Late 90s were awful.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Easily the worst winter we could have. It was very similar to 2021, except, early 2022 we had repeated snow storms into the Front range. Cant remember what it was like in Texas. This year started out very similar, but the second half of winter we are transitioning into a nino. I know what the weather typically is with a static nino in the winter months, but im not very familiar what it brings when youre transitioning into a nino from nina.

Currently the lowest amount of snowfall in history in Denver at 13"

Not even close. Late 90s were awful.

I was speaking for CO.

[Quixotic]

Easily the worst winter we could have. It was very similar to 2021, except, early 2022 we had repeated snow storms into the Front range. Cant remember what it was like in Texas. This year started out very similar, but the second half of winter we are transitioning into a nino. I know what the weather typically is with a static nino in the winter months, but im not very familiar what it brings when youre transitioning into a nino from nina.

Currently the lowest amount of snowfall in history in Denver at 13"

Not even close. Late 90s were awful.

I was speaking for CO.

My bad if I’m wrong but I remember 97-99 where the super ninos flooded the states with warm air. Only Maine was cold. I guess even AN temps in the mountains could still produce snow? Not arguing just remember how poor it was for the country.

[Brent]

Not even close. Late 90s were awful.

I was speaking for CO.

My bad if I’m wrong but I remember 97-99 where the super ninos flooded the states with warm air. Only Maine was cold. I guess even AN temps in the mountains could still produce snow? Not arguing just remember how poor it was for the country.

The late 2010s were awful here too. I was in Dallas still and I remember 5 straight winters with nothing at all. Even Tulsa was way below average every year from 2016 to 2020 with a couple years with practically nothing. Almost to February 2021

21-22 is actually kind of similar to this winter in that it was pretty much one big storm that did everything with a torch otherwise(including Christmas)... Though I do remember it snowing in March that year after the big storm (the most recent March snow here)

[Ntxw]

I was speaking for CO.

My bad if I’m wrong but I remember 97-99 where the super ninos flooded the states with warm air. Only Maine was cold. I guess even AN temps in the mountains could still produce snow? Not arguing just remember how poor it was for the country.

The late 2010s were awful here too. I was in Dallas still and I remember 5 straight winters with nothing at all. Even Tulsa was way below average every year from 2016 to 2020 with a couple years with practically nothing. Almost to February 2021

21-22 is actually kind of similar to this winter in that it was pretty much one big storm that did everything with a torch otherwise(including Christmas)... Though I do remember it snowing in March that year after the big storm (the most recent March snow here)

Don't even get me started with March. DFW has not seen significant snow or ice in March since 2015 more than 11 years ago. It's supposed to happen every few years. The next refresh to 30 year averages will basically bring it down along with December. We got 4 more years cover ground.

[Brent]

My bad if I’m wrong but I remember 97-99 where the super ninos flooded the states with warm air. Only Maine was cold. I guess even AN temps in the mountains could still produce snow? Not arguing just remember how poor it was for the country.

The late 2010s were awful here too. I was in Dallas still and I remember 5 straight winters with nothing at all. Even Tulsa was way below average every year from 2016 to 2020 with a couple years with practically nothing. Almost to February 2021

21-22 is actually kind of similar to this winter in that it was pretty much one big storm that did everything with a torch otherwise(including Christmas)... Though I do remember it snowing in March that year after the big storm (the most recent March snow here)

Don't even get me started with March. DFW has not seen significant snow or ice in March since 2015 more than 11 years ago. It's supposed to happen every few years. The next refresh to 30 year averages will basically bring it down along with December. We got 4 more years cover ground.

That's what I was thinking too...most of our biggest snowstorms on record are in March but it's like been so long ago

[wxman22]

There was an ice storm in February 2018 here. There were also big winter storms in January 2019 & Feb 2020 with an big ice storm in October of 2020 also.

[Ntxw]

The late 2010s were awful here too. I was in Dallas still and I remember 5 straight winters with nothing at all. Even Tulsa was way below average every year from 2016 to 2020 with a couple years with practically nothing. Almost to February 2021

21-22 is actually kind of similar to this winter in that it was pretty much one big storm that did everything with a torch otherwise(including Christmas)... Though I do remember it snowing in March that year after the big storm (the most recent March snow here)

Don't even get me started with March. DFW has not seen significant snow or ice in March since 2015 more than 11 years ago. It's supposed to happen every few years. The next refresh to 30 year averages will basically bring it down along with December. We got 4 more years cover ground.

That's what I was thinking too...most of our biggest snowstorms on record are in March but it's like been so long ago

March is typically blizzard month for Panhandle and Oklahoma. But the reduction is pretty significant the last ~10 years so the new averages will likely be cut, unless it goes bonkers by then.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Don't even get me started with March. DFW has not seen significant snow or ice in March since 2015 more than 11 years ago. It's supposed to happen every few years. The next refresh to 30 year averages will basically bring it down along with December. We got 4 more years cover ground.

That's what I was thinking too...most of our biggest snowstorms on record are in March but it's like been so long ago

March is typically blizzard month for Panhandle and Oklahoma. But the reduction is pretty significant the last ~10 years so the new averages will likely be cut, unless it goes bonkers by then.

Thats very interesting because I dont think sea ice plays a direct role in this. I think it does for the lack of an early winter in the Southern Plains. Temps are def higher now in the arctic then the past in March but the cold source region of the arctic is full of ice.

[Ntxw]

That's what I was thinking too...most of our biggest snowstorms on record are in March but it's like been so long ago

March is typically blizzard month for Panhandle and Oklahoma. But the reduction is pretty significant the last ~10 years so the new averages will likely be cut, unless it goes bonkers by then.

Thats very interesting because I dont think sea ice plays a direct role in this. I think it does for the lack of an early winter in the Southern Plains. Temps are def higher now in the arctic then the past in March but the cold source region of the arctic is full of ice.

The fringes is what's losing ground. As you mention early winter, late winter etc. The same concept applies to baselines. The cold blasts are still there and sharper than ever so is the warmer days due to patterns but the 'boring days' are tilting warmer than colder. I noted above there is no reason if the average is 55F that we can't spend some days in the low 50s and some in the upper 50s, instead between it's 60s, 60s, 70s way more than it should be. That's what skews every winter since to be above normal. This is putting it in the most simplistic terms, but the baseline is moving up, the numbers back it up there, can't argue that I've accepted defeat on that end. Which is why it's so hard to call a colder than normal winter 10+ years in a row...let that sink in.