Texas Winter 2010-2011

[Portastorm]

The lates model out of the PWC has just finished its run.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6J1MhmQRV8

Nice! And we've even subtitled it for our Spanish-speaking audience.

More virga here but nothing reaching the surface.

[kb75007]

Whats it looking like for DFW tonight?? Any changes or anything different?

[CaptinCrunch]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
705 AM CST THU FEB 3 2011


TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>134-141>145-156-157-032100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-LAMPASAS-
CORYELL-
705 AM CST THU FEB 3 2011

...SNOWFALL TO RETURN TO PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE DIGGING SOUTH AND DEEPENING OVER NORTHERN OLD MEXICO AND
FAR WEST TEXAS TODAY...BEFORE LIFTING EAST OVER TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. VERY COLD AND DEEP ARCTIC AIR WILL REMAIN
ENTRENCHED ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS DURING THIS TIME WITH MOST
AREAS REMAINING BELOW FREEZING THROUGH FRIDAY. THE SURFACE LOW
STORM TRACK WILL BE OVER SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE GULF COAST. HOWEVER...LIFT AND MOISTURE WILL CREATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SNOWS AS FAR NORTH AS THE INTERSTATE 20 AND 30
CORRIDORS LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
NORTHWEST OF A KILLEEN TO PALESTINE LINE WILL RANGE FROM A DUSTING
TO POSSIBLY OVER AN INCH ACROSS THESE AREAS. THIS INCLUDES THE
DALLAS-FORT WORTH...HILLSBORO...GREENVILLE...AND SULPHUR SPRINGS
AREAS.

[SouthernMet]

Whats it looking like for DFW tonight?? Any changes or anything different?

Short Range Models are looking alot better but HRRR doesnt go out far enough. It has bulk of precip just south of I-20 16hrs out widespread snow out to San Angelo spreading NNEward.

[iorange55]

HRRR wasn't exactly great for the last event but it wasn't terrible either. Did pretty well in seeing that we'd only get maybe a half inch at most of snow from Fort Worth east.

Seems like the trend on the HRRR is for the moisture going up in this event. Will see if it comes together.

[Brandon8181]

Well it looks like most models are trending toward another signifcant winter weather event next week with two waves of energy coming through on Monday, then again on Wednesday, with Wednesday being the stronger of the two.

It will be interesting to see how things play out now considering the Euro has suggested this for two days in a row, as iorange55 pointed out, and now other models seem to be jumping on board.

This could be a critical situation for Texas considering many schools and business have been closed for several days, and the state is now in a Level 3 power emergency.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

[txtiff]

The lates model out of the PWC has just finished its run.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6J1MhmQRV8

Nice! And we've even subtitled it for our Spanish-speaking audience.

More virga here but nothing reaching the surface.

English speaking and Spanish reading audience....
You can have it all!! Ready for dare I say Spring

[TexasStorm]

Well it looks like most models are trending toward another signifcant winter weather event next week with two waves of energy coming through on Monday, then again on Wednesday, with Wednesday being the stronger of the two.

It will be interesting to see how things play out now considering the Euro has suggested this for two days in a row, as iorange55 pointed out, and now other models seem to be jumping on board.

This could be a critical situation for Texas considering many schools and business have been closed for several days, and the state is now in a Level 3 power emergency.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

After next week though the models are not showing much of anything. I am ready for this winter to be over so the long range models are a welcome sight!

[Brandon8181]

Well it looks like most models are trending toward another signifcant winter weather event next week with two waves of energy coming through on Monday, then again on Wednesday, with Wednesday being the stronger of the two.

It will be interesting to see how things play out now considering the Euro has suggested this for two days in a row, as iorange55 pointed out, and now other models seem to be jumping on board.

This could be a critical situation for Texas considering many schools and business have been closed for several days, and the state is now in a Level 3 power emergency.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

After next week though the models are not showing much of anything. I am ready for this winter to be over so the long range models are a welcome sight!

Yes I wonder if the next 10-21 days will bring a warming trend.

[HockeyTx82]

Well it looks like most models are trending toward another signifcant winter weather event next week with two waves of energy coming through on Monday, then again on Wednesday, with Wednesday being the stronger of the two.

It will be interesting to see how things play out now considering the Euro has suggested this for two days in a row, as iorange55 pointed out, and now other models seem to be jumping on board.

This could be a critical situation for Texas considering many schools and business have been closed for several days, and the state is now in a Level 3 power emergency.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

Hmmm, with the clouds holding today, temps night warming much, Level 3 power emergency, I wonder if schools will open tomorrow? Roads here in Denton out my window look the same they did last night and I have yet to see the sun.

[Portastorm]

Hmmm .... the WSW area is edging closer to the vicinity of the Portastorm Weather Center. Nice trend! EWX still on board for the event.

*****
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1100 AM CST THU FEB 3 2011

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE RECONFIGURES THE WINTER STORM WARNING COUNTIES TO
INCLUDE THOSE ALONG AND EAST OF A PLEASANTON TO LOCKHART TO
LEXINGTON LINE...AND THE WINTER WX ADVISORY COUNTIES TO INCLUDE
THOSE ALONG AND EAST OF A LLANO TO KERRVILLE TO PEARSALL LINE.
ISENTROPIC LIFT PATTERN SEEN ON VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE FORM
OF THICKER CLOUDS WILL LIKELY EXPAND NORTH FROM THE COASTAL BEND
INTO SOUTH TX LATE TODAY WITH REPORTS OF LIGHT FLURRIES INCREASING
FROM THE NE AS THE UPPER LOW CENTER DRAWS CLOSER TO WEST TX. TEMPS
MODIFIED SLIGHTLY BASED ON RECENT TRENDS. MORNING UPDATE WILL ALSO
ADDRESS THE GRADUALLY IMPROVING WIND CHILLS WITH THE WIND CHILL
ADVY BEING ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. UPDATED WSW TO ARRIVE SHORTLY.

[Air Force Met]

After next week though the models are not showing much of anything. I am ready for this winter to be over so the long range models are a welcome sight!

I am too. I have 150 seedling (tomatoes/peppers) that I had to move out of my cold frame into my kitchen. I am ready for them to be back in the cold frame...growing nice and big for the spring...

[SouthernMet]

Hmmm, with the clouds holding today, temps night warming much, Level 3 power emergency, I wonder if schools will open tomorrow? Roads here in Denton out my window look the same they did last night and I have yet to see the sun.

It depends on how much snow you get tonight, if any. If none, it's still gonna be close, via your report.

[Dustan78]

FWISD has a admin/training day without kids on Friday,so I think they will open.

[Portastorm]

Well, the good ol' Canadian is still suggesting a decent snowfall around these parts. Ladies and gents, I give you the 12z CMC ...

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/CMC_12z/cmcloop.html

[northtxboy]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1031 AM CST THU FEB 3 2011

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE IS IN GOOD SHAPE FOR THE REMAINDER OF
TODAY AND HAVE ONLY UPDATED TO LOWER HIGHS IN THE EXTREME EASTERN
CWA BY A FEW DEGREES. TEMPS LIKELY TO REMAIN IN THE UPPER TEENS
AND LOW 20S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WITH THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD
COVER. WILL ALSO CANCEL THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY AND HARD FREEZE
WARNING AS TEMPS ARE NOW WARMER THAN CRITERIA...ALTHOUGH IT WILL
REMAIN ABNORMALLY COLD THROUGH TONIGHT.

STILL MONITORING DATA COMING IN FROM SYSTEM MOVING INTO NORTHERN
MEXICO THIS MORNING. RIGHT NOW IT STILL APPEARS LIKELY THAT WE
WILL SEE SNOW ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. WILL BE LOOKING AT ACCUMULATIONS AND REFINING AS NECESSARY
AS WELL AS MAKING ANY NECESSARY ADJUSTMENTS TO CURRENT ADVISORY
CONFIGURATION.

[HockeyTx82]

There is quite a bit of snow still on the main roads according to this site.
I guess side roads would be worse?

http://www.txdot.gov/gis/hcrs_main/viewer.htm

[TeamPlayersBlue]

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains_loop.php

Last few frames look interesting

[CaptinCrunch]

There is quite a bit of snow still on the main roads according to this site.
I guess side roads would be worse?

http://www.txdot.gov/gis/hcrs_main/viewer.htm

If it wasn't for the Super Bowl this weekend the roads would NOT be in this good of shape. With all the extra sand trucks and crews and the dozen snow plowls from Amarillo the main highways like I-20, I-30 and Hwy360 are in really good shape, but the 2nd tier Hwy's are still pretty icey.

[Cuda17]

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains_loop.php

Last few frames look interesting

yep, I was going to post that as well. I wonder what that is? I'm seeing more and more reports of light freezing rain and snow mix from all of the different forums I visit...