Texas Winter 2021-2022

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Making some history today across the state.

https://twitter.com/ChrisSuchanWOAI/status/1496568199009259522?s=20&t=rlwIhMWiwWqEkp07BJi3OA

Was 55F at lunch here, was around 2 or 3 degrees the next day at lunch. 10F at around 8 that night. This front was a serious one.

Still 3F here currently. No wind, thank goodness!

[opticsguy]

Probably want to avoid the bridges. DFW traffic map doesn't look so great.

we are up to 5 accidents on the bridge just outside the entrance to our neighborhood (spring valley between preston and hillcrest). i've been shaking my head at the dummies trying to zip across it as i sit here working from home in my office...

We used to live across Beltline from where Alexis drive merged on a 3-way bridge at the bottom of a hill. I could sit for hours watching cars crash into the curb or the median. Dallas would never salt that bridge for some reason

[Ntxw]

NTXW was right abt today.

Car accidents on secondary roads here in Dallas. Abrams and skillman, and then abt every 2-3 blocks another car is spun out. Rush hour is going to be a nightmare in DFW.

We've seen it over and over across Texas. It's the little drizzle light rain/fog events that gives perception of confidence to drivers. Then you mad rush them all to leave early at the same time while it's 25F. They're bad enough on a good day! You add a weather element to that...

[WeatherNewbie]

Probably want to avoid the bridges. DFW traffic map doesn't look so great.

we are up to 5 accidents on the bridge just outside the entrance to our neighborhood (spring valley between preston and hillcrest). i've been shaking my head at the dummies trying to zip across it as i sit here working from home in my office...

We used to live across Beltline from where Alexis drive merged on a 3-way bridge at the bottom of a hill. I could sit for hours watching cars crash into the curb or the median. Dallas would never salt that bridge for some reason

i know the spot well... my wife and i walk to torchy's that way. i can see that being a big mess in this weather.

[Brent]

Definitely snowing here now. Maybe the second round can be snow

[Iceresistance]

Big snowflakes coming down at my house! 13°F

[txtwister78]

And based on those model trends as mentioned above, we now have some Houston NWS counties added to a WWA

[Iceresistance]

And based on those model trends as mentioned above, we now have some Houston NWS counties added to a WWA

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMTuIp7VkAAmPZO?format=jpg&name=medium

It's knocking on Jasons2k's Door, it's only the next county away from The Woodlands, TX.

It also sounds like that Heat Miser's wall has gotten a Huge Leak.

[Golf7270]

Heavy sleet and thunderstorm at 28 degrees in jonesboro

[bubba hotep]

Interesting, the global models have higher qpf for most of Texas over the next 36hrs vs the hi-res models. Usually, it's the reverse.

[WacoWx]

Any idea what the timing is on the next wave of energy for DFW? All radars around the state appear quiet atm. Usually I see a disturbance around west TX that provides the lift, and I do not see anything yet...unless that is it further west over in the 4 corners.

[Iceresistance]

Any idea what the timing is on the next wave of energy for DFW? All radars around the state appear quiet atm. Usually I see a disturbance around west TX that provides the lift, and I do not see anything yet...unless that is it further west over in the 4 corners.

Late Tonight into Early Next Morning is when the Winter Precipitation comes into Texas & Oklahoma

[txtwister78]

Interesting, the global models have higher qpf for most of Texas over the next 36hrs vs the hi-res models. Usually, it's the reverse.

I think the globals were always going to be a little suspect with QPF as well when you account for their warm bias/associated temp profiles.

[EnnisTx]

Big snowflakes coming down at my house! 13°F

It’s not happening unless you and Brent post pictures…

[Snowman67]

And based on those model trends as mentioned above, we now have some Houston NWS counties added to a WWA

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMTuIp7VkAAmPZO?format=jpg&name=medium

Wouldn't surprise me at all if that WWA shifts a county or two more to the east and south...

[orangeblood]

Interesting, the global models have higher qpf for most of Texas over the next 36hrs vs the hi-res models. Usually, it's the reverse.

Definite trend now showing up on Hi-Res, QPF almost cut in half….much spottier too/less widespread.

[bubba hotep]

Interesting, the global models have higher qpf for most of Texas over the next 36hrs vs the hi-res models. Usually, it's the reverse.

I think the globals were always going to be a little suspect with QPF as well when you account for their warm bias/associated temp profiles.

I was leaning more towards the global models having a better handle on the large scale isentropic lift that will be induced across Texas as the main energy ejects out into the plains over the next 24 hrs. So there really isn't much in the way of mesoscale forcing to drive precipitation. However, I've never actually looked into this setup to see if this is something that hi-res models might struggle with vs. global models.

[Iceresistance]

Big snowflakes coming down at my house! 13°F

It’s not happening unless you and Brent post pictures…

Just as you say that, the snow almost stops.

[Brent]

Big snowflakes coming down at my house! 13°F

It’s not happening unless you and Brent post pictures…

Just as you say that, the snow almost stops.

Some of it was lake effect here but yeah looks like it's about to end. Never saw any big flakes it was more a bunch of small ones

[ColdFusion]

Interesting, the global models have higher qpf for most of Texas over the next 36hrs vs the hi-res models. Usually, it's the reverse.

Definite trend now showing up on Hi-Res, QPF almost cut in half….much spottier too/less widespread.

Man dont ruin my day off tomorrow.